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Monaco vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 89-85
29-14 23-16 20-30 17-25
Position#3
Record22-11
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game78.9
Monaco 🏆
vs
Position#15
Record13-20
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game81.8
EuropeEuroleagueRound 34· Salle Gaston Medecin
European cup2023
Meetings · Monaco v Bayern
19 Dec 2025
MCO103
BAY77
17 Dec 2024
MCO93
BAY74
11 Apr 2024
MCO89
BAY85
25 Nov 2022
MCO80
BAY79
12 Nov 2021
MCO94
BAY71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#9
W
94-92
94
92
+2
85avg 84
H16/03
French Cup
Strasbourg
#10
L
89-93
89
93
-4
76avg 84
A17/03
French Cup
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
80-98
80
98
-18
69avg 84
H20/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
W
79-78
79
78
+1
74avg 84
H22/03
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#13
W
92-78
92
78
+14
104avg 84
H24/03
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
87-77
87
77
+10
83avg 84
A28/03
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#7
L
69-71
69
71
-2
83avg 84
A30/03
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
69-66
69
66
+3
62avg 84
H04/04
Euroleague
Nancy
#11
L
86-100
86
100
-14
98avg 84
H07/04
LNB
Limoges
#10
W
94-56
94
56
+38
99avg 84
H09/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
27-27
28-23
18-22
18-29
19-19
23-30
29-15
20-27
24-31
23-18
13-22
25-15
13-19
19-20
22-24
29-13
22-26
24-23
17-16
23-12
21-28
12-21
31-16
11-18
18-20
18-12
22-21
20-11
19-18
12-15
18-22
28-25
25-25
19-26
14-24
24-11
23-13
22-19
25-13
164.8Avg total
83.9Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)81.678.9160.5+2.867%
Season at home (16)84.978.3163.2+6.675%
Season away (17)78.679.4158.0-0.859%
Last 10 (10)83.980.9164.8+3.060%
Last 5 (5)81.074.0155.0+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)96.083.0179.0+13.0100%
vs Similar (12)81.080.5161.5+0.558%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)83.575.3158.8+8.286%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
no box
H10/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
64-58
64
58
+6
61avg 79
H15/03
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
W
77-71
77
71
+6
72avg 79
A17/03
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
68-70
68
70
-2
61avg 79
A20/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
74-89
74
89
-15
63avg 79
H22/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
81-80 OT
81
80
+1
no box
A24/03
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
79-87
79
87
-8
77avg 79
H28/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
99-81
99
81
+18
98avg 79
A31/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
75-82
75
82
-7
70avg 79
H05/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
91-61
91
61
+30
89avg 79
H07/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
32-19
14-18
10-22
18-10
15-11
17-16
14-21
13-23
19-23
22-11
23-14
15-28
22-17
19-12
12-13
21-22
14-26
27-15
12-26
12-17
26-17
18-14
17-25
19-25
11-22
23-24
26-16
25-17
28-23
19-17
27-24
18-13
18-27
18-18
21-24
21-13
23-18
23-18
24-12
156.5Avg total
79.6Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)78.581.8160.3-3.439%
Season at home (17)79.980.6160.5-0.753%
Season away (16)76.983.2160.1-6.225%
Last 10 (10)79.676.9156.5+2.750%
Last 5 (5)85.078.2163.2+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)77.087.3164.3-10.30%
vs Similar (9)80.279.9160.1+0.367%
vs Weaker (15)89.774.9164.6+14.793%
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -1.1-1.1
MonacoBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanterre
#9
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H16/03
French Cup
Strasbourg
#10
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A17/03
French Cup
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H20/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H22/03
Euroleague
Strasbourg
#13
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H24/03
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A28/03
Euroleague
Saint Quentin
#7
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A30/03
LNB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H04/04
Euroleague
Nancy
#11
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H07/04
LNB
Limoges
#10
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H09/04
LNB
83.7Avg total
43.0Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.540.083.5+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (18)46.140.486.5+5.683%-
Last 30 away (12)39.639.479.0+0.242%-
Last 10 (10)43.040.783.7+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)42.436.278.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)52.043.595.5+8.5100%-
vs Similar (12)40.842.283.0-1.342%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)43.037.280.2+5.879%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H10/03
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H15/03
Euroleague
Gottingen
#14
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A17/03
BBL
Valencia
#14
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A20/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#6
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H22/03
Euroleague
Hamburg
#10
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A24/03
BBL
Barcelona
#5
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H28/03
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A31/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H05/04
Euroleague
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H07/04
BBL
78.6Avg total
39.4Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.439.682.0+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.338.880.1+2.467%-
Last 30 away (12)44.240.884.9+3.458%-
Last 10 (10)39.439.278.6+0.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.478.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.742.277.8-6.533%-
vs Similar (9)39.342.281.6-2.933%-
vs Weaker (15)47.037.084.0+10.093%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.421.4
57.2%
53.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.7
31.7%
36.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws24.317.6
72.4%
77.4%17.6
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.518.2
56.0%
53.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.5
38.7%
36.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws15.211.8
77.6%
77.4%11.8
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
WLWLWWWLLW
Bayern
WLWLWLLWWL
#3
League position
#15
+5.4
Net rating
+2.5
117.9
Offensive rating
111.6
112.5
Defensive rating
109.1
53.4%
Effective FG%
57.0%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
15.4%
Turnover %
18.4%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.7%
3-point %
38.7%
47.1%
Assist %
63.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence117.9 · 111.6Defence112.5 · 109.1Shooting53.4% · 57.0%3-point %31.7% · 38.7%Ball care15.4% · 18.4%Off. rebounds35.2% · 26.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Monaco   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Monaco wins
0
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
22/12/23Bayern v Monaco80-91
31/03/23Bayern v Monaco81-84
25/11/22Monaco v Bayern80-79
13/01/22Bayern v Monaco78-83
12/11/21Monaco v Bayern94-71
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/04/24HLimoges94-56
07/04/24HNancy86-100
04/04/24HZalgiris Kaunas69-66
30/03/24ASaint Quentin69-71
28/03/24ALyon-Villeurbanne87-77
24/03/24HStrasbourg92-78
22/03/24HValencia79-78
20/03/24HOlimpia Milano80-98
17/03/24AStrasbourg89-93
16/03/24HNanterre94-92
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24HBasketball Braunschweig91-61
05/04/24HPanathinaikos75-82
31/03/24ABamberg99-81
28/03/24HBarcelona79-87
24/03/24AHamburg81-80 OT
22/03/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv74-89
20/03/24AValencia68-70
17/03/24AGottingen77-71
15/03/24HZalgiris Kaunas64-58
10/03/24HVechta88-90 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWWWWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %67%75%59%
Points / game81.684.978.6
Allowed / game78.978.379.4
Point differential+2.8+6.6-0.8
Avg total160.5163.2158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)67% (3)57% (7)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Bayern
Euroleague 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL39%
HomeWWLLL53%
AwayLWWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %39%53%25%
Points / game78.579.976.9
Allowed / game81.880.683.2
Point differential-3.4-0.7-6.2
Avg total160.3160.5160.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%18%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)67% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %12%12%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3326779%88.981.2+7.7
2 Panathinaikos33221167%81.577.2+4.3
3 Barcelona33221167%83.079.3+3.8
4 Monaco33221167%81.678.9+2.8
5 Olympiacos33211264%78.874.8+4.0
6 Fenerbahce33201361%85.280.8+4.4
7 Maccabi Tel Aviv33191458%87.686.7+0.9
8 Baskonia33171652%83.984.7-0.8
9 Virtus Bologna33171652%79.982.1-2.2
10 Anadolu Efes33161748%85.786.6-0.9
11 Olimpia Milano33151845%78.077.7+0.3
12 Partizan33151845%83.184.0-0.8
13 Zalgiris Kaunas33141942%80.080.0+0.0
14 Valencia33141942%76.279.1-2.8
15 Bayern33132039%78.581.8-3.4
16 Crvena zvezda33112233%82.182.3-0.2
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne3382524%78.785.3-6.6
18 Alba Berlin3352815%76.286.7-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco2923201789
Bayern1416302585
← all games of the day
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