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Bayreuth vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 18 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 86-102
26-24 26-20 15-25 19-33
Position#18
Record5-23
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game89.1
vs
Position#12
Record11-17
FormLLWLL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game83.3
GermanyBBLRound 29
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bayreuth v Chemnitz
18 Apr 2023
BAR86
CHE102
13 Apr 2022
BAR69
CHE83
21 Mar 2021
BAR85
CHE72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayreuth winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayreuthGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayreuth
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#15
L
74-86
74
86
-12
71avg 73
A11/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
94-108
94
108
-14
94avg 73
H14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
93-102
93
102
-9
87avg 73
A08/03
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
79-80
79
80
-1
68avg 73
H12/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
89-96 OT
89
96
-7
no box
A17/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
85-75
85
75
+10
80avg 73
H24/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
95-84
95
84
+11
96avg 73
H02/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
L
73-78
73
78
-5
63avg 73
A05/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
89-101
89
101
-12
81avg 73
A08/04
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
42-86
42
86
-44
32avg 73
A15/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
15-17
16-22
25-25
27-31
16-25
24-22
27-30
27-32
22-20
22-27
22-23
25-17
27-29
10-19
17-15
19-23
25-24
19-14
15-17
20-20
22-24
13-18
30-13
31-22
21-23
19-23
24-16
20-14
24-22
17-14
12-28
19-25
27-24
22-27
21-25
11-25
7-17
18-17
6-27
170.9Avg total
81.3Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.889.1169.9-8.418%
Season at home (14)82.687.4170.0-4.936%
Season away (14)79.090.9169.9-11.90%
Last 10 (10)81.389.6170.9-8.320%
Last 5 (5)76.884.8161.6-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)80.389.0169.3-8.615%
vs Similar (3)78.787.7166.3-9.033%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
L
86-87
86
87
-1
87avg 78
H15/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
73-83
73
83
-10
67avg 78
H04/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
91-101
91
101
-10
80avg 78
A11/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
84-89
84
89
-5
81avg 78
A19/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
83-95
83
95
-12
67avg 78
A22/03
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
79-81
79
81
-2
73avg 78
H26/03
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
69-71
69
71
-2
58avg 78
H02/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
76-72
76
72
+4
77avg 78
A08/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
70-76
70
76
-6
62avg 78
H11/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
89-91
89
91
-2
83avg 78
H15/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
25-24
18-20
20-19
26-20
9-28
14-15
24-20
29-25
20-25
19-18
23-33
25-21
21-21
17-24
21-23
21-20
22-23
19-28
21-24
24-20
22-22
24-22
9-17
12-15
23-20
14-16
20-20
17-23
27-13
20-24
12-12
23-20
19-27
12-23
16-6
26-19
24-28
20-23
19-21
164.6Avg total
80.0Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.983.3166.2-0.439%
Season at home (15)82.282.4164.6-0.240%
Season away (13)83.784.4168.1-0.738%
Last 10 (10)80.084.6164.6-4.610%
Last 5 (5)76.678.2154.8-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.283.4157.6-9.20%
vs Similar (13)79.883.0162.8-3.223%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)88.777.9166.6+10.875%
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -1.0-1.0
BayreuthChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayreuthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#15
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A11/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A08/03
BBL
Bayern
#3
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H12/03
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A17/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H24/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
52-45
52
45
+7
H02/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#14
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A05/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A08/04
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
18-42
18
42
-24
A15/04
BBL
87.9Avg total
42.3Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.344.684.8-4.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.744.886.5-3.136%-
Last 30 away (16)39.044.483.4-5.425%-
Last 10 (10)42.345.687.9-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.283.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)41.144.885.9-3.735%-
vs Similar (3)34.043.377.3-9.30%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H15/02
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H04/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A11/03
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A19/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A22/03
BBL
Bonn
#1
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H26/03
BBL
Rostock
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H02/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A08/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H11/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H15/04
BBL
87.6Avg total
43.8Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.142.585.7+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.843.287.1+0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)42.441.784.1+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)43.843.887.6+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.441.484.8+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.844.082.8-5.220%-
vs Similar (13)41.644.786.3-3.123%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)46.639.686.2+7.083%-
This opponent (Bayreuth) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayreuththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayreuth: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.315.0
51.2%
54.4%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.610.7
37.4%
35.4%32.1
🏀 Free throws21.915.9
72.6%
75.8%15.9
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.316.8
53.7%
54.4%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.19.4
30.2%
35.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.017.4
75.7%
75.8%17.4
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayreuth
LLLWWLLLLL
Chemnitz
LLWLLLLLLL
#18
League position
#12
-12.4
Net rating
-5.7
107.1
Offensive rating
107.6
119.4
Defensive rating
113.3
53.6%
Effective FG%
49.5%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
20.3%
Turnover %
18.0%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
32.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.37
37.4%
3-point %
30.2%
68.9%
Assist %
72.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 107.6Defence119.4 · 113.3Shooting53.6% · 49.5%3-point %37.4% · 30.2%Ball care20.3% · 18.0%Off. rebounds28.7% · 32.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Bayreuth   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Bayreuth wins
2
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
16/12/22Chemnitz v Bayreuth84-77
13/04/22Bayreuth v Chemnitz69-83
09/10/21Chemnitz v Bayreuth72-86
21/03/21Bayreuth v Chemnitz85-72
30/01/21Chemnitz v Bayreuth61-83
Bayreuthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/23ABonn42-86
08/04/23ABasketball Braunschweig89-101
05/04/23ACrailsheim Merlins73-78
02/04/23HSyntainics MBC95-84
24/03/23HOldenburg85-75
17/03/23AWurzburg89-96 OT
12/03/23HBayern79-80
08/03/23ALudwigsburg93-102
14/02/23HLudwigsburg94-108
11/02/23AHamburg74-86
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/23HOldenburg89-91
11/04/23HAlba Berlin70-76
08/04/23ASyntainics MBC76-72
02/04/23HRostock69-71
26/03/23HBonn79-81
22/03/23ABamberg83-95
19/03/23AFrankfurt84-89
11/03/23AAlba Berlin91-101
04/03/23HBasketball Braunschweig73-83
15/02/23HGottingen86-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayreuth
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL18%
HomeLLLWW36%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %18%36%0%
Points / game80.882.679.0
Allowed / game89.187.490.9
Point differential-8.4-4.9-11.9
Avg total169.9170.0169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %11%7%14%
Chemnitz
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL39%
HomeLLLLL40%
AwayWLLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %39%40%38%
Points / game82.982.283.7
Allowed / game83.382.484.4
Point differential-0.4-0.2-0.7
Avg total166.2164.6168.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%13%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)0% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin2927293%88.376.7+11.7
2 Bonn2826293%89.172.5+16.6
3 Bayern2822679%81.173.9+7.2
4 Oldenburg29181162%85.182.9+2.2
5 Gottingen28161257%87.087.1-0.1
6 Ludwigsburg29161355%86.985.3+1.6
7 Ulm28151354%87.184.6+2.5
8 Wurzburg30151550%81.783.4-1.8
9 Rostock29141548%83.687.4-3.8
10 Bamberg30141647%87.186.9+0.2
11 Heidelberg28121643%87.290.0-2.8
12 Chemnitz28111739%82.983.3-0.4
13 Crailsheim Merlins29101934%85.989.5-3.7
14 Hamburg29101934%80.985.3-4.4
15 Basketball Braunschweig2891932%80.084.0-4.1
16 Syntainics MBC2891932%81.987.5-5.6
17 Frankfurt2882029%78.685.8-7.2
18 Bayreuth2852318%80.889.1-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayreuth2626151986
Chemnitz24202533102
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