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BC Almaty 2 vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 May 2026
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 88-97
24-26 25-21 19-25 20-25
Position#5
Record20-12
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game73.8
vs
Aktobe 🏆
Kazakhstan
Position#4
Record24-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game68.1
KazakhstanHigher LeagueHigher League - 5th place
Other2025-26
Meetings · BC Almaty 2 v Aktobe
02 May 2026
BC A88
AKTO97
05 Dec 2025
BC A89
AKTO94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Almaty 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aktobe winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC Almaty 2KazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#14
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H28/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
98-75
98
75
+23
A29/03
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
75-71
75
71
+4
A14/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
84-92
84
92
-8
H15/04
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A16/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H17/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
78-94
78
94
-16
A26/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
62-88
62
88
-26
H27/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
114-61
114
61
+53
H29/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
103-55
103
55
+48
A30/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-15
22-18
22-15
25-21
26-18
19-12
23-20
30-25
12-10
21-24
28-19
14-18
30-19
27-26
8-23
19-24
21-22
20-24
20-10
24-12
23-22
9-23
23-16
16-19
23-15
16-24
24-26
15-29
18-18
20-19
6-28
18-23
26-18
36-7
28-17
24-19
27-10
17-17
38-12
21-16
161.7Avg total
86.4Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)83.773.8157.5+9.862%
Season at home (16)85.472.8158.2+12.762%
Season away (16)81.974.9156.8+6.962%
Last 10 (10)86.475.3161.7+11.160%
Last 5 (5)85.675.6161.2+10.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.391.0161.3-20.70%
vs Similar ◀ (2)86.593.0179.5-6.50%
vs Weaker (22)89.366.0155.3+23.391%
This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
85-56
85
56
+29
H11/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
86-76
86
76
+10
A12/03
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
75-99
75
99
-24
H01/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
96-79
96
79
+17
A02/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
71-59
71
59
+12
H03/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A04/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
65-74
65
74
-9
H26/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
59-68
59
68
-9
A27/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H29/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
L
69-69
69
69
+0
A30/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
21-18
22-8
22-17
20-19
18-17
21-20
27-20
23-24
19-26
16-31
17-18
31-23
28-11
17-27
20-18
20-14
19-7
17-24
15-14
19-14
21-14
16-20
15-20
13-22
17-14
19-21
16-17
10-20
23-15
12-10
14-23
19-19
26-21
20-17
18-23
23-16
15-15
19-12
12-26
148.8Avg total
76.0Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)81.368.1149.4+13.275%
Season at home (16)82.067.8149.8+14.275%
Season away (16)80.668.4149.0+12.175%
Last 10 (10)76.072.8148.8+3.260%
Last 5 (5)69.471.8141.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)61.766.8128.5-5.233%
vs Similar ◀ (2)93.086.5179.5+6.5100%
vs Weaker (22)85.266.6151.9+18.682%
This opponent (BC Almaty 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.0-2.0
BC Almaty 2Aktobe
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC Almaty 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pavlodar
#14
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H28/03
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A29/03
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A14/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H15/04
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A16/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H17/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A26/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#3
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H27/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
62-25
62
25
+37
H29/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
44-27
44
27
+17
A30/04
Higher League
79.9Avg total
43.8Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.336.381.6+9.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.035.384.3+13.780%-
Last 30 away (15)41.637.378.9+4.347%-
Last 10 (10)43.836.179.9+7.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.034.677.6+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)39.246.585.7-7.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)41.042.583.5-1.550%-
vs Weaker (22)47.432.980.3+14.573%-
This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AktobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H11/03
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A12/03
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H01/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
W
59-34
59
34
+25
A02/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H03/04
Higher League
Kaspiy Aktau 2
#15
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A04/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H26/04
Higher League
Atyrau 2
#6
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A27/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H29/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A30/04
Higher League
74.7Avg total
40.5Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.932.273.1+8.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.130.071.1+11.173%-
Last 30 away (15)40.734.575.1+6.260%-
Last 10 (10)40.534.274.7+6.370%-
Last 5 (5)37.234.071.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)28.534.563.0-6.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)42.541.083.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker (22)44.130.874.9+13.382%-
This opponent (BC Almaty 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Almaty 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Almaty 2: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.626.5
53.4%
49.5%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.4
30.7%
28.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.111.2
61.9%
63.9%11.2
They take 73.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aktobetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aktobe: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.321.6
47.7%
49.5%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.4
28.5%
28.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws15.210.6
69.7%
63.9%10.6
They take 71.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Almaty 2
WWLLLWLWWW
Aktobe
LWLLWWWLWW
#5
League position
#4
+14.3
Net rating
+4.2
111.3
Offensive rating
99.9
97.0
Defensive rating
95.7
51.0%
Effective FG%
45.9%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.21
30.7%
3-point %
28.5%
61.1%
Assist %
71.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 99.9Defence97.0 · 95.7Shooting51.0% · 45.9%3-point %30.7% · 28.5%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ BC Almaty 2   ■ Aktobe
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BC Almaty 2 wins
2
Aktobe wins
DateGameScore
05/12/25BC Almaty 2 v Aktobe89-94
04/12/25Aktobe v BC Almaty 292-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/26ACHAMP1ON103-55
29/04/26HCHAMP1ON114-61
27/04/26HBars Petropavlovsk62-88
26/04/26ABars Petropavlovsk78-94
17/04/26HBars Petropavlovsk71-80
16/04/26ATigers-KazATU85-68
15/04/26HBars Petropavlovsk84-92
14/04/26ATigers-KazATU75-71
29/03/26AKaraganda98-75
28/03/26HPavlodar94-69
Aktobelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/26AChelSU Kostanay69-69
29/04/26HChelSU Kostanay83-80
27/04/26AAtyrau 259-68
26/04/26HAtyrau 265-74
04/04/26AKaspiy Aktau 271-68
03/04/26HKaspiy Aktau 271-59
02/04/26AAtyrau 296-79
01/04/26HAtyrau 275-99
12/03/26AChelSU Kostanay86-76
11/03/26HChelSU Kostanay85-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Almaty 2
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW62%
HomeWLLLW62%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %62%62%62%
Points / game83.785.481.9
Allowed / game73.872.874.9
Point differential+9.8+12.7+6.9
Avg total157.5158.2156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%62%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aktobe
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL75%
HomeWLWLW75%
AwayWWWLL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game81.382.080.6
Allowed / game68.167.868.4
Point differential+13.2+14.2+12.1
Avg total149.4149.8149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%50%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan32320100%86.959.5+27.4
2 Shymkent3229391%94.969.6+25.3
3 Bars Petropavlovsk3225778%85.063.2+21.8
4 Aktobe3224875%81.368.1+13.2
5 BC Almaty 232201262%83.773.8+9.8
6 Atyrau 232191359%76.471.3+5.1
7 ChelSU Kostanay33161748%74.979.7-4.8
8 Karaganda28131546%80.278.5+1.7
9 CHAMP1ON33141942%72.277.7-5.5
10 Tigers-KazATU28111739%68.576.4-7.9
11 Arlans2882029%73.683.0-9.4
12 Tobol Kostanay 22872125%69.781.6-11.9
13 AiRom2852318%63.282.5-19.3
14 Pavlodar282267%56.587.2-30.8
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2281274%55.783.1-27.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Almaty 22425192088
Aktobe2621252597
← all games of the day
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