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BC Wolves vs Mazeikiai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 14:20
Final 84-74
31-15 14-19 20-24 19-16
Position#3
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#7
Record0-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game81.5
LithuaniaLKL· Avia Solutions Group Arena (Vilnius)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · BC Wolves v Mazeikiai
21 May 2025
WOL109
MAZ85
29 Dec 2024
WOL95
MAZ94
10 Apr 2024
WOL104
MAZ78
30 Sep 2023
WOL84
MAZ74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Prienai
#12
W
94-58
94
58
+36
no box
H19/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
65-71
65
71
-6
49avg 80
A22/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
106-79
106
79
+27
112avg 80
H27/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
98-102
98
102
-4
84avg 80
A01/05
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
83-73
83
73
+10
82avg 80
H04/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
104-75
104
75
+29
101avg 80
A07/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
H12/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
75-80
75
80
-5
60avg 80
A14/05
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
68-66
68
66
+2
57avg 80
A17/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
104-68
104
68
+36
107avg 80
H23/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
27-16
23-14
23-6
20-22
12-20
14-11
19-18
31-17
27-17
22-19
26-26
27-18
28-26
16-29
27-29
23-11
20-20
22-21
18-21
31-24
19-17
25-16
29-18
19-19
9-24
21-20
27-17
25-21
15-22
14-17
21-20
18-17
15-21
24-12
11-16
20-18
24-14
29-19
31-17
162.5Avg total
87.3Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.067.0153.0+19.0100%
Season at home (1)104.068.0172.0+36.0100%
Season away (1)68.066.0134.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.375.2162.5+12.160%
Last 5 (5)85.473.8159.2+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.676.4150.0-2.840%
vs Similar (6)82.382.2164.5+0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.774.9161.6+11.874%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#3
L
67-83
67
83
-16
no box
A04/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
74-89
74
89
-15
no box
A09/03
NKL
Silute
#6
W
70-60
70
60
+10
no box
H11/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
H29/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
W
79-73
79
73
+6
no box
A01/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
W
87-73
87
73
+14
no box
H04/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
92-83
92
83
+9
no box
A21/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
65-69
65
69
-4
no box
H22/04
NKL
Juventus
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
68avg 70
A18/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
79-82
79
82
-3
71avg 70
H23/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
6-26
20-13
24-29
17-15
23-15
27-26
7-20
17-28
21-13
20-16
14-15
15-16
8-23
21-13
20-12
23-22
16-26
23-16
23-12
17-19
21-16
21-22
28-23
17-12
21-25
25-20
25-15
21-23
19-22
20-10
13-13
13-24
13-26
22-17
27-13
12-25
21-21
18-17
21-20
19-24
152.2Avg total
75.9Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)76.581.5158.0-5.00%
Season at home (1)79.082.0161.0-3.00%
Season away (1)74.081.0155.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)75.976.3152.2-0.450%
Last 5 (5)79.477.6157.0+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)72.874.6147.4-1.850%
vs Similar (9)82.176.4158.6+5.778%
vs Weaker (9)79.467.3146.8+12.178%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -3.7-3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -4.4-4.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +4.7+4.7Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -3.7-3.7
BC WolvesMazeikiai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prienai
#12
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H19/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A22/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H27/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A01/05
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H04/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A07/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H12/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/05
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A17/09
LKL
Gargzdai
#12
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H23/09
LKL
81.7Avg total
43.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.838.179.0+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.736.378.0+5.567%-
Last 30 away (15)39.940.079.9-0.160%-
Last 10 (10)43.138.681.7+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.478.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.839.874.6-5.020%-
vs Similar (6)41.541.082.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.236.879.0+5.479%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#3
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A04/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A09/03
NKL
Silute
#6
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H11/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H29/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A01/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H04/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A21/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H22/04
NKL
Juventus
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A18/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H23/09
LKL
76.9Avg total
38.6Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.936.176.0+3.970%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.734.773.4+4.075%-
Last 30 away (14)41.437.679.0+3.764%-
Last 10 (10)38.638.376.9+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.239.279.4+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.637.576.1+1.158%-
vs Similar (9)40.138.378.4+1.856%-
vs Weaker (9)41.631.973.4+9.7100%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.3
55.8%
55.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.0
37.2%
34.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws20.513.9
67.8%
73.2%13.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.519.5
58.2%
55.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.59.0
29.5%
34.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws14.09.5
67.9%
73.2%9.5
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 30 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Wolves
WWLLWWLWLW
Mazeikiai
LLLWWWWWLL
#3
League position
#7
+17.5
Net rating
-6.9
123.1
Offensive rating
104.4
105.6
Defensive rating
111.3
55.8%
Effective FG%
51.6%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
61.5%
13.1%
Turnover %
18.5%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.22
37.2%
3-point %
29.5%
59.1%
Assist %
66.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence123.1 · 104.4Defence105.6 · 111.3Shooting55.8% · 51.6%3-point %37.2% · 29.5%Ball care13.1% · 18.5%Off. rebounds35.0% · 30.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ BC Wolves   ■ Mazeikiai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
BC Wolves wins
0
Mazeikiai wins
No previous meetings.
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/23HGargzdai104-68
17/09/23ASiauliai68-66
14/05/23AJonava75-80
12/05/23HJonava76-80
07/05/23ANeptunas104-75
04/05/23HSiauliai83-73
01/05/23ARytas98-102
27/04/23HJuventus106-79
22/04/23AZalgiris Kaunas65-71
19/04/23HPrienai94-58
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/23HJonava79-82
18/09/23AJuventus74-81
22/04/23HZalgiris Kaunas 265-69
21/04/23ASuduva-Mantinga92-83
04/04/23HVytis VDU87-73
01/04/23AVytis VDU79-73
29/03/23HVytis VDU72-70
11/03/23HSilute70-60
09/03/23ASuduva-Mantinga74-89
04/03/23ATelsiai67-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Wolves
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.0104.068.0
Allowed / game67.068.066.0
Point differential+19.0+36.0+2.0
Avg total153.0172.0134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mazeikiai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.579.074.0
Allowed / game81.582.081.0
Point differential-5.0-3.0-7.0
Avg total158.0161.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas220100%93.062.0+31.0
2 BC Wolves220100%86.067.0+19.0
3 Rytas220100%101.587.5+14.0
4 Jonava220100%88.078.0+10.0
5 Lietkabelis32167%92.087.3+4.7
6 Siauliai21150%78.075.0+3.0
7 Neptunas21150%86.585.5+1.0
8 Juventus21150%75.076.5-1.5
9 Mazeikiai2020%76.581.5-5.0
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2020%91.0100.5-9.5
11 Nevezis3030%80.397.0-16.7
12 Gargzdai2020%61.5105.5-44.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Wolves3114201984
Mazeikiai1519241674
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