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Neptunas vs BC Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 May 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 75-104
24-31 17-19 16-25 18-29
Position#7
Record16-16
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#3
Record22-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game78.9
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Neptunas v BC Wolves
15 Apr 2025
NEP85
WOL97
15 Feb 2025
NEP87
WOL83
12 Oct 2024
NEP89
WOL74
15 May 2024
NEP95
WOL76
01 May 2024
NEP85
WOL86
08 Oct 2023
NEP66
WOL98
07 May 2023
NEP75
WOL104
05 Nov 2022
NEP100
WOL80
20 Oct 2022
NEP85
WOL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-91
80
91
-11
76avg 73
H19/03
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
76-70
76
70
+6
75avg 73
H26/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-86
73
86
-13
70avg 73
H03/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
86-90
86
90
-4
no box
H10/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
89-87
89
87
+2
86avg 73
A15/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
W
97-91
97
91
+6
96avg 73
H18/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 73
A22/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
94-84
94
84
+10
98avg 73
A25/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
91-86
91
86
+5
86avg 73
H29/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
83-85
83
85
-2
71avg 73
A02/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-23
18-13
33-22
12-33
18-18
16-11
24-22
18-19
19-31
17-22
17-14
20-19
18-25
29-26
19-19
20-20
18-19
28-15
26-25
17-28
15-27
27-24
34-18
21-22
18-20
27-19
21-13
21-26
26-18
24-32
22-16
22-18
20-19
22-28
18-18
31-21
19-13
18-25
21-22
25-25
170.4Avg total
85.6Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)80.581.8162.3-1.350%
Season at home (16)85.283.7168.9+1.556%
Season away (16)75.979.9155.8-4.144%
Last 10 (10)85.684.8170.4+0.860%
Last 5 (5)90.484.8175.2+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)74.782.0156.7-7.322%
vs Similar (10)81.979.9161.8+2.070%
vs Weaker (11)87.279.2166.4+8.073%
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
89avg 80
A02/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
70-65
70
65
+5
65avg 80
H08/04
LKL
Szczecin
#5
W
58-55
58
55
+3
no box
A11/04
ENBL
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
66-70
66
70
-4
no box
H12/04
ENBL
Nevezis
#8
W
88-81
88
81
+7
83avg 80
A15/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
94-58
94
58
+36
no box
H19/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
65-71
65
71
-6
49avg 80
A22/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
106-79
106
79
+27
112avg 80
H27/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
98-102
98
102
-4
84avg 80
A01/05
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
83-73
83
73
+10
82avg 80
H04/05
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
18-22
18-11
27-24
22-18
20-21
14-14
14-12
11-12
19-17
12-13
16-13
17-9
15-25
22-13
12-23
25-21
22-18
24-22
17-20
21-22
27-16
23-14
23-6
20-22
12-20
14-11
19-18
31-17
27-17
22-19
26-26
27-18
28-26
16-29
27-29
23-11
20-20
22-21
18-21
154.1Avg total
81.3Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)85.878.9164.7+7.069%
Season at home (16)87.474.5161.9+12.981%
Season away (16)84.383.2167.6+1.156%
Last 10 (10)81.372.8154.1+8.570%
Last 5 (5)89.276.6165.8+12.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.676.4150.0-2.840%
vs Similar (8)83.582.2165.8+1.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.874.8161.6+11.982%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +0.7+0.7
NeptunasBC Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/03
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H26/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H03/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H10/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A15/04
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H18/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A22/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A25/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H29/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A02/05
LKL
84.2Avg total
41.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.139.879.9+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.742.984.6-1.243%-
Last 30 away (16)38.837.175.8+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.884.2-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)43.245.088.2-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.240.879.0-2.633%-
vs Similar (10)40.538.779.2+1.860%-
vs Weaker (11)41.440.081.4+1.445%-
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A02/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H08/04
LKL
Szczecin
#5
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A11/04
ENBL
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H12/04
ENBL
Nevezis
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A15/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H19/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A22/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H27/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A01/05
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H04/05
LKL
79.6Avg total
42.7Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.837.778.5+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.135.477.6+6.771%-
Last 30 away (16)39.639.879.3-0.256%-
Last 10 (10)42.736.979.6+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)47.237.885.0+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.839.874.6-5.020%-
vs Similar (8)42.439.882.1+2.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.836.277.9+5.682%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.4
54.3%
54.9%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.0
34.7%
35.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.017.0
77.3%
74.2%17.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.321.1
58.1%
54.9%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.4
40.0%
35.0%31.2
🏀 Free throws17.412.3
70.7%
74.2%12.3
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LWWWWWLLWL
BC Wolves
WLWLWWLWWW
#7
League position
#3
+0.8
Net rating
+16.3
117.6
Offensive rating
120.5
116.8
Defensive rating
104.2
53.4%
Effective FG%
58.9%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
14.3%
Turnover %
16.4%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.7%
3-point %
40.0%
72.1%
Assist %
61.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence117.6 · 120.5Defence116.8 · 104.2Shooting53.4% · 58.9%3-point %34.7% · 40.0%Ball care14.3% · 16.4%Off. rebounds33.0% · 32.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Neptunas   ■ BC Wolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Neptunas wins
1
BC Wolves wins
DateGameScore
15/02/23BC Wolves v Neptunas79-63
17/11/22BC Wolves v Neptunas84-90
05/11/22Neptunas v BC Wolves100-80
20/10/22Neptunas v BC Wolves85-81
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/05/23AJuventus83-85
29/04/23HGargzdai91-86
25/04/23APrienai94-84
22/04/23APieno Zvaigzdes87-78
18/04/23HNevezis97-91
15/04/23ASiauliai89-87
10/04/23HRytas86-90
03/04/23HLietkabelis73-86
26/03/23HJonava76-70
19/03/23HZalgiris Kaunas80-91
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/23HSiauliai83-73
01/05/23ARytas98-102
27/04/23HJuventus106-79
22/04/23AZalgiris Kaunas65-71
19/04/23HPrienai94-58
15/04/23ANevezis88-81
12/04/23HOstrow Wielkopolski66-70
11/04/23ASzczecin58-55
08/04/23HLietkabelis70-65
02/04/23AJonava85-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL50%
HomeWLLWW56%
AwayWWWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %50%56%44%
Points / game80.585.275.9
Allowed / game81.883.779.9
Point differential-1.3+1.5-4.1
Avg total162.3168.9155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%19%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)60% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %6%6%6%
BC Wolves
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW69%
HomeWWWWW81%
AwayLWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %69%81%56%
Points / game85.887.484.3
Allowed / game78.974.583.2
Point differential+7.0+12.9+1.1
Avg total164.7161.9167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%56%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (4)50% (8)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas3228488%87.272.5+14.7
2 Rytas3327682%93.082.8+10.3
3 BC Wolves32221069%85.878.9+7.0
4 Lietkabelis32221069%85.881.4+4.5
5 Juventus33181555%86.686.5+0.2
6 Jonava33181555%80.580.7-0.2
7 Neptunas32161650%80.581.8-1.3
8 Nevezis32131941%86.588.5-1.9
9 Siauliai32131941%83.286.3-3.1
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes3382524%79.889.8-10.0
11 Gargzdai3362718%75.884.4-8.6
12 Prienai3342912%79.290.1-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2417161875
BC Wolves31192529104
← all games of the day
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