PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

BC Wolves vs Gargzdai Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 104-68
20-18 24-14 29-19 31-17
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWWLLW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game66.0
BC Wolves 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Gargzdai
Lithuania
Position#12
Record0-1
FormLLLLL
Points / game55.0
Allowed / game107.0
LithuaniaLKL· Avia Solutions Group Arena (Vilnius)
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · BC Wolves v Gargzdai
23 Sep 2023
WOL104
GAR68
12 Dec 2022
WOL96
GAR82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
W
88-81
88
81
+7
83avg 79
A15/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
94-58
94
58
+36
no box
H19/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
65-71
65
71
-6
49avg 79
A22/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
106-79
106
79
+27
112avg 79
H27/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
98-102
98
102
-4
84avg 79
A01/05
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
83-73
83
73
+10
82avg 79
H04/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
104-75
104
75
+29
101avg 79
A07/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
H12/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
75-80
75
80
-5
60avg 79
A14/05
LKL
Siauliai
#10
W
68-66
68
66
+2
57avg 79
A17/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
22-18
24-22
17-20
21-22
27-16
23-14
23-6
20-22
12-20
14-11
19-18
31-17
27-17
22-19
26-26
27-18
28-26
16-29
27-29
23-11
20-20
22-21
18-21
31-24
19-17
25-16
29-18
19-19
9-24
21-20
27-17
25-21
15-22
14-17
21-20
18-17
15-21
24-12
11-16
162.2Avg total
85.7Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)68.066.0134.0+2.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)68.066.0134.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.776.5162.2+9.260%
Last 5 (5)81.274.8156.0+6.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.676.4150.0-2.840%
vs Similar (7)82.983.1166.0-0.343%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.875.3161.1+10.572%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
L
73-87
73
87
-14
64avg 69
H02/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
77-90
77
90
-13
no box
A11/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
77-76
77
76
+1
74avg 69
H16/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
65-67
65
67
-2
no box
A18/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
56-60
56
60
-4
60avg 69
H24/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
78-89
78
89
-11
69avg 69
A26/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
86-91
86
91
-5
87avg 69
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
65-86
65
86
-21
56avg 69
H02/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
65-91
65
91
-26
58avg 69
A06/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
55-107
55
107
-52
42avg 69
H17/09
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
16-30
25-14
19-22
20-25
12-22
28-21
17-22
14-14
26-29
18-9
19-24
15-14
16-10
19-18
15-25
15-19
13-9
20-17
8-15
20-27
20-18
22-23
16-21
19-20
28-22
18-18
21-31
9-25
17-26
18-13
21-22
19-23
15-21
21-20
10-27
16-34
7-21
14-25
18-27
154.1Avg total
69.7Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)55.0107.0162.0-52.00%
Season at home (1)55.0107.0162.0-52.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.784.4154.1-14.710%
Last 5 (5)69.892.8162.6-23.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)73.886.6160.5-12.812%
vs Similar (5)80.677.4158.0+3.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -7.2-7.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -6.2-6.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: -7.2-7.2
BC WolvesGargzdai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A15/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H19/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A22/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
58-34
58
34
+24
H27/04
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A01/05
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H04/05
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A07/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H12/05
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/05
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A17/09
LKL
82.7Avg total
43.4Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.579.2+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.636.678.1+5.064%-
Last 30 away (16)39.940.280.1-0.256%-
Last 10 (10)43.439.382.7+4.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.278.0-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.839.874.6-5.020%-
vs Similar (7)41.341.382.6+0.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.137.179.2+5.178%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
L
29-51
29
51
-22
H02/04
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A11/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H16/04
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A18/04
LKL
Siauliai
#9
D
28-28
28
28
+0
H24/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A26/04
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
26-51
26
51
-25
H02/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A06/05
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
23-55
23
55
-32
H17/09
LKL
76.0Avg total
33.0Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.943.280.1-6.323%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.441.475.9-7.029%-
Last 30 away (16)39.144.783.8-5.619%-
Last 10 (10)33.043.076.0-10.020%-
Last 5 (5)34.047.481.4-13.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.443.780.1-7.320%-
vs Similar (5)39.440.680.0-1.240%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.121.0
55.1%
55.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.6
36.6%
34.7%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.413.9
68.1%
73.2%13.9
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 69.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.1
50.0%
55.4%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.36.9
28.4%
34.7%20.7
🏀 Free throws18.312.4
67.8%
73.2%12.4
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
BC Wolves
WLLWWLWLWW
Gargzdai
LLLLLLLWLL
#3
League position
#12
+12.8
Net rating
-20.7
120.8
Offensive rating
94.4
107.9
Defensive rating
115.1
55.1%
Effective FG%
47.0%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
14.0%
Turnover %
22.7%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.6%
3-point %
28.4%
56.2%
Assist %
68.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence120.8 · 94.4Defence107.9 · 115.1Shooting55.1% · 47.0%3-point %36.6% · 28.4%Ball care14.0% · 22.7%Off. rebounds35.4% · 31.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ BC Wolves   ■ Gargzdai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
BC Wolves wins
1
Gargzdai wins
DateGameScore
21/03/23Gargzdai v BC Wolves85-82
12/12/22BC Wolves v Gargzdai96-82
09/10/22Gargzdai v BC Wolves68-73
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/09/23ASiauliai68-66
14/05/23AJonava75-80
12/05/23HJonava76-80
07/05/23ANeptunas104-75
04/05/23HSiauliai83-73
01/05/23ARytas98-102
27/04/23HJuventus106-79
22/04/23AZalgiris Kaunas65-71
19/04/23HPrienai94-58
15/04/23ANevezis88-81
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/09/23HZalgiris Kaunas55-107
06/05/23ARytas65-91
02/05/23HLietkabelis65-86
29/04/23ANeptunas86-91
26/04/23APieno Zvaigzdes78-89
24/04/23HSiauliai56-60
18/04/23AJonava65-67
16/04/23HJuventus77-76
11/04/23APrienai77-90
02/04/23HNevezis73-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

BC Wolves
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game68.0-68.0
Allowed / game66.0-66.0
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total134.0-134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Gargzdai
LKL 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game55.055.0-
Allowed / game107.0107.0-
Point differential-52.0-52.0-
Avg total162.0162.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%107.055.0+52.0
2 Jonava110100%94.077.0+17.0
3 Rytas110100%106.090.0+16.0
4 Neptunas110100%91.081.0+10.0
5 Juventus110100%81.074.0+7.0
6 BC Wolves110100%68.066.0+2.0
7 Siauliai1010%66.068.0-2.0
8 Mazeikiai1010%74.081.0-7.0
9 Lietkabelis1010%81.091.0-10.0
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1010%90.0106.0-16.0
11 Nevezis1010%77.094.0-17.0
12 Gargzdai1010%55.0107.0-52.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
BC Wolves20242931104
Gargzdai1814191768
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.