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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Prienai Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 15:20
Final 86-80
23-19 15-17 19-21 29-23
Position#1
Record15-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game71.4
Zalgiris Kaunas 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Prienai
Lithuania
Position#12
Record1-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game90.1
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Prienai
12 Feb 2023
ZAL86
PRI80
31 Oct 2021
ZAL103
PRI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prienai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
66-61
66
61
+5
59avg 76
A13/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#9
W
93-75
93
75
+18
93avg 76
A16/01
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
71-66
71
66
+5
66avg 76
H20/01
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#6
W
91-72
91
72
+19
no box
H22/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
L
65-89
65
89
-24
57avg 76
A26/01
Euroleague
Jonava
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
74avg 76
H29/01
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
70-80
70
80
-10
59avg 76
A01/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
74-88
74
88
-14
66avg 76
H03/02
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
L
75-80
75
80
-5
73avg 76
A06/02
LKL
Baskonia
#8
W
79-75
79
75
+4
74avg 76
H10/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-9
18-18
22-13
7-21
22-18
21-20
27-17
23-20
20-14
18-16
12-26
21-10
22-14
21-14
23-19
25-25
24-19
18-8
16-37
7-25
12-22
26-21
24-13
14-24
16-16
12-22
21-17
21-25
15-26
15-21
24-14
20-27
17-23
16-16
19-19
23-22
20-18
18-24
23-18
18-15
152.6Avg total
76.0Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)86.371.4157.8+14.983%
Season at home (9)88.470.4158.9+18.089%
Season away (9)84.272.4156.7+11.878%
Last 10 (10)76.076.6152.6-0.650%
Last 5 (5)74.880.6155.4-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.882.0158.8-5.250%
vs Similar (13)73.374.8148.1-1.554%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)86.272.0158.2+14.285%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
L
76-94
76
94
-18
58avg 63
A27/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
L
68-76
68
76
-8
no box
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 63
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 63
H12/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
68-92
68
92
-24
50avg 63
H18/12
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
75-80
75
80
-5
62avg 63
A21/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
71-74
71
74
-3
55avg 63
A09/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
77-98
77
98
-21
60avg 63
A14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
86-74
86
74
+12
81avg 63
A28/01
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
86-98
86
98
-12
no box
H04/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
21-26
18-24
18-23
22-20
16-21
13-17
17-18
20-26
19-20
23-23
19-20
20-25
14-20
15-16
14-20
20-31
15-22
16-19
17-20
14-16
14-20
22-25
25-19
27-12
15-27
16-17
13-18
26-19
12-39
19-19
20-21
28-15
15-18
22-19
21-22
20-23
23-25
22-20
21-30
160.7Avg total
75.1Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.590.1167.6-12.66%
Season at home (9)73.391.2164.6-17.90%
Season away (9)81.788.9170.6-7.211%
Last 10 (10)75.185.6160.7-10.510%
Last 5 (5)79.084.8163.8-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)77.692.0169.7-14.44%
vs Similar (4)83.895.2179.0-11.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -7.4-7.4Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -7.4-7.4Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
Zalgiris KaunasPrienai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
37-27
37
27
+10
A13/01
Euroleague
Siauliai
#9
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A16/01
LKL
Crvena zvezda
#11
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H20/01
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#6
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H22/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Panathinaikos
#15
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A26/01
Euroleague
Jonava
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H29/01
LKL
Anadolu Efes
#10
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A01/02
Euroleague
Partizan
#6
L
30-47
30
47
-17
H03/02
Euroleague
BC Wolves
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A06/02
LKL
Baskonia
#8
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H10/02
Euroleague
72.9Avg total
37.0Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.935.774.6+3.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.735.071.7+1.760%-
Last 30 away (15)41.036.477.4+4.680%-
Last 10 (10)37.035.972.9+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)33.441.875.2-8.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.241.578.8-4.250%-
vs Similar (13)37.534.371.8+3.269%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)40.735.376.0+5.477%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A27/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H12/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H18/12
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A21/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A09/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A28/01
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H04/02
LKL
82.6Avg total
38.0Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.645.983.5-8.313%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.645.780.3-11.10%-
Last 30 away (16)40.246.186.3-5.825%-
Last 10 (10)38.044.682.6-6.620%-
Last 5 (5)38.842.881.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)37.145.983.0-8.812%-
vs Similar (4)41.045.886.8-4.825%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.7
52.8%
54.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.0
36.0%
35.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws15.713.2
84.1%
74.2%13.2
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.516.1
45.4%
54.9%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.28.6
30.5%
35.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws21.116.1
76.3%
74.2%16.1
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLLLLLWWWW
Prienai
LWLLLLLLLL
#1
League position
#12
-2.9
Net rating
-15.7
113.3
Offensive rating
98.6
116.2
Defensive rating
114.3
53.3%
Effective FG%
45.5%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
19.5%
Turnover %
16.6%
37.4%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.0%
3-point %
30.5%
54.7%
Assist %
54.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence113.3 · 98.6Defence116.2 · 114.3Shooting53.3% · 45.5%3-point %36.0% · 30.5%Ball care19.5% · 16.6%Off. rebounds37.4% · 24.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Prienai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
0
Prienai wins
DateGameScore
29/09/22Prienai v Zalgiris Kaunas66-91
13/01/22Prienai v Zalgiris Kaunas71-88
12/12/21Prienai v Zalgiris Kaunas78-81
31/10/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Prienai103-77
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/23HBaskonia79-75
06/02/23ABC Wolves75-80
03/02/23HPartizan74-88
01/02/23AAnadolu Efes70-80
29/01/23HJonava76-80
26/01/23APanathinaikos65-89
22/01/23HBC Wolves91-72
20/01/23HCrvena zvezda71-66
16/01/23ASiauliai93-75
13/01/23AOlimpia Milano66-61
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/23HNevezis86-98
28/01/23ALietkabelis86-74
14/01/23ARytas77-98
09/01/23AGargzdai71-74
21/12/22ANeptunas75-80
18/12/22HJuventus68-92
12/12/22HSiauliai63-81
04/12/22ANevezis81-89
30/11/22HBC Wolves68-76
27/11/22AJuventus76-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL83%
HomeWWWWL89%
AwayWWWWL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %83%89%78%
Points / game86.388.484.2
Allowed / game71.470.472.4
Point differential+14.9+18.0+11.8
Avg total157.8158.9156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Prienai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL6%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLW11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %6%0%11%
Points / game77.573.381.7
Allowed / game90.191.288.9
Point differential-12.6-17.9-7.2
Avg total167.6164.6170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %17%22%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1815383%86.371.4+14.9
2 Rytas1814478%88.981.3+7.6
3 BC Wolves1813572%84.479.2+5.2
4 Juventus1813572%85.882.5+3.3
5 Jonava1811761%80.678.0+2.6
6 Lietkabelis1911858%84.382.5+1.8
7 Siauliai189950%82.483.4-0.9
8 Nevezis1881044%80.882.1-1.2
9 Neptunas1871139%77.481.2-3.7
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1841422%78.187.1-9.0
11 Gargzdai1931616%77.885.4-7.6
12 Prienai181176%77.590.1-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2315192986
Prienai1917212380
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