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Prienai vs BC Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 78-88
18-23 20-22 19-21 21-22
Position#12
Record2-18
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game89.0
Prienai
Lithuania
vs
BC Wolves 🏆
Lithuania
Position#3
Record14-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game79.8
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Prienai v BC Wolves
05 Mar 2023
PRI78
WOL88
30 Nov 2022
PRI68
WOL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Prienai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Wolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 63
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 63
H12/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
68-92
68
92
-24
50avg 63
H18/12
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
75-80
75
80
-5
62avg 63
A21/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
71-74
71
74
-3
55avg 63
A09/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
77-98
77
98
-21
60avg 63
A14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
86-74
86
74
+12
81avg 63
A28/01
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
86-98
86
98
-12
no box
H04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
67avg 63
A12/02
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
85-74
85
74
+11
79avg 63
A14/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
19-20
23-23
19-20
20-25
14-20
15-16
14-20
20-31
15-22
16-19
17-20
14-16
14-20
22-25
25-19
27-12
15-27
16-17
13-18
26-19
12-39
19-19
20-21
28-15
15-18
22-19
21-22
20-23
23-25
22-20
21-30
19-23
17-15
21-19
23-29
21-24
17-27
21-10
26-13
161.8Avg total
77.2Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.089.0167.1-11.010%
Season at home (9)73.391.2164.6-17.90%
Season away (11)81.887.3169.1-5.518%
Last 10 (10)77.284.6161.8-7.420%
Last 5 (5)82.886.0168.8-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)77.791.3169.0-13.78%
vs Similar (4)83.895.2179.0-11.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#7
L
86-89
86
89
-3
no box
A17/01
ENBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
72-91
72
91
-19
no box
A22/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Nes Ziona
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
no box
A25/01
ENBL
Nevezis
#8
W
94-73
94
73
+21
92avg 79
H29/01
LKL
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
W
85-75
85
75
+10
no box
H31/01
ENBL
Brno
#14
W
62-56
62
56
+6
no box
A01/02
ENBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 79
H06/02
LKL
Szczecin
#5
W
87-84
87
84
+3
no box
H09/02
ENBL
Siauliai
#9
L
102-107
102
107
-5
100avg 79
A13/02
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
79-63
79
63
+16
72avg 79
H15/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
21-22
18-20
28-26
14-22
14-21
19-23
25-25
25-25
19-16
19-15
21-34
21-20
22-15
21-22
30-16
24-23
19-24
19-20
23-8
14-11
17-19
15-18
16-8
23-17
16-16
19-19
22-23
17-18
28-31
17-15
25-20
27-20
23-28
27-24
25-35
21-9
19-18
20-17
19-19
163.4Avg total
83.1Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.079.8164.8+5.270%
Season at home (10)85.775.5161.2+10.280%
Season away (10)84.384.1168.4+0.260%
Last 10 (10)83.180.3163.4+2.860%
Last 5 (5)82.077.0159.0+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)80.985.9166.7-5.029%
vs Similar (7)89.784.9174.6+4.957%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.877.1162.9+8.681%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -7.2-7.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -7.2-7.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
PrienaiBC Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H12/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H18/12
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A21/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A09/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A28/01
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A12/02
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A14/02
LKL
82.3Avg total
37.6Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.746.384.0-8.610%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.246.281.5-11.00%-
Last 30 away (17)39.646.486.0-6.718%-
Last 10 (10)37.644.782.3-7.120%-
Last 5 (5)39.645.685.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)37.246.483.6-9.28%-
vs Similar (4)41.045.886.8-4.825%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#7
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A17/01
ENBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
28-43
28
43
-15
A22/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Nes Ziona
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A25/01
ENBL
Nevezis
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H29/01
LKL
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H31/01
ENBL
Brno
#14
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A01/02
ENBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H06/02
LKL
Szczecin
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H09/02
ENBL
Siauliai
#9
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A13/02
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H15/02
LKL
79.9Avg total
40.3Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.083.1+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.739.983.6+3.967%-
Last 30 away (15)40.442.282.6-1.840%-
Last 10 (10)40.339.679.9+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)41.037.478.4+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.944.483.3-5.614%-
vs Similar (7)45.644.089.6+1.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.938.280.2+3.775%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.217.1
48.6%
54.9%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.1
32.3%
35.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.614.5
74.0%
74.2%14.5
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.116.4
58.4%
54.9%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.712.7
44.3%
35.0%38.1
🏀 Free throws16.011.5
71.9%
74.2%11.5
They take 56.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 51% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Prienai
WLLWLLLLLL
BC Wolves
WLWWWWWLLL
#12
League position
#3
-12.6
Net rating
+10.6
102.8
Offensive rating
121.1
115.4
Defensive rating
110.6
48.5%
Effective FG%
62.4%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
15.9%
Turnover %
19.8%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.3%
3-point %
44.3%
51.9%
Assist %
70.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 121.1Defence115.4 · 110.6Shooting48.5% · 62.4%3-point %32.3% · 44.3%Ball care15.9% · 19.8%Off. rebounds25.1% · 33.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Prienai   ■ BC Wolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Prienai wins
3
BC Wolves wins
DateGameScore
30/11/22Prienai v BC Wolves68-76
21/11/22BC Wolves v Prienai79-70
26/10/22BC Wolves v Prienai95-70
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/23AJonava85-74
12/02/23AZalgiris Kaunas80-86
04/02/23HNevezis86-98
28/01/23ALietkabelis86-74
14/01/23ARytas77-98
09/01/23AGargzdai71-74
21/12/22ANeptunas75-80
18/12/22HJuventus68-92
12/12/22HSiauliai63-81
04/12/22ANevezis81-89
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/23HNeptunas79-63
13/02/23ASiauliai102-107
09/02/23HSzczecin87-84
06/02/23HZalgiris Kaunas80-75
01/02/23ABrno62-56
31/01/23HOstrow Wielkopolski85-75
29/01/23HNevezis94-73
25/01/23ANes Ziona84-90
22/01/23AZalgiris Kaunas72-91
17/01/23ATrefl Sopot86-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Prienai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW10%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLWLW18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %10%0%18%
Points / game78.073.381.8
Allowed / game89.091.287.3
Point differential-11.1-17.9-5.5
Avg total167.1164.6169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %15%22%9%
BC Wolves
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW70%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game85.085.784.3
Allowed / game79.875.584.1
Point differential+5.2+10.2+0.2
Avg total164.8161.2168.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2118386%86.471.5+14.9
2 Rytas2015575%89.281.2+8.1
3 BC Wolves2014670%85.079.8+5.2
4 Juventus2114767%85.682.8+2.8
5 Lietkabelis2113862%85.583.2+2.2
6 Jonava2011955%80.379.0+1.4
7 Siauliai20101050%84.285.1-0.9
8 Nevezis2191243%82.084.2-2.1
9 Neptunas2081240%77.881.8-4.1
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1941521%77.788.1-10.4
11 Gargzdai2141719%78.685.6-7.0
12 Prienai2021810%78.089.0-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Prienai1820192178
BC Wolves2322212288
← all games of the day
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