PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Prienai vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 86-98
20-23 23-25 22-20 21-30
Position#12
Record1-16
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game89.6
vs
Nevezis 🏆
Lithuania
Position#8
Record7-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game81.8
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Prienai v Nevezis
04 Feb 2023
PRI86
NEV98
18 Apr 2022
PRI86
NEV97
30 Jan 2022
PRI93
NEV102
21 Oct 2021
PRI89
NEV59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Prienai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#4
L
72-105
72
105
-33
no box
H24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#5
L
76-94
76
94
-18
58avg 62
A27/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
L
68-76
68
76
-8
no box
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 62
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 62
H12/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
68-92
68
92
-24
50avg 62
H18/12
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
75-80
75
80
-5
62avg 62
A21/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
71-74
71
74
-3
55avg 62
A09/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
77-98
77
98
-21
60avg 62
A14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
86-74
86
74
+12
81avg 62
A28/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
15-30
22-26
21-26
19-21
21-26
18-24
18-23
22-20
16-21
13-17
17-18
20-26
19-20
23-23
19-20
20-25
14-20
15-16
14-20
20-31
15-22
16-19
17-20
14-16
14-20
22-25
25-19
27-12
15-27
16-17
13-18
26-19
12-39
19-19
20-21
28-15
15-18
22-19
21-22
160.0Avg total
73.7Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.089.6166.6-12.66%
Season at home (8)71.890.4162.1-18.60%
Season away (9)81.788.9170.6-7.211%
Last 10 (10)73.786.3160.0-12.610%
Last 5 (5)75.483.6159.0-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)77.091.2168.2-14.24%
vs Similar (4)83.895.2179.0-11.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
85-86
85
86
-1
no box
A01/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#12
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 70
H04/12
LKL
Rytas
#9
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
H07/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 70
A12/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
99-92
99
92
+7
94avg 70
H19/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
84-86
84
86
-2
75avg 70
H28/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
71-74
71
74
-3
56avg 70
H09/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
83-65
83
65
+18
76avg 70
H16/01
LKL
Rytas
#9
L
78-98 OT
78
98
-20
no box
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
73-94
73
94
-21
68avg 70
A29/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
23-30
24-27
24-9
26-20
20-19
23-23
20-19
18-19
16-21
23-18
21-12
23-30
21-15
19-21
16-20
21-25
35-24
18-26
25-17
18-31
26-23
19-17
21-15
16-19
15-13
27-23
13-19
26-20
15-19
25-7
17-19
23-22
19-27
20-13
11-19
20-21
15-22
22-21
16-30
165.1Avg total
81.9Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)79.881.8161.6-2.041%
Season at home (9)80.380.0160.3+0.333%
Season away (8)79.283.9163.1-4.650%
Last 10 (10)81.983.2165.1-1.340%
Last 5 (5)77.883.4161.2-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.886.5162.3-10.710%
vs Similar (13)81.683.2164.8-1.646%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)92.085.3177.3+6.786%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -8.7-8.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -8.7-8.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.5+0.5
PrienaiNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#4
L
29-53
29
53
-24
H24/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A27/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H12/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H18/12
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A21/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A09/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A28/01
LKL
81.7Avg total
36.6Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.345.683.0-8.313%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.045.179.1-11.10%-
Last 30 away (16)40.246.186.3-5.825%-
Last 10 (10)36.645.181.7-8.520%-
Last 5 (5)37.243.881.0-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)36.845.682.4-8.812%-
vs Similar (4)41.045.886.8-4.825%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nevezis) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A01/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#12
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H04/12
LKL
Rytas
#9
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H07/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#7
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A12/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H19/12
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H28/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H09/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H16/01
LKL
Rytas
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A29/01
LKL
85.0Avg total
41.0Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.342.382.7-2.043%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.840.880.6-0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)40.944.185.1-3.236%-
Last 10 (10)41.044.085.0-3.030%-
Last 5 (5)38.643.482.0-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.042.981.9-3.930%-
vs Similar (13)39.442.281.5-2.831%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.041.985.9+2.186%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.616.0
43.7%
54.9%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.2
29.5%
35.0%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.115.7
78.1%
74.2%15.7
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.2
54.4%
54.9%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.4
30.5%
35.0%22.2
🏀 Free throws23.718.3
77.2%
74.2%18.3
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Prienai
WLLLLLLLLL
Nevezis
LLWLLWLWWL
#12
League position
#8
-17.7
Net rating
+1.3
96.1
Offensive rating
106.4
113.8
Defensive rating
105.1
43.9%
Effective FG%
51.0%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
16.1%
Turnover %
19.9%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.39
29.5%
3-point %
30.5%
52.9%
Assist %
60.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.1 · 106.4Defence113.8 · 105.1Shooting43.9% · 51.0%3-point %29.5% · 30.5%Ball care16.1% · 19.9%Off. rebounds23.5% · 30.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Prienai   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Prienai wins
4
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
04/12/22Nevezis v Prienai89-81
18/04/22Prienai v Nevezis86-97
30/01/22Prienai v Nevezis93-102
21/10/21Prienai v Nevezis89-59
28/09/21Nevezis v Prienai81-83
19/09/21Nevezis v Prienai90-80
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/23ALietkabelis86-74
14/01/23ARytas77-98
09/01/23AGargzdai71-74
21/12/22ANeptunas75-80
18/12/22HJuventus68-92
12/12/22HSiauliai63-81
04/12/22ANevezis81-89
30/11/22HBC Wolves68-76
27/11/22AJuventus76-94
24/11/22HNeptunas72-105
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/23ABC Wolves73-94
21/01/23ARytas78-98 OT
16/01/23HPieno Zvaigzdes83-65
09/01/23HJuventus71-74
28/12/22HRytas84-86
19/12/22HGargzdai99-92
12/12/22ANeptunas79-86
07/12/22HRytas78-70
04/12/22HPrienai89-81
01/12/22APieno Zvaigzdes85-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Prienai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW6%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLW11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %6%0%11%
Points / game77.071.881.7
Allowed / game89.690.488.9
Point differential-12.6-18.6-7.2
Avg total166.6162.1170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %18%25%11%
Nevezis
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL41%
HomeWWLLW33%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %41%33%50%
Points / game79.880.379.2
Allowed / game81.880.083.9
Point differential-2.0+0.3-4.6
Avg total161.6160.3163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (5)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1715288%87.070.9+16.1
2 Rytas1612475%88.983.1+5.9
3 BC Wolves1712571%84.679.5+5.2
4 Juventus1712571%85.582.1+3.4
5 Jonava1711665%81.678.2+3.5
6 Lietkabelis1710759%84.281.9+2.2
7 Siauliai178947%81.282.8-1.5
8 Nevezis1771041%79.881.8-2.0
9 Neptunas1771041%77.080.6-3.6
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1631319%77.787.8-10.1
11 Gargzdai1731418%77.484.1-6.6
12 Prienai171166%77.089.6-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Prienai2023222186
Nevezis2325203098
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.