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Jonava vs Prienai Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 74-85
24-21 27-17 10-21 13-26
Position#6
Record11-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game78.7
Jonava
Lithuania
vs
Prienai 🏆
Lithuania
Position#12
Record1-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game89.8
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Jonava v Prienai
14 Feb 2023
JON74
PRI85
27 Apr 2022
JON100
PRI84
20 Nov 2021
JON93
PRI77
03 Nov 2021
JON78
PRI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prienai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
L
78-88
78
88
-10
72avg 70
A11/12
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
74-82
74
82
-8
71avg 70
H22/12
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
A04/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
82avg 70
A07/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
69-68
69
68
+1
69avg 70
A15/01
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
76-75
76
75
+1
no box
H21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
80-76
80
76
+4
70avg 70
A29/01
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
83-66
83
66
+17
85avg 70
H01/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
62-75
62
75
-13
50avg 70
H04/02
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
83-91
83
91
-8
76avg 70
A12/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
18-24
12-15
22-25
21-19
13-20
21-22
19-21
24-20
26-17
15-14
20-29
19-18
27-19
18-23
20-26
15-18
25-10
19-22
10-18
21-18
15-16
16-21
24-20
22-12
21-26
13-24
24-14
19-22
20-19
21-14
23-11
15-14
20-18
12-19
15-24
27-25
21-23
23-26
12-17
156.1Avg total
77.4Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)80.778.7159.4+2.058%
Season at home (9)78.676.6155.1+2.044%
Season away (10)82.680.6163.2+2.070%
Last 10 (10)77.478.7156.1-1.350%
Last 5 (5)76.876.6153.4+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.674.1150.7+2.471%
vs Similar (14)80.180.7160.9-0.636%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.976.5158.4+5.488%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#6
L
68-76
68
76
-8
no box
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 63
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 63
H12/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
68-92
68
92
-24
50avg 63
H18/12
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
75-80
75
80
-5
62avg 63
A21/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
71-74
71
74
-3
55avg 63
A09/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
77-98
77
98
-21
60avg 63
A14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
86-74
86
74
+12
81avg 63
A28/01
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
86-98
86
98
-12
no box
H04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
80-86
80
86
-6
67avg 63
A12/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
16-21
13-17
17-18
20-26
19-20
23-23
19-20
20-25
14-20
15-16
14-20
20-31
15-22
16-19
17-20
14-16
14-20
22-25
25-19
27-12
15-27
16-17
13-18
26-19
12-39
19-19
20-21
28-15
15-18
22-19
21-22
20-23
23-25
22-20
21-30
19-23
17-15
21-19
23-29
160.3Avg total
75.5Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.689.8167.5-12.25%
Season at home (9)73.391.2164.6-17.90%
Season away (10)81.588.6170.1-7.110%
Last 10 (10)75.584.8160.3-9.310%
Last 5 (5)80.086.0166.0-6.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)76.891.3168.0-14.54%
vs Similar (4)83.895.2179.0-11.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -6.7-6.7Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -6.7-6.7Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.7-2.7
JonavaPrienai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Juventus
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A11/12
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H22/12
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A04/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A07/01
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A15/01
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A29/01
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H01/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H04/02
LKL
Nevezis
#8
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A12/02
LKL
79.7Avg total
41.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.837.978.6+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.136.477.4+4.757%-
Last 30 away (16)40.539.279.7+1.350%-
Last 10 (10)41.538.279.7+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.678.8+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.035.774.7+3.371%-
vs Similar (14)42.240.382.5+1.943%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.835.576.2+5.262%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H30/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A04/12
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H12/12
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H18/12
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A21/12
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A09/01
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A14/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A28/01
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H04/02
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A12/02
LKL
81.3Avg total
37.6Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.345.983.2-8.610%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.645.780.3-11.10%-
Last 30 away (16)39.846.185.8-6.319%-
Last 10 (10)37.643.781.3-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)40.443.283.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)36.845.982.7-9.28%-
vs Similar (4)41.045.886.8-4.825%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jonava) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 77.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.0
54.8%
54.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.6
37.1%
35.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.713.2
74.6%
74.2%13.2
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.316.6
45.7%
54.9%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.8
31.4%
35.0%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.915.5
74.2%
74.2%15.5
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
LLWWWWLWLL
Prienai
LLWLLLLLLL
#6
League position
#12
-3.0
Net rating
-15.4
108.6
Offensive rating
100.6
111.6
Defensive rating
116.0
55.1%
Effective FG%
46.3%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
19.0%
Turnover %
15.6%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
24.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.1%
3-point %
31.4%
67.4%
Assist %
52.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence108.6 · 100.6Defence111.6 · 116.0Shooting55.1% · 46.3%3-point %37.1% · 31.4%Ball care19.0% · 15.6%Off. rebounds27.6% · 24.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Jonava   ■ Prienai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Jonava wins
0
Prienai wins
DateGameScore
24/09/22Prienai v Jonava74-80 OT
27/04/22Jonava v Prienai100-84
29/12/21Prienai v Jonava68-81
20/11/21Jonava v Prienai93-77
03/11/21Jonava v Prienai78-74
07/10/21Prienai v Jonava81-85
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/23ANevezis83-91
04/02/23HRytas62-75
01/02/23HNeptunas83-66
29/01/23AZalgiris Kaunas80-76
21/01/23HNeptunas76-75
15/01/23AGargzdai69-68
07/01/23ALietkabelis84-86
04/01/23ANeptunas85-80
22/12/22HSiauliai74-82
11/12/22AJuventus78-88
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/23AZalgiris Kaunas80-86
04/02/23HNevezis86-98
28/01/23ALietkabelis86-74
14/01/23ARytas77-98
09/01/23AGargzdai71-74
21/12/22ANeptunas75-80
18/12/22HJuventus68-92
12/12/22HSiauliai63-81
04/12/22ANevezis81-89
30/11/22HBC Wolves68-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL58%
HomeWLLWL44%
AwayLLWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %58%44%70%
Points / game80.778.682.6
Allowed / game78.776.680.6
Point differential+2.0+2.0+2.0
Avg total159.4155.1163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%22%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)0% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Prienai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL5%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLWL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %5%0%10%
Points / game77.673.381.5
Allowed / game89.891.288.6
Point differential-12.2-17.9-7.1
Avg total167.5164.6170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %16%22%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas1916384%86.371.9+14.4
2 Rytas1814478%88.981.3+7.6
3 BC Wolves1913668%85.380.7+4.6
4 Juventus1913668%86.483.3+3.1
5 Lietkabelis2012860%85.783.8+1.9
6 Jonava1911858%80.778.7+2.0
7 Siauliai1910953%83.784.4-0.6
8 Nevezis2091145%82.783.5-0.8
9 Neptunas1981142%78.582.0-3.5
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes1841422%78.187.1-9.0
11 Gargzdai1931616%77.885.4-7.6
12 Prienai191185%77.689.8-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava2427101374
Prienai2117212685
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