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Belmont vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-69
44-36 36-33
Position#25
Record17-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game71.2
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#96
Record14-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game66.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Belmont v Illinois State
08 Jan 2027
BELM v ILLI
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
BELM80
ILLI69
07 Mar 2025
BELM76
ILLI63
04 Dec 2024
BELM99
ILLI97
10 Jan 2024
BELM67
ILLI60
04 Feb 2023
BELM90
ILLI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H13/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
83-78
83
78
+5
A17/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
84-58
84
58
+26
A20/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
80-81 OT
80
81
-1
A30/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H02/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
78-65
78
65
+13
A08/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
78-76
78
76
+2
A10/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H14/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A18/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-43
57-41
41-30
42-48
38-36
46-22
41-36
30-35
42-39
46-39
22-26
45-42
36-32
42-33
25-44
53-32
41-39
37-35
32-24
41-44
152.6Avg total
79.6Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.171.2152.3+9.981%
Season at home (11)83.170.5153.6+12.582%
Season away (10)78.972.0150.9+6.980%
Last 10 (10)79.673.0152.6+6.680%
Last 5 (5)74.870.2145.0+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.057.0107.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.074.1154.1+5.978%
vs Weaker (20)80.070.5150.5+9.480%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#20
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A13/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A19/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H21/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
73-56
73
56
+17
A30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
73-47
73
47
+26
H01/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
59-63 OT
59
63
-4
H10/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
89-94
89
94
-5
A15/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H17/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H22/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-40
45-43
30-35
45-33
42-25
43-40
31-27
42-29
46-28
27-19
23-35
48-42
25-28
26-23
42-51
47-43
44-29
44-33
24-16
35-38
141.9Avg total
75.0Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.266.4144.7+11.870%
Season at home (12)80.259.2139.4+20.992%
Season away (8)75.477.1152.5-1.838%
Last 10 (10)75.066.9141.9+8.160%
Last 5 (5)73.270.0143.2+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)79.079.3158.3-0.333%
vs Similar ◀ (10)71.468.5139.9+2.960%
vs Weaker (16)77.967.7145.6+10.269%
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: +5.9+5.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: +2.6+2.62nd half2nd half: +6.8+6.82nd half: +5.9+5.9
BelmontIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H13/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A17/12
NCAA
UC Irvine
#60
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A20/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A30/12
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H02/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
22-26
22
26
-4
H04/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A08/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A10/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H14/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A18/01
NCAA
69.7Avg total
34.8Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.134.170.2+2.077%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.932.369.2+4.681%-
Last 30 away (14)35.136.171.2-1.171%-
Last 10 (10)34.834.969.7-0.170%-
Last 5 (5)31.233.064.2-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.021.051.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.633.870.3+2.867%-
vs Weaker (20)36.134.971.0+1.280%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#20
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A13/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A19/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H21/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A30/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H01/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A08/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H10/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A15/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H17/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
24-16
24
16
+8
H22/01
NCAA
65.4Avg total
34.0Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.231.868.0+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.227.266.4+11.981%-
Last 30 away (14)32.937.069.9-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)34.031.465.4+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)31.631.863.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.335.769.0-2.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)32.232.664.8-0.450%-
vs Weaker (16)38.631.269.8+7.369%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Belmont wins
3
Illinois State wins
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/01/26ASouthern Illinois73-68
14/01/26HValparaiso78-74
10/01/26ADrake78-76
08/01/26ANorthern Iowa78-65
04/01/26HSouthern Illinois67-68
02/01/26HBradley88-78
30/12/25AIndiana State80-81 OT
20/12/25AUC Irvine84-58
17/12/25AEvansville83-78
13/12/25HIllinois (Chi.)87-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26HNorthern Iowa59-54
17/01/26HBradley88-62
15/01/26AIndiana State89-94
10/01/26HIllinois (Chi.)59-63 OT
08/01/26AValparaiso71-77
01/01/26HEvansville73-47
30/12/25ADrake73-56
21/12/25HIndiana State85-65
19/12/25ASouthern Illinois75-68
13/12/25AUtah State78-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW81%
HomeLWWLW82%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %81%82%80%
Points / game81.183.178.9
Allowed / game71.270.572.0
Point differential+9.9+12.5+6.9
Avg total152.3153.6150.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%45%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Illinois State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW70%
HomeWWLWW92%
AwayLWWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %70%92%38%
Points / game78.280.275.4
Allowed / game66.459.277.1
Point differential+11.8+20.9-1.8
Avg total144.7139.4152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont2117481%81.171.2+9.9
2 Murray State2016480%87.978.5+9.4
3 Illinois State2014670%78.266.4+11.8
4 Bradley2114767%78.072.7+5.3
5 Northern Iowa2012860%67.159.7+7.4
6 Illinois (Chi.)20101050%75.069.9+5.0
7 Drake20101050%77.272.6+4.6
8 Valparaiso20101050%70.869.7+1.1
9 Indiana State2091145%76.275.1+1.1
10 Southern Illinois2081240%75.573.2+2.2
11 Evansville2051525%67.273.8-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont443680
Illinois State363369
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