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Belmont vs Illinois State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 90-75
44-33 46-42
Position#79
Record16-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.4
Allowed / game70.9
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#303
Record10-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game66.3
Allowed / game68.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Belmont v Illinois State
08 Jan 2027
BELM v ILLI
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
BELM80
ILLI69
07 Mar 2025
BELM76
ILLI63
04 Dec 2024
BELM99
ILLI97
10 Jan 2024
BELM67
ILLI60
04 Feb 2023
BELM90
ILLI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illinois State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#61
L
45-63
45
63
-18
A01/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A05/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H07/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H14/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H18/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
78-76
78
76
+2
A21/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A26/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H29/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-23
17-40
35-31
42-40
37-35
37-26
38-30
36-29
44-31
32-41
34-30
46-35
37-40
41-36
36-32
37-32
26-39
35-40
43-49
39-34
141.3Avg total
72.0Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.470.9145.3+3.567%
Season at home (12)76.268.8145.0+7.375%
Season away (12)72.773.0145.7-0.358%
Last 10 (10)72.069.3141.3+2.770%
Last 5 (5)74.873.4148.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)63.876.0139.8-12.240%
vs Similar (11)72.369.7142.0+2.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)77.566.9144.4+10.585%
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#248
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H31/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H05/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A07/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
76-66 OT
76
66
+10
H12/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A15/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
63-65
63
65
-2
A19/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
51-71
51
71
-20
H22/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
A26/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H29/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
68-62 OT
68
62
+6
H02/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-31
35-35
29-47
38-29
34-31
35-30
30-34
31-27
35-32
22-37
30-33
33-32
24-33
27-38
40-36
29-33
36-33
36-33
33-22
21-32
133.9Avg total
65.8Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)66.368.3134.6-2.042%
Season at home (12)70.569.1139.6+1.458%
Season away (12)62.167.5129.6-5.425%
Last 10 (10)65.868.1133.9-2.340%
Last 5 (5)65.868.6134.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)67.871.4139.1-3.629%
vs Similar (11)61.463.8125.2-2.545%
vs Weaker (2)78.071.0149.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -1.9-1.9
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -1.6-1.62nd half2nd half: +0.9+0.92nd half: -1.9-1.9
BelmontIllinois State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#61
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A01/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A05/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H07/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A11/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H14/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H18/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A21/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A26/01
NCAA
Drake
#24
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H29/01
NCAA
Murray State
#182
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A02/02
NCAA
69.8Avg total
35.8Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.732.567.2+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.031.767.7+4.369%-
Last 30 away (14)33.233.566.7-0.350%-
Last 10 (10)35.834.069.8+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)35.238.073.2-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.237.868.0-7.60%-
vs Similar (11)33.431.865.2+1.555%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)37.330.667.9+6.792%-
This opponent (Illinois State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illinois StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Iowa
#248
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H31/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#84
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H05/01
NCAA
Evansville
#365
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A07/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#177
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H12/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A15/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A19/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H22/01
NCAA
Bradley
#45
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A26/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H29/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#289
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H02/02
NCAA
64.8Avg total
31.6Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.433.664.0-3.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.632.764.3-1.140%-
Last 30 away (15)29.234.463.6-5.233%-
Last 10 (10)31.633.264.8-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)32.631.464.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)32.035.167.1-3.129%-
vs Similar (11)26.631.357.9-4.636%-
vs Weaker (2)37.533.070.5+4.5100%-
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Belmont wins
1
Illinois State wins
DateGameScore
04/12/22Illinois State v Belmont87-77
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/23AMurray State82-83
29/01/23HDrake61-79
26/01/23AEvansville73-64
21/01/23ABradley78-76
18/01/23HMurray State80-65
14/01/23HNorthern Iowa76-72
11/01/23AValparaiso74-59
07/01/23HMissouri State74-61
05/01/23AIllinois (Chi.)77-71
01/01/23ASouthern Illinois45-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/23HIllinois (Chi.)68-62 OT
29/01/23HSouthern Illinois72-66
26/01/23ABradley75-79 OT
22/01/23HValparaiso51-71
19/01/23ANorthern Iowa63-65
15/01/23ASouthern Illinois57-69
12/01/23HMissouri State76-66 OT
07/01/23AEvansville69-61
05/01/23HIndiana State67-76
31/12/22HNorthern Iowa60-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWWWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %67%75%58%
Points / game74.476.272.7
Allowed / game70.968.873.0
Point differential+3.5+7.3-0.3
Avg total145.3145.0145.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)100% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Illinois State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW42%
HomeLWLWW58%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %42%58%25%
Points / game66.370.562.1
Allowed / game68.369.167.5
Point differential-2.0+1.4-5.4
Avg total134.6139.6129.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)0% (2)33% (6)
Overtime %17%17%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2418675%74.664.4+10.2
2 Southern Illinois2417771%66.561.2+5.2
3 Bradley2416867%71.562.2+9.2
4 Belmont2416867%74.470.9+3.5
5 Indiana State2516964%78.669.3+9.3
6 Murray State24131154%70.971.4-0.5
7 Northern Iowa23121152%71.067.8+3.2
8 Illinois State24101442%66.368.3-2.0
9 Valparaiso24101442%68.972.5-3.5
10 Illinois (Chi.)25101540%67.070.2-3.3
11 Evansville2542116%62.375.5-13.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont444690
Illinois State334275
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