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Belmont vs Missouri State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 85-68
45-44 40-24
Position#79
Record16-8
FormLWLLW
Points / game81.3
Allowed / game78.8
Belmont 🏆
USA
vs
Position#334
Record8-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game71.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Belmont v Missouri State
08 Feb 2025
BELM85
MISS68
24 Feb 2024
BELM93
MISS78
07 Jan 2023
BELM74
MISS61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Belmont winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BelmontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
92-87
92
87
+5
H04/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
90-86
90
86
+4
H09/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A11/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H15/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
85-82
85
82
+3
A18/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H22/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
95-77
95
77
+18
A25/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A30/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H02/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
46-43
46-44
43-31
47-55
42-32
42-47
40-30
31-34
39-37
46-45
43-43
34-46
55-37
40-40
31-35
47-46
38-37
37-43
39-35
41-42
162.9Avg total
82.7Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.378.8160.1+2.667%
Season at home (14)83.079.8162.8+3.264%
Season away (10)79.077.3156.3+1.770%
Last 10 (10)82.780.2162.9+2.570%
Last 5 (5)81.080.8161.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.980.3153.1-7.429%
vs Similar (13)81.676.1157.7+5.569%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)84.976.2161.1+8.789%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#30
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A05/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
63-80
63
80
-17
H08/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
78-88 OT
78
88
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
51-73
51
73
-22
H16/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A18/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A22/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
62-69 OT
62
69
-7
H25/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A30/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
77-56
77
56
+21
H01/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
61-66
61
66
-5
H06/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-30
32-39
27-36
36-44
27-35
45-37
18-35
33-38
31-25
37-49
31-37
37-42
25-35
30-20
36-25
31-47
43-19
34-37
30-34
31-32
138.1Avg total
65.5Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)69.571.6141.0-2.133%
Season at home (13)71.270.2141.4+1.146%
Season away (11)67.473.3140.6-5.918%
Last 10 (10)65.572.6138.1-7.110%
Last 5 (5)67.068.4135.4-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)64.570.5135.0-6.025%
vs Similar (16)71.574.1145.6-2.631%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: -3.9-3.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.6+5.61st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: -3.9-3.9
BelmontMissouri State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
BelmontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H04/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H09/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A11/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H15/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A18/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H22/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A25/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A30/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H02/02
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A06/02
NCAA
77.6Avg total
41.6Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.736.074.7+2.763%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.336.276.5+4.165%-
Last 30 away (13)36.735.872.5+0.962%-
Last 10 (10)41.636.077.6+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)41.237.478.6+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.037.472.4-2.443%-
vs Similar (13)40.535.976.4+4.569%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.034.273.2+4.878%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#30
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A05/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H08/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A12/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
18-35
18
35
-17
H16/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A18/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A22/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H25/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A30/01
NCAA
Murray State
#214
W
43-19
43
19
+24
H01/02
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H06/02
NCAA
60.7Avg total
29.6Scored
31.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.031.862.8-0.837%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.231.863.0-0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)30.831.762.5-0.933%-
Last 10 (10)29.631.160.7-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)33.030.063.0+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)30.231.261.4-0.933%-
vs Similar (16)31.332.964.2-1.638%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Belmont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Belmont wins
2
Missouri State wins
DateGameScore
24/02/24Belmont v Missouri State93-78
03/02/24Missouri State v Belmont87-80
09/02/23Missouri State v Belmont61-59
07/01/23Belmont v Missouri State74-61
Belmontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25ABradley80-77
02/02/25HEvansville75-80
30/01/25AIllinois State78-81
25/01/25AMurray State95-77
22/01/25HBradley77-89
18/01/25AEvansville85-82
15/01/25HValparaiso71-64
11/01/25AIndiana State84-79
09/01/25HSouthern Illinois90-86
04/01/25HIllinois (Chi.)92-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25HNorthern Iowa61-66
01/02/25HMurray State77-56
30/01/25AIndiana State67-72
25/01/25HDrake62-69 OT
22/01/25ANorthern Iowa68-79
18/01/25AIllinois State68-74
16/01/25HSouthern Illinois51-73
12/01/25ASouthern Illinois78-88 OT
08/01/25HIllinois (Chi.)63-80
05/01/25ABradley60-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Belmont
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW67%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayWWWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %67%64%70%
Points / game81.383.079.0
Allowed / game78.879.877.3
Point differential+2.6+3.2+1.7
Avg total160.1162.8156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%21%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)67% (6)80% (5)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Missouri State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLLLWL46%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %33%46%18%
Points / game69.571.267.4
Allowed / game71.670.273.3
Point differential-2.1+1.1-5.9
Avg total141.0141.4140.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %17%15%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2321291%70.657.5+13.1
2 Bradley2418675%79.269.4+9.8
3 Belmont2416867%81.378.8+2.6
4 Northern Iowa2415962%74.767.4+7.3
5 Illinois State2415962%77.072.0+5.0
6 Illinois (Chi.)25151060%80.675.0+5.5
7 Indiana State24121250%80.078.8+1.2
8 Murray State25121348%72.669.7+2.9
9 Southern Illinois25121348%73.273.3-0.1
10 Valparaiso25101540%75.474.8+0.7
11 Evansville2491538%66.070.2-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2419579%77.061.8+15.3
2 Louisiana Tech2417771%75.268.5+6.8
3 Jacksonville State2316770%76.568.5+8.0
4 UTEP2215768%73.268.6+4.5
5 Middle Tenn. St.2315865%75.870.5+5.3
6 Kennesaw State2314961%78.073.9+4.2
7 Western Kentucky2314961%77.674.8+2.8
8 New Mexico State22121055%71.468.3+3.1
9 Delaware25121348%77.077.2-0.2
10 Sam Houston St.2481633%76.076.5-0.5
11 Florida International2481633%72.172.7-0.5
12 Missouri State2481633%69.571.6-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Belmont454085
Missouri State442468
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