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Benfica vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 103-86
29-28 31-17 19-22 24-19
Position#2
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game50.0
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
vs
CD Povoa
Portugal
Position#3
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game76.0
PortugalTaca de PortugalTaca de Portugal - Semi-finals· Pavilhao Municipal Jose Natario
Other2024Neutral venue
Meetings · Benfica v CD Povoa
19 Dec 2026
BEN v CD P
upcoming
12 Apr 2025
BEN94
CD P77
09 Apr 2025
BEN106
CD P85
20 Apr 2024
BEN101
CD P77
16 Mar 2024
BEN103
CD P86
10 May 2023
BEN97
CD P46
19 Nov 2022
BEN63
CD P55
12 May 2022
BEN77
CD P59
05 Feb 2022
BEN67
CD P57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#3
W
77-55
77
55
+22
73avg 82
A07/01
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
95-74
95
74
+21
90avg 82
A10/01
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#6
W
85-53
85
53
+32
86avg 82
H13/01
Taca de Portugal
Vitoria
#7
L
71-91
71
91
-20
56avg 82
A20/01
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
98-74
98
74
+24
88avg 82
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Esgueira
#9
W
100-64
100
64
+36
99avg 82
A03/02
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
84-78
84
78
+6
73avg 82
H10/02
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
77-53
77
53
+24
80avg 82
H14/02
Taca da Liga
Imortal
#8
W
95-84
95
84
+11
89avg 82
A02/03
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
91-61
91
61
+30
92avg 82
H09/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
22-9
22-16
16-13
22-18
31-23
19-17
23-16
16-12
24-17
29-6
16-18
18-19
15-22
14-22
24-28
25-13
19-19
26-22
28-20
31-17
11-14
34-14
24-19
18-13
27-18
12-23
27-24
27-17
7-17
27-12
16-7
25-15
29-23
17-20
24-26
23-16
18-18
28-10
22-17
156.0Avg total
87.3Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.050.0128.0+28.0100%
Season at home (2)78.050.0128.0+28.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.368.7156.0+18.690%
Last 5 (5)89.468.0157.4+21.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)71.586.2157.7-14.717%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)88.068.3156.3+19.778%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#9
W
80-72
80
72
+8
70avg 75
A28/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
81-97
81
97
-16
75avg 75
A05/01
LPB
Maia
#8
W
98-68
98
68
+30
102avg 75
H14/01
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#8
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
no box
H20/01
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
88-81
88
81
+7
85avg 75
A03/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
L
81-107
81
107
-26
no box
A04/02
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
80avg 75
H10/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
83-86 OT
83
86
-3
no box
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
W
79-78
79
78
+1
70avg 75
A02/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
99-87
99
87
+12
86avg 75
H09/03
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
19-12
21-23
19-19
20-27
17-25
22-22
22-23
28-20
26-21
25-13
19-14
22-16
22-19
20-27
17-19
23-22
13-21
22-22
30-16
20-27
23-29
21-20
17-31
16-18
19-23
29-16
23-19
19-19
25-16
22-20
10-21
17-22
15-19
24-16
23-21
25-23
24-26
28-13
22-25
170.2Avg total
86.2Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.076.0169.0+17.0100%
Season at home (2)93.076.0169.0+17.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.284.0170.2+2.260%
Last 5 (5)85.886.8172.6-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)75.591.3166.7-15.818%
vs Similar (7)80.779.0159.7+1.771%
vs Weaker (11)87.776.6164.4+11.173%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +6.6+6.6Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -0.6-0.6
BenficaCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#3
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A07/01
LPB
Galomar
#8
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A10/01
Taca da Liga
Portimonense
#6
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H13/01
Taca de Portugal
Vitoria
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A20/01
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Esgueira
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A03/02
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H10/02
LPB
Esgueira
#9
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H14/02
Taca da Liga
Imortal
#8
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A02/03
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H09/03
LPB
76.2Avg total
42.5Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.336.076.3+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.535.276.7+6.369%-
Last 30 away (14)38.937.075.9+1.957%-
Last 10 (10)42.533.776.2+8.880%-
Last 5 (5)43.233.676.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)36.342.578.8-6.217%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)41.834.776.6+7.174%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A28/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A05/01
LPB
Maia
#8
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H14/01
Taca de Portugal
Imortal
#8
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H20/01
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A03/02
LPB
Galomar
#8
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A04/02
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H10/02
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A02/03
LPB
Lusitania
#12
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H09/03
LPB
83.7Avg total
41.4Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.941.881.6-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.640.379.9-0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)40.143.283.3-3.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.383.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.644.485.0-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.546.581.9-11.09%-
vs Similar (7)40.640.681.1+0.043%-
vs Weaker (11)43.437.681.0+5.773%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.9
55.9%
53.3%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.9
35.7%
34.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.015.9
72.3%
69.5%15.9
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.4
52.5%
53.3%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.2
32.3%
34.1%21.6
🏀 Free throws26.516.5
62.3%
69.5%16.5
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
WWWWWWLWWW
CD Povoa
WWLWLWLWLW
#2
League position
#3
+23.6
Net rating
+0.8
112.6
Offensive rating
105.6
89.0
Defensive rating
104.8
54.9%
Effective FG%
51.1%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
19.0%
Turnover %
21.4%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
38.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.41
35.7%
3-point %
32.3%
64.8%
Assist %
51.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 105.6Defence89.0 · 104.8Shooting54.9% · 51.1%3-point %35.7% · 32.3%Ball care19.0% · 21.4%Off. rebounds33.9% · 38.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Benfica   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Benfica wins
1
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23CD Povoa v Benfica58-83
13/05/23CD Povoa v Benfica72-93
10/05/23Benfica v CD Povoa97-46
04/02/23CD Povoa v Benfica60-59
19/11/22Benfica v CD Povoa63-55
14/05/22CD Povoa v Benfica67-84
12/05/22Benfica v CD Povoa77-59
05/02/22Benfica v CD Povoa67-57
14/11/21CD Povoa v Benfica53-76
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HGalomar91-61
02/03/24AImortal95-84
14/02/24HEsgueira77-53
10/02/24HFC Porto84-78
03/02/24AEsgueira100-64
27/01/24AOvarense98-74
20/01/24AVitoria71-91
13/01/24HPortimonense85-53
10/01/24AGalomar95-74
07/01/24AOliveirense77-55
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HLusitania99-87
02/03/24ASporting CP79-78
14/02/24AOliveirense83-86 OT
10/02/24HOvarense87-76
04/02/24AGalomar81-107
03/02/24AGalomar88-81
20/01/24HImortal86-88 OT
14/01/24HMaia98-68
05/01/24AFC Porto81-97
28/12/23AEsgueira80-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
Taca de Portugal 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game78.078.0-
Allowed / game50.050.0-
Point differential+28.0+28.0-
Avg total128.0128.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
CD Povoa
Taca de Portugal 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game93.093.0-
Allowed / game76.076.0-
Point differential+17.0+17.0-
Avg total169.0169.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica220100%78.050.0+28.0
2 Imortal220100%96.578.5+18.0
3 CD Povoa220100%93.076.0+17.0
4 FC Porto220100%83.575.5+8.0
5 Sporting CP21150%85.080.0+5.0
6 Portimonense21150%78.574.0+4.5
7 Esgueira21150%73.080.5-7.5
8 Maia21150%75.087.0-12.0
9 CA Queluz1010%84.088.0-4.0
10 Lusitania1010%76.082.0-6.0
11 Galomar1010%89.098.0-9.0
12 Ovarense1010%79.091.0-12.0
13 Vitoria1010%66.078.0-12.0
14 Braga1010%72.086.0-14.0
15 Oliveirense1010%47.071.0-24.0
16 Inedsport1010%63.0104.0-41.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Benfica29311924103
CD Povoa2817221986
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