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CD Povoa vs Maia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 98-68
28-20 26-21 25-13 19-14
Position#3
Record1-0
FormLWLWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game84.0
CD Povoa 🏆
Portugal
vs
Maia
Portugal
Position#8
Record1-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game76.0
PortugalTaca de PortugalTaca de Portugal - Quarter-finals· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2024
Meetings · CD Povoa v Maia
01 Mar 2026
CD P85
MAIA76
08 Dec 2025
CD P95
MAIA77
14 Jan 2024
CD P98
MAIA68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Maia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#4
L
80-104
80
104
-24
65avg 72
H28/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
100-73
100
73
+27
99avg 72
A04/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 72
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
W
83-74 OT
83
74
+9
no box
A18/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
81-74 OT
81
74
+7
no box
H25/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
75-104
75
104
-29
59avg 72
A01/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
88-84
88
84
+4
77avg 72
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#1
L
58-83
58
83
-25
50avg 72
H16/12
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
80-72
80
72
+8
70avg 72
A28/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
81-97
81
97
-16
75avg 72
A05/01
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-30
9-28
19-16
33-30
22-27
29-20
23-14
26-12
16-21
26-20
24-13
13-17
24-17
19-11
6-17
12-16
19-17
15-16
11-17
24-19
15-21
15-33
32-23
13-27
17-19
28-25
24-18
19-22
15-18
21-20
12-22
10-23
21-18
19-12
21-23
19-19
20-27
17-25
22-22
22-23
164.1Avg total
80.5Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)88.084.0172.0+4.0100%
Season at home (1)88.084.0172.0+4.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.583.6164.1-3.160%
Last 5 (5)76.488.0164.4-11.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)71.794.8166.4-23.10%
vs Similar (12)81.276.9158.2+4.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)82.674.2156.9+8.462%
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMaia
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
92-81
92
81
+11
88avg 67
A28/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
67-85
67
85
-18
47avg 67
A05/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
81-63
81
63
+18
75avg 67
A18/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
W
75-71
75
71
+4
67avg 67
H25/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
W
89-77
89
77
+12
63avg 67
A02/12
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
75-69
75
69
+6
70avg 67
H07/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#10
W
82-76
82
76
+6
70avg 67
A09/12
Taca de Portugal
Braga
#8
W
86-81
86
81
+5
68avg 67
A16/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
76-72
76
72
+4
69avg 67
H06/01
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
W
78-74
78
74
+4
68avg 67
H13/01
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
26-18
20-24
22-17
13-22
19-24
14-18
21-21
22-11
15-20
21-15
23-17
23-16
17-28
16-14
19-13
19-22
15-23
28-17
27-15
23-12
13-19
16-13
23-25
16-22
18-14
26-22
22-18
38-10
16-20
18-21
14-30
22-17
17-22
26-16
11-17
18-28
14-15
26-14
20-17
155.0Avg total
80.1Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)82.076.0158.0+6.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)82.076.0158.0+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.174.9155.0+5.290%
Last 5 (5)79.474.4153.8+5.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)77.278.0155.2-0.850%
vs Similar (12)78.876.6155.3+2.275%
vs Weaker (11)86.780.7167.5+6.073%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +3.7+3.7Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.2+1.2
CD PovoaMaia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#4
L
28-58
28
58
-30
H28/10
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A04/11
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H11/11
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A18/11
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H25/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
30-54
30
54
-24
A01/12
LPB
CA Queluz
#9
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H10/12
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#1
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H16/12
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A28/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
37-52
37
52
-15
A05/01
LPB
81.1Avg total
38.6Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.441.279.7-2.843%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.539.176.5-1.640%-
Last 30 away (15)39.443.482.8-4.047%-
Last 10 (10)38.642.581.1-3.960%-
Last 5 (5)37.643.681.2-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.748.983.6-14.20%-
vs Similar (12)39.238.377.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.836.677.4+4.175%-
This opponent (Maia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MaiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A28/10
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A05/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#9
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A18/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H25/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#16
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A02/12
Proliga
Academica
#14
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H07/12
Proliga
Lusitania
#10
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A09/12
Taca de Portugal
Braga
#8
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A16/12
Proliga
Galitos Aveiro
#11
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H06/01
Proliga
Vasco Da Gama
#5
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H13/01
Proliga
77.3Avg total
38.8Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.678.5+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.438.678.1+0.843%-
Last 30 away (16)40.438.678.9+1.862%-
Last 10 (10)38.838.577.3+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.035.874.8+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)38.236.875.0+1.333%-
vs Similar (12)38.838.877.7+0.050%-
vs Weaker (11)42.639.582.2+3.173%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.721.3
52.3%
53.3%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.6
34.9%
34.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.714.4
63.4%
69.5%14.4
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Maiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Maia: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.221.3
49.3%
53.3%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.7
30.2%
34.1%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.313.4
73.2%
69.5%13.4
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
LWLWLWWWWL
Maia
WWWWWWWWLW
#3
League position
#8
-7.0
Net rating
+5.9
100.2
Offensive rating
102.1
107.2
Defensive rating
96.1
52.3%
Effective FG%
47.8%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
22.8%
Turnover %
19.9%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.27
34.9%
3-point %
30.2%
47.4%
Assist %
42.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 102.1Defence107.2 · 96.1Shooting52.3% · 47.8%3-point %34.9% · 30.2%Ball care22.8% · 19.9%Off. rebounds30.2% · 35.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Maia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
CD Povoa wins
0
Maia wins
No previous meetings.
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24AFC Porto81-97
28/12/23AEsgueira80-72
16/12/23HBenfica58-83
10/12/23HCA Queluz88-84
01/12/23AOliveirense75-104
25/11/23HPortimonense81-74 OT
18/11/23AVitoria83-74 OT
11/11/23HEsgueira79-71
04/11/23ALusitania100-73
28/10/23HSporting CP80-104
Maialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/24HVasco Da Gama78-74
06/01/24HGalitos Aveiro76-72
16/12/23ABraga86-81
09/12/23ALusitania82-76
07/12/23HAcademica75-69
02/12/23ASampaense89-77
25/11/23HSangalhos75-71
18/11/23AIlliabum81-63
05/11/23AVasco Da Gama67-85
28/10/23AGalitos Aveiro92-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
Taca de Portugal 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game88.088.0-
Allowed / game84.084.0-
Point differential+4.0+4.0-
Avg total172.0172.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Maia
Taca de Portugal 2024
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game82.0-82.0
Allowed / game76.0-76.0
Point differential+6.0-+6.0
Avg total158.0-158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica220100%78.050.0+28.0
2 Imortal220100%96.578.5+18.0
3 FC Porto220100%83.575.5+8.0
4 Maia110100%82.076.0+6.0
5 CD Povoa110100%88.084.0+4.0
6 Sporting CP21150%85.080.0+5.0
7 Portimonense21150%78.574.0+4.5
8 Esgueira21150%73.080.5-7.5
9 CA Queluz1010%84.088.0-4.0
10 Lusitania1010%76.082.0-6.0
11 Galomar1010%89.098.0-9.0
12 Ovarense1010%79.091.0-12.0
13 Vitoria1010%66.078.0-12.0
14 Braga1010%72.086.0-14.0
15 Oliveirense1010%47.071.0-24.0
16 Inedsport1010%63.0104.0-41.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CD Povoa2826251998
Maia2021131468
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