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Benfica vs Esgueira Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 21:00
Postponed
Position#4
Record-
FormWWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Benfica
Portugal
vs
Esgueira
Portugal
Position#12
Record0-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game96.0
PortugalTaca da Liga· Pavilhão Fidelidade
Other2025
Meetings · Benfica v Esgueira
07 Nov 2026
BEN v ESGU
upcoming
03 Jan 2026
BEN81
ESGU72
07 Mar 2025
BEN100
ESGU65
18 Dec 2024
BEN v ESGU
upcoming
14 Feb 2024
BEN77
ESGU53
07 Oct 2023
BEN110
ESGU70
30 Nov 2022
BEN95
ESGU82
09 Dec 2020
BEN78
ESGU73
11 Apr 2020
BEN v ESGU
upcoming
05 Jan 2019
BEN112
ESGU66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Benfica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Esgueira win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Tortona
#5
L
58-72
58
72
-14
48avg 82
H29/10
Champions League
FC Porto
#2
W
82-77
82
77
+5
70avg 82
H02/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
93-85
93
85
+8
92avg 82
A09/11
LPB
Tortona
#5
L
71-77
71
77
-6
66avg 82
A13/11
Champions League
CA Queluz
#11
W
108-82
108
82
+26
108avg 82
H16/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
93-75
93
75
+18
87avg 82
H30/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
98-77
98
77
+21
100avg 82
A07/12
LPB
Manresa
#9
L
80-91
80
91
-11
66avg 82
H10/12
Champions League
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
91-68
91
68
+23
93avg 82
H14/12
LPB
Chemnitz
#41
W
79-68
79
68
+11
68avg 82
H17/12
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
16-20
14-16
12-15
15-19
18-17
22-19
27-22
19-19
27-23
25-17
22-26
19-15
26-20
16-22
10-20
28-16
30-17
28-27
22-22
17-15
26-16
25-18
25-26
23-17
29-21
22-20
24-19
23-15
21-18
19-24
17-34
22-23
25-9
21-14
23-22
20-14
25-17
14-23
20-14
162.5Avg total
85.3Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.377.2162.5+8.170%
Last 5 (5)88.275.8164.0+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.584.2159.7-8.733%
vs Similar (4)74.875.8150.5-1.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)90.969.4160.3+21.6100%
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEsgueira
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#6
W
88-82
88
82
+6
78avg 65
A27/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
82-81
82
81
+1
72avg 65
H20/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
L
74-81
74
81
-7
53avg 65
H26/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
82-79
82
79
+3
73avg 65
A02/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
85-93
85
93
-8
72avg 65
H09/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
77-93
77
93
-16
62avg 65
A16/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
84-82 OT
84
82
+2
63avg 65
A30/11
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
100-91
100
91
+9
102avg 65
H07/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
83-94
83
94
-11
69avg 65
A14/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
L
88-96 OT
88
96
-8
78avg 65
H17/12
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-21
19-23
18-20
17-18
12-19
21-20
17-20
32-22
18-15
19-16
15-22
22-28
18-12
20-23
24-21
20-23
19-19
23-27
17-25
26-22
18-18
23-27
21-21
15-27
25-22
8-23
28-16
12-12
18-21
30-20
27-27
25-23
19-29
21-16
25-25
18-24
19-18
28-20
17-23
16-19
171.5Avg total
84.3Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)88.096.0184.0-8.00%
Season at home (1)88.096.0184.0-8.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.387.2171.5-2.950%
Last 5 (5)86.491.2177.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)73.487.4160.9-14.022%
vs Similar (8)83.179.4162.5+3.875%
vs Weaker (3)84.377.3161.7+7.033%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -1.5-1.5
BenficaEsgueira
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H29/10
Champions League
FC Porto
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H02/11
LPB
Esgueira
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A09/11
LPB
Tortona
#5
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A13/11
Champions League
CA Queluz
#11
W
58-33
58
33
+25
H16/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H30/11
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A07/12
LPB
Manresa
#9
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H10/12
Champions League
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H14/12
LPB
Chemnitz
#41
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H17/12
Champions League
79.7Avg total
44.5Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.036.079.0+7.073%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.734.178.8+10.681%-
Last 30 away (14)41.138.279.4+2.964%-
Last 10 (10)44.535.279.7+9.380%-
Last 5 (5)46.233.079.2+13.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.840.383.2+2.567%-
vs Similar (4)39.838.878.5+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.733.577.3+10.284%-
This opponent (Esgueira) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EsgueiraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CD Povoa
#6
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A27/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H20/10
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H26/10
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H09/11
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A16/11
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A30/11
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H07/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/12
Taca da Liga
82.1Avg total
41.2Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.840.978.7-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.240.880.0-1.553%-
Last 30 away (13)35.941.277.1-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.982.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.884.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)35.143.378.4-8.222%-
vs Similar (8)42.237.880.0+4.575%-
vs Weaker (3)39.736.776.3+3.067%-
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.120.4
55.0%
51.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.3
34.6%
34.2%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.713.4
61.8%
68.1%13.4
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Esgueiratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.7
52.0%
51.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.5
34.3%
34.2%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.915.4
70.3%
68.1%15.4
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Benfica
WWLWWWLWWL
Esgueira
LLWWLLWLWW
#4
League position
#12
+11.6
Net rating
-4.3
111.2
Offensive rating
108.3
99.5
Defensive rating
112.6
53.6%
Effective FG%
51.8%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
18.2%
Turnover %
14.8%
34.3%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.6%
3-point %
34.3%
68.4%
Assist %
54.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 108.3Defence99.5 · 112.6Shooting53.6% · 51.8%3-point %34.6% · 34.3%Ball care18.2% · 14.8%Off. rebounds34.3% · 25.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Benfica   ■ Esgueira
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Benfica wins
0
Esgueira wins
DateGameScore
09/11/24Esgueira v Benfica85-93
14/02/24Benfica v Esgueira77-53
03/02/24Esgueira v Benfica64-100
07/10/23Benfica v Esgueira110-70
18/02/23Esgueira v Benfica61-93
30/11/22Benfica v Esgueira95-82
13/03/21Esgueira v Benfica77-92
09/12/20Benfica v Esgueira78-73
21/12/19Esgueira v Benfica76-84
05/01/19Benfica v Esgueira112-66
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24HChemnitz79-68
14/12/24HGalitos Barreiro91-68
10/12/24HManresa80-91
07/12/24AOvarense98-77
30/11/24HOliveirense93-75
16/11/24HCA Queluz108-82
13/11/24ATortona71-77
09/11/24AEsgueira93-85
02/11/24HFC Porto82-77
29/10/24HTortona58-72
Esgueiralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/24HOliveirense88-96 OT
14/12/24AFC Porto83-94
07/12/24HImortal100-91
30/11/24ACD Povoa84-82 OT
16/11/24AOliveirense77-93
09/11/24HBenfica85-93
02/11/24AVitoria82-79
26/10/24HGalitos Barreiro74-81
20/10/24HSporting CP82-81
27/04/24ACD Povoa88-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Benfica
Taca da Liga 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Esgueira
Taca da Liga 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game88.088.0-
Allowed / game96.096.0-
Point differential-8.0-8.0-
Avg total184.0184.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %100%100%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vitoria110100%94.072.0+22.0
2 Sporting CP110100%86.068.0+18.0
3 FC Porto110100%89.075.0+14.0
4 Oliveirense110100%96.088.0+8.0
5 Esgueira1010%88.096.0-8.0
6 CA Queluz1010%75.089.0-14.0
7 Imortal1010%68.086.0-18.0
8 CD Povoa1010%72.094.0-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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