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Beroe vs CSKA Sofia Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 03 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record1-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game87.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.7/10
Above normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#10
Record1-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game98.6
BulgariaNBLRound 24· Municipal Hall
Other2026-27
Meetings · Beroe v CSKA Sofia
03 Apr 2027
BERO v CSKA
upcoming
16 Feb 2024
BERO92
CSKA98
28 Nov 2022
BERO85
CSKA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beroe win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Sofia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
76-117
76
117
-41
60avg 79
A16/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
89-96
89
96
-7
86avg 79
H20/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
54avg 79
A30/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
80-90
80
90
-10
74avg 79
H02/05
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
L
86-90
86
90
-4
76avg 79
A11/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
92avg 79
H17/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
104-110
104
110
-6
99avg 79
A23/10
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
99-58
99
58
+41
98avg 79
H31/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
L
84-89
84
89
-5
no box
A07/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-32
20-29
11-37
24-19
27-27
23-24
19-22
20-23
19-22
15-22
17-22
18-23
14-19
25-23
18-23
23-25
30-22
22-24
9-21
25-23
21-24
19-15
28-26
19-22
28-31
23-27
34-24
19-28
23-19
36-17
17-13
23-9
20-30
19-23
22-22
23-14
14-16
22-17
23-21
17-28
177.7Avg total
85.8Scored
91.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)90.787.8178.5+2.817%
Season at home (3)90.079.3169.3+10.733%
Season away (3)91.396.3187.7-5.00%
Last 10 (10)85.891.9177.7-6.110%
Last 5 (5)91.687.4179.0+4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)82.194.8176.9-12.710%
vs Similar (4)88.583.0171.5+5.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)88.781.0169.7+7.750%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
70-102
70
102
-32
no box
A19/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
105-99
105
99
+6
no box
H22/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
76-91
76
91
-15
no box
A29/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
82-77
82
77
+5
no box
H01/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
74-94
74
94
-20
no box
A03/05
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
100-95
100
95
+5
42avg 46
H10/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
76-114
76
114
-38
58avg 46
A17/10
NBL
Cherno More
#7
L
62-95
62
95
-33
35avg 46
H24/10
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
65-94
65
94
-29
48avg 46
A30/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
89-95
89
95
-6
no box
H07/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
27-25
11-25
15-39
27-24
29-20
19-20
30-35
26-18
13-29
25-26
12-18
26-16
21-18
21-20
14-23
4-31
24-19
21-22
25-22
25-24
23-24
26-23
26-24
19-28
15-32
26-27
16-27
20-18
13-23
13-25
16-29
14-35
19-17
20-21
12-21
21-23
25-26
20-26
23-20
175.5Avg total
79.9Scored
95.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.498.6177.0-20.220%
Season at home (3)83.795.0178.7-11.333%
Season away (2)70.5104.0174.5-33.50%
Last 10 (10)79.995.6175.5-15.730%
Last 5 (5)78.498.6177.0-20.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)76.091.1167.1-15.10%
vs Similar (9)78.383.9162.2-5.633%
vs Weaker (7)94.088.4182.4+5.686%
This opponent (Beroe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -6.9-6.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -6.9-6.9
BeroeCSKA Sofia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
L
41-61
41
61
-20
A16/04
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H20/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A30/04
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#2
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H02/05
NBL
Botev Academic
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A11/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H17/10
NBL
Minyor
#2
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A23/10
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H31/10
NBL
Botev 2012
#9
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A07/11
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/11
NBL
90.4Avg total
44.1Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.144.387.4-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.140.584.6+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)42.148.290.3-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)44.146.390.4-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.888.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)41.645.987.5-4.230%-
vs Similar (4)44.241.285.5+3.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)47.241.288.3+6.067%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Pleven
#3
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A19/04
NBL
Cherno More
#11
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H22/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/04
NBL
Balkan
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H01/05
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A03/05
NBL
Polytechnica
#14
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H10/10
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#3
L
34-60
34
60
-26
A17/10
NBL
Cherno More
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H24/10
NBL
Balkan
#1
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A30/10
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H07/11
NBL
87.1Avg total
40.8Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.444.385.7-3.037%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.143.187.2+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)39.045.484.4-6.425%-
Last 10 (10)40.846.387.1-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.850.088.8-11.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)39.544.884.4-5.331%-
vs Similar (9)40.644.084.6-3.433%-
vs Weaker (7)47.345.392.6+2.057%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.025.6
54.5%
55.5%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.75.5
26.6%
29.8%16.5
🏀 Free throws25.019.0
76.0%
71.2%19.0
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.318.7
48.8%
55.5%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.16.4
30.3%
29.8%19.2
🏀 Free throws24.014.9
62.1%
71.2%14.9
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Beroe
LLWLLLLLLL
CSKA Sofia
LLLLWLWLWL
#11
League position
#10
-0.6
Net rating
-25.0
96.6
Offensive rating
87.3
97.1
Defensive rating
112.3
50.0%
Effective FG%
47.6%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
14.7%
Turnover %
19.5%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.40
26.6%
3-point %
30.3%
62.7%
Assist %
76.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 87.3Defence97.1 · 112.3Shooting50.0% · 47.6%3-point %26.6% · 30.3%Ball care14.7% · 19.5%Free throws0.37 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)10% · 30%
■ Beroe   ■ CSKA Sofia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Beroe wins
4
CSKA Sofia wins
DateGameScore
16/02/24Beroe v CSKA Sofia92-98
09/12/23CSKA Sofia v Beroe99-86
08/04/23CSKA Sofia v Beroe104-71
30/01/23CSKA Sofia v Beroe96-68
28/11/22Beroe v CSKA Sofia85-81
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HRilski Sportist76-82
07/11/26ABotev 201284-89
31/10/26HPolytechnica99-58
23/10/26AMinyor104-110
17/10/26HLok. Plovdiv95-98 OT
11/10/26ABotev Academic86-90
02/05/26HRilski Sportist80-90
30/04/26ARilski Sportist69-89
20/04/26HBalkan89-96
16/04/26ACherno More76-117
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HShumen89-95
30/10/26ABalkan65-94
24/10/26HCherno More62-95
17/10/26ARilski Sportist76-114
10/10/26HPolytechnica100-95
03/05/24ABalkan74-94
01/05/24HBalkan82-77
29/04/24ABalkan76-91
22/04/24HCherno More105-99
19/04/24ASpartak Pleven70-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Beroe
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL17%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game90.790.091.3
Allowed / game87.879.396.3
Point differential+2.8+10.7-5.0
Avg total178.5169.3187.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %17%33%0%
CSKA Sofia
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %20%33%0%
Points / game78.483.770.5
Allowed / game98.695.0104.0
Point differential-20.2-11.3-33.5
Avg total177.0178.7174.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan550100%89.471.6+17.8
2 Minyor660100%106.790.8+15.8
3 Rilski Sportist65183%90.874.3+16.5
4 Lok. Plovdiv54180%88.278.0+10.2
5 Botev Academic54180%91.082.6+8.4
6 Shumen54180%94.090.2+3.8
7 Cherno More64267%83.871.7+12.2
8 Spartak Pleven53260%82.476.8+5.6
9 Botev 201262433%79.890.2-10.3
10 CSKA Sofia51420%78.498.6-20.2
11 Beroe61517%90.787.8+2.8
12 Levski6060%79.292.7-13.5
13 Yambol6060%74.094.2-20.2
14 Polytechnica6060%70.094.7-24.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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