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Beroe vs CSKA Sofia Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 92-98
20-30 29-22 23-22 20-24
Position#12
Record8-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.1
Allowed / game86.5
vs
Position#5
Record12-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game78.9
BulgariaNBLRound 22· Municipal Hall
Other2023-24
Meetings · Beroe v CSKA Sofia
03 Apr 2027
BERO v CSKA
upcoming
16 Feb 2024
BERO92
CSKA98
28 Nov 2022
BERO85
CSKA81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Beroe winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Sofia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BeroeBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBeroe
Date
Competition
Chernomorets
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
68avg 72
A16/12
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
90-85
90
85
+5
83avg 72
H23/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
68-67
68
67
+1
62avg 72
A28/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
104-80
104
80
+24
112avg 72
H10/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
57avg 72
H13/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
71avg 72
A17/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
94-79
94
79
+15
98avg 72
H20/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
80-100
80
100
-20
72avg 72
H29/01
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
60-97
60
97
-37
49avg 72
A03/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
80-112
80
112
-32
67avg 72
A10/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
17-23
17-17
22-23
23-22
20-19
19-23
28-21
17-17
14-17
19-11
18-22
27-30
24-17
30-12
23-21
16-19
23-27
12-23
19-13
15-21
21-26
33-20
11-19
29-16
19-22
20-21
26-20
17-22
21-24
15-32
27-22
14-27
20-22
14-31
12-17
20-33
15-26
26-31
19-22
167.4Avg total
80.0Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.186.5167.7-5.438%
Season at home (10)82.983.9166.8-1.050%
Season away (11)79.588.9168.5-9.427%
Last 10 (10)80.087.4167.4-7.440%
Last 5 (5)78.894.8173.6-16.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)80.989.8170.6-8.932%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)102.081.0183.0+21.0100%
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSofia
Date
Competition
Yambol
#9
W
90-75
90
75
+15
82avg 79
A17/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
93-74
93
74
+19
87avg 79
H22/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
82-76
82
76
+6
76avg 79
A29/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
81-67
81
67
+14
74avg 79
H08/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
74avg 79
A14/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
85-86
85
86
-1
87avg 79
H17/01
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
L
79-84
79
84
-5
74avg 79
H28/01
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
82-86
82
86
-4
72avg 79
A03/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
76-80
76
80
-4
69avg 79
A07/02
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
78-88
78
88
-10
71avg 79
H12/02
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
26-15
23-21
15-16
19-25
29-21
22-10
23-18
16-18
22-21
28-15
16-22
18-17
20-15
21-15
22-20
20-30
17-26
24-22
23-13
31-21
14-20
20-20
20-25
24-17
17-23
20-22
18-22
24-24
15-19
15-26
28-17
16-24
16-21
24-15
20-20
25-24
16-25
19-14
18-25
163.7Avg total
83.0Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)85.078.9164.0+6.157%
Season at home (11)85.977.0162.9+8.964%
Season away (10)84.181.0165.1+3.150%
Last 10 (10)83.080.7163.7+2.340%
Last 5 (5)80.084.8164.8-4.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.981.8162.8-0.933%
vs Similar (10)87.277.1164.3+10.180%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)85.879.8165.5+6.062%
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.4-3.4Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
BeroeCSKA Sofia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BeroeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chernomorets
#2
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A16/12
NBL
Shumen
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H23/12
NBL
Levski
#7
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A28/12
NBL
Yambol
#9
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H10/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H13/01
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A17/01
NBL
Minyor
#10
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H20/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H29/01
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A03/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A10/02
NBL
84.3Avg total
39.0Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.145.485.6-5.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.442.985.3-0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)38.247.685.8-9.419%-
Last 10 (10)39.045.384.3-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.247.886.0-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)39.045.684.6-6.629%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (2)56.043.599.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (CSKA Sofia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA SofiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yambol
#9
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A17/12
NBL
Academic Plovdiv
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H22/12
NBL
Minyor
#10
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A29/12
NBL
Levski
#7
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H08/01
NBL
Cherno More
#11
L
37-56
37
56
-19
A14/01
NBL
Rilski Sportist
#1
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H17/01
NBL
Chernomorets
#2
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H28/01
NBL
Shumen
#6
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A03/02
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#3
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A07/02
NBL
Balkan
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H12/02
NBL
84.0Avg total
41.1Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.181.4+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.339.983.2+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)39.440.379.7-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.984.0-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.643.683.2-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.740.279.9-0.650%-
vs Similar (10)43.238.581.7+4.760%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.541.983.4-0.450%-
This opponent (Beroe) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Beroetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Beroe: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.420.1
56.8%
54.3%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.78.4
30.3%
31.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.913.6
76.0%
71.1%13.6
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Sofiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Sofia: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.721.6
51.8%
54.3%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.4
28.9%
31.3%25.2
🏀 Free throws19.513.8
70.8%
71.1%13.8
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Beroe
LLLWLLWWWL
CSKA Sofia
LLLLLLWWWW
#12
League position
#5
-9.9
Net rating
+3.3
102.9
Offensive rating
106.9
112.8
Defensive rating
103.7
51.8%
Effective FG%
48.3%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
21.1%
Turnover %
17.1%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
36.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.3%
3-point %
28.9%
63.5%
Assist %
65.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 106.9Defence112.8 · 103.7Shooting51.8% · 48.3%3-point %30.3% · 28.9%Ball care21.1% · 17.1%Off. rebounds29.1% · 36.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Beroe   ■ CSKA Sofia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Beroe wins
3
CSKA Sofia wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23CSKA Sofia v Beroe99-86
08/04/23CSKA Sofia v Beroe104-71
30/01/23CSKA Sofia v Beroe96-68
28/11/22Beroe v CSKA Sofia85-81
Beroelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/02/24ASpartak Pleven80-112
03/02/24ABalkan60-97
29/01/24HCherno More80-100
20/01/24HMinyor94-79
17/01/24AAcademic Plovdiv80-86
13/01/24HRilski Sportist70-82
10/01/24HYambol104-80
28/12/23ALevski68-67
23/12/23HShumen90-85
16/12/23AChernomorets74-86
CSKA Sofialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/24HBalkan78-88
07/02/24ASpartak Pleven76-80
03/02/24AShumen82-86
28/01/24HChernomorets79-84
17/01/24HRilski Sportist85-86
14/01/24ACherno More84-91
08/01/24HLevski81-67
29/12/23AMinyor82-76
22/12/23HAcademic Plovdiv93-74
17/12/23AYambol90-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Beroe
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%50%27%
Points / game81.182.979.5
Allowed / game86.583.988.9
Point differential-5.4-1.0-9.4
Avg total167.7166.8168.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%20%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSKA Sofia
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL57%
HomeWWLLL64%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %57%64%50%
Points / game85.085.984.1
Allowed / game78.977.081.0
Point differential+6.1+8.9+3.1
Avg total164.0162.9165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%55%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)33% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chernomorets2118386%85.074.5+10.5
2 Rilski Sportist2217577%83.474.6+8.8
3 Spartak Pleven2216673%86.878.9+7.9
4 Balkan2113862%81.777.5+4.2
5 CSKA Sofia2112957%85.078.9+6.1
6 Cherno More2191243%82.786.5-3.9
7 Beroe2181338%81.186.5-5.4
8 Yambol2281436%78.185.0-6.8
9 Academic Plovdiv2171433%78.784.5-5.8
10 Minyor2171433%74.083.1-9.1
11 Shumen2271532%82.684.5-2.0
12 Levski2161529%72.577.5-5.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Beroe2029232092
CSKA Sofia3022222498
← all games of the day
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