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Aguada vs Bigua Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 99-82
23-24 22-16 30-21 24-21
Position#2
Record24-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game80.7
Aguada 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#6
Record14-17
FormWWWLL
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game85.3
UruguayLiga UruguayaLiga Uruguaya - Quarter-finals· Sanchez Varela A.
Other2024-25Neutral venue
Meetings · Aguada v Bigua
11 Jan 2026
AGUA95
BIGU87
10 Apr 2025
AGUA99
BIGU82
03 Apr 2025
AGUA89
BIGU77
11 Nov 2024
AGUA88
BIGU67
14 Feb 2024
AGUA107
BIGU85
03 Mar 2023
AGUA89
BIGU85
22 Dec 2021
AGUA70
BIGU73
06 Dec 2019
AGUA92
BIGU74
11 Dec 2018
AGUA79
BIGU77
20 Oct 2017
AGUA75
BIGU55
27 Jan 2017
AGUA89
BIGU104
18 Nov 2014
AGUA90
BIGU60
08 Jan 2014
AGUA89
BIGU81
08 Oct 2013
AGUA91
BIGU85
03 Dec 2012
AGUA101
BIGU96
14 Jan 2011
AGUA101
BIGU94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aguada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bigua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AguadaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAguada
Date
Competition
Nacional
#1
W
94-91
94
91
+3
90avg 87
A13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
77-75
77
75
+2
69avg 87
A27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
101-72
101
72
+29
100avg 87
H04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
L
85-90
85
90
-5
80avg 87
H11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
99-81
99
81
+18
100avg 87
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
85-78
85
78
+7
78avg 87
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
109-94
109
94
+15
119avg 87
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
W
83-75
83
75
+8
84avg 87
H30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
89-77
89
77
+12
92avg 87
H03/04
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
95-90
95
90
+5
85avg 87
A07/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
36-20
15-26
21-26
22-15
19-12
13-17
23-31
25-21
34-19
28-17
14-15
24-23
29-27
18-19
14-21
29-13
26-24
24-28
20-16
26-16
21-23
20-23
18-16
31-25
28-30
24-20
26-19
19-23
22-31
25-11
17-10
26-14
25-28
23-19
15-16
28-30
23-21
23-26
21-13
174.0Avg total
91.7Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)90.380.7171.0+9.683%
Season at home (16)91.580.1171.6+11.488%
Season away (13)88.881.5170.3+7.277%
Last 10 (10)91.782.3174.0+9.490%
Last 5 (5)92.282.8175.0+9.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)93.787.3181.0+6.367%
vs Similar (4)81.876.0157.8+5.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)91.280.3171.5+11.087%
This opponent (Bigua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BiguaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBigua
Date
Competition
Nacional
#1
L
96-102 OT
96
102
-6
82avg 74
H05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
91-80
91
80
+11
84avg 74
H08/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
W
82-77
82
77
+5
78avg 74
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
L
77-78
77
78
-1
64avg 74
A15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
86-88
86
88
-2
82avg 74
H18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
124-90
124
90
+34
123avg 74
H23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Ferro Carril
#14
W
103-77
103
77
+26
98avg 74
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Ferro Carril
#14
W
88-70
88
70
+18
76avg 74
H29/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
77-89
77
89
-12
61avg 74
A03/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
90-95
90
95
-5
52avg 74
H07/04
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
26-20
26-27
17-17
20-19
17-24
30-18
24-19
24-18
17-24
22-14
19-21
15-23
26-16
22-26
14-13
23-28
14-16
30-27
19-17
34-17
35-25
23-27
32-21
19-14
30-14
27-26
27-23
27-16
23-24
12-14
26-16
14-26
28-25
19-23
16-15
30-28
21-23
26-23
13-21
176.0Avg total
91.4Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)86.685.3171.9+1.345%
Season at home (17)89.685.7175.3+3.947%
Season away (14)82.984.8167.7-1.943%
Last 10 (10)91.484.6176.0+6.850%
Last 5 (5)96.484.2180.6+12.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)78.587.6166.1-9.10%
vs Similar (5)74.076.0150.0-2.040%
vs Weaker (15)91.783.3174.9+8.467%
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
AguadaBigua
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AguadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#1
W
58-39
58
39
+19
A13/02
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A27/02
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
59-40
59
40
+19
H04/03
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#4
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H11/03
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#1
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H13/03
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#3
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A17/03
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#9
W
59-55
59
55
+4
H27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#5
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H30/03
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H03/04
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#6
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A07/04
Liga Uruguaya
94.9Avg total
51.5Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.441.288.7+6.280%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.343.192.4+6.288%-
Last 30 away (14)45.339.184.4+6.271%-
Last 10 (10)51.543.494.9+8.180%-
Last 5 (5)49.848.298.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)54.338.092.3+16.3100%-
vs Similar (4)40.238.879.0+1.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)47.842.189.9+5.778%-
This opponent (Bigua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BiguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nacional
#1
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H05/03
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#13
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H08/03
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#7
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H12/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urunday
#8
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A15/03
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H18/03
Liga Uruguaya
Welcome
#12
W
69-42
69
42
+27
H23/03
Liga Uruguaya
Ferro Carril
#14
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A27/03
Liga Uruguaya
Ferro Carril
#14
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H29/03
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A03/04
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#2
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H07/04
Liga Uruguaya
88.6Avg total
46.2Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.342.785.0-0.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.344.287.5-0.931%-
Last 30 away (14)41.141.182.1+0.043%-
Last 10 (10)46.242.488.6+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)52.242.494.6+9.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)40.046.386.3-6.310%-
vs Similar (5)36.439.275.6-2.820%-
vs Weaker (15)45.741.587.3+4.260%-
This opponent (Aguada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aguadatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aguada: 91.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.6
55.8%
51.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.611.1
35.1%
33.0%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.616.9
78.2%
71.7%16.9
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Biguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bigua: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.1 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.723.1
54.1%
51.5%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.411.0
34.0%
33.0%33.0
🏀 Free throws15.410.7
69.5%
71.7%10.7
They take 75.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aguada
WWWWWWLWWW
Bigua
LLWWWLLWWL
#2
League position
#6
+12.1
Net rating
+4.4
114.1
Offensive rating
112.4
102.0
Defensive rating
108.0
54.4%
Effective FG%
52.7%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
16.1%
Turnover %
12.4%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
27.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.21
35.1%
3-point %
34.0%
69.7%
Assist %
58.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 112.4Defence102.0 · 108.0Shooting54.4% · 52.7%3-point %35.1% · 34.0%Ball care16.1% · 12.4%Off. rebounds29.5% · 27.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Aguada   ■ Bigua
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Aguada wins
3
Bigua wins
DateGameScore
07/04/25Bigua v Aguada90-95
03/04/25Aguada v Bigua89-77
28/01/25Bigua v Aguada81-95
11/11/24Aguada v Bigua88-67
15/02/24Aguada v Bigua107-85
05/12/23Bigua v Aguada81-94
03/03/23Aguada v Bigua89-85
18/12/22Bigua v Aguada94-93
12/03/22Bigua v Aguada91-84
22/12/21Aguada v Bigua70-73
Aguadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/25ABigua95-90
03/04/25HBigua89-77
30/03/25HDefensor83-75
27/03/25HCordon109-94
17/03/25APenarol85-78
13/03/25HNacional99-81
11/03/25HMalvin85-90
04/03/25HWelcome101-72
27/02/25ATrouville77-75
13/02/25ANacional94-91
Bigualast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/25HAguada90-95
03/04/25AAguada77-89
29/03/25HFerro Carril88-70
27/03/25AFerro Carril103-77
23/03/25HWelcome124-90
18/03/25HUrupan86-88
15/03/25AUrunday77-78
12/03/25HHebraica y Macabi82-77
08/03/25HTrouville91-80
05/03/25HNacional96-102 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aguada
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWWWWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %83%88%77%
Points / game90.391.588.8
Allowed / game80.780.181.5
Point differential+9.6+11.4+7.2
Avg total171.0171.6170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%62%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)33% (3)100% (4)
Overtime %3%0%8%
Bigua
Liga Uruguaya 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL45%
HomeWLWWL47%
AwayLWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %45%47%43%
Points / game86.689.682.9
Allowed / game85.385.784.8
Point differential+1.3+3.9-1.9
Avg total171.9175.3167.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional2723485%92.478.8+13.6
2 Aguada2924583%90.380.7+9.6
3 Penarol2821775%83.875.1+8.6
4 Malvin29181162%80.376.6+3.7
5 Remeros Mercedes21150%85.076.0+9.0
6 Bigua31141745%86.685.3+1.3
7 Hebraica y Macabi29131645%84.887.3-2.5
8 Defensor28121643%84.381.8+2.5
9 Cordon29121741%82.886.0-3.2
10 Urunday27111641%77.982.2-4.3
11 Urupan28101836%82.287.5-5.3
12 Welcome2891932%80.293.4-13.2
13 Trouville2742315%72.382.6-10.3
14 Ferro Carril2020%73.595.5-22.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aguada2322302499
Bigua2416212182
← all games of the day
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