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Bilbao vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 100-90
23-25 26-17 22-27 29-21
Position#7
Record12-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game85.6
Bilbao 🏆
Spain
vs
Breogan
Spain
Position#11
Record8-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game93.6
SpainACBRound 22· Bilbao Arena
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Bilbao v Breogan
21 Mar 2027
BIL v BRE
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
BIL100
BRE90
29 Sep 2024
BIL90
BRE72
09 Dec 2023
BIL68
BRE76
10 May 2023
BIL83
BRE66
16 Dec 2021
BIL83
BRE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#24
W
90-72
90
72
+18
86avg 78
A21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#18
W
88-84 OT
88
84
+4
72avg 78
A24/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
80-76
80
76
+4
67avg 78
H31/01
ACB
BC Prievidza
#22
W
93-51
93
51
+42
95avg 78
H03/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
84-82
84
82
+2
75avg 78
A07/02
ACB
PAOK
#5
W
88-87
88
87
+1
86avg 78
A11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Baskonia
#3
L
69-76
69
76
-7
42avg 78
H15/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
W
98-97 OT
98
97
+1
87avg 78
A18/02
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
88-96
88
96
-8
84avg 78
A07/03
ACB
Petkim Spor
#11
W
77-69
77
69
+8
69avg 78
A11/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
26-14
24-20
22-24
20-19
23-19
24-25
11-15
22-20
21-19
27-28
10-9
24-8
23-11
25-12
21-20
19-13
19-26
24-23
22-20
24-30
18-20
22-25
24-12
14-13
22-17
12-21
21-25
14-30
17-18
30-20
25-18
27-20
19-21
29-23
13-32
23-17
12-18
19-17
23-17
164.5Avg total
85.5Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.485.6170.0-1.255%
Season at home (11)84.779.7164.5+5.073%
Season away (11)84.191.5175.5-7.436%
Last 10 (10)85.579.0164.5+6.580%
Last 5 (5)84.085.0169.0-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)77.787.6165.3-9.929%
vs Similar ◀ (7)89.987.3177.1+2.657%
vs Weaker (16)93.971.5165.4+22.4100%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
75-83
75
83
-8
68avg 76
A27/12
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
100-103
100
103
-3
86avg 76
H29/12
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
98-82
98
82
+16
100avg 76
H03/01
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
99-104
99
104
-5
113avg 76
A10/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
104-101
104
101
+3
no box
A17/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
85-103
85
103
-18
74avg 76
H24/01
ACB
Granada
#18
W
83-64
83
64
+19
81avg 76
A31/01
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
95-106
95
106
-11
98avg 76
H07/02
ACB
Tenerife
#8
L
81-90
81
90
-9
68avg 76
A14/02
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
78-109
78
109
-31
44avg 76
H08/03
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
17-26
19-11
21-29
25-18
23-32
30-27
22-26
22-25
28-18
22-17
26-22
23-28
15-34
30-20
31-22
25-25
19-31
34-24
26-21
19-19
24-24
22-27
20-33
17-19
17-17
26-10
23-18
24-29
22-27
27-27
22-23
18-23
27-22
16-23
20-22
13-27
18-30
11-26
36-26
184.3Avg total
89.8Scored
94.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)89.693.6183.2-4.038%
Season at home (11)93.097.0190.0-4.036%
Season away (10)85.989.9175.8-4.040%
Last 10 (10)89.894.5184.3-4.730%
Last 5 (5)84.494.4178.8-10.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)83.494.9178.3-11.621%
vs Similar ◀ (12)91.094.4185.4-3.433%
vs Weaker (4)83.577.2160.8+6.275%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -5.1-5.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.5+0.5
BilbaoBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#24
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A21/01
FIBA Europe Cup
Granada
#18
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A24/01
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H31/01
ACB
BC Prievidza
#22
W
47-19
47
19
+28
H03/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Basket Zaragoza
#17
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A07/02
ACB
PAOK
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A11/02
FIBA Europe Cup
Baskonia
#3
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H15/02
ACB
Gran Canaria
#15
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A18/02
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A07/03
ACB
Petkim Spor
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A11/03
FIBA Europe Cup
77.2Avg total
40.5Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.937.481.2+6.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.433.779.1+11.780%-
Last 30 away (15)42.341.083.3+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)40.536.777.2+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.878.8-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.641.481.0-1.957%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.741.181.9-0.443%-
vs Weaker (16)47.133.981.1+13.281%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A27/12
ACB
Baskonia
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H29/12
ACB
Unicaja
#9
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H03/01
ACB
Manresa
#10
L
38-62
38
62
-24
A10/01
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A17/01
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H24/01
ACB
Granada
#18
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A31/01
ACB
Murcia
#4
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H07/02
ACB
Tenerife
#8
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A14/02
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
31-57
31
57
-26
H08/03
ACB
90.5Avg total
41.4Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.246.187.3-4.920%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.446.188.5-3.720%-
Last 30 away (15)40.046.086.0-6.020%-
Last 10 (10)41.449.190.5-7.710%-
Last 5 (5)39.847.487.2-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.944.884.7-4.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)43.249.692.8-6.325%-
vs Weaker (4)39.540.079.5-0.525%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.519.0
52.1%
50.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.7
33.9%
42.2%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.016.2
77.1%
74.7%16.2
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.921.2
55.9%
50.0%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.9
36.9%
42.2%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.915.2
84.9%
74.7%15.2
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
WLWLWWWWWW
Breogan
LLLWLWLWLL
#7
League position
#11
+6.1
Net rating
-6.5
96.0
Offensive rating
107.5
89.9
Defensive rating
114.0
51.5%
Effective FG%
55.7%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
58.6%
14.2%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.9%
3-point %
36.9%
66.6%
Assist %
57.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 107.5Defence89.9 · 114.0Shooting51.5% · 55.7%3-point %33.9% · 36.9%Ball care14.2% · 15.3%Off. rebounds- · 32.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Bilbao   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bilbao wins
4
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
21/12/25Breogan v Bilbao100-99
25/01/25Breogan v Bilbao76-71
29/09/24Bilbao v Breogan90-72
30/03/24Breogan v Bilbao68-80
09/12/23Bilbao v Breogan68-76
10/05/23Bilbao v Breogan83-66
22/10/22Breogan v Bilbao86-70
12/03/22Breogan v Bilbao86-94
16/12/21Bilbao v Breogan83-75
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/26APetkim Spor77-69
07/03/26ASan Pablo Burgos88-96
18/02/26AGran Canaria98-97 OT
15/02/26HBaskonia69-76
11/02/26APAOK88-87
07/02/26ABasket Zaragoza84-82
03/02/26HBC Prievidza93-51
31/01/26HJoventut Badalona80-76
24/01/26AGranada88-84 OT
21/01/26ASporting CP90-72
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26HBarcelona78-109
14/02/26ATenerife81-90
07/02/26HMurcia95-106
31/01/26AGranada83-64
24/01/26HReal Madrid85-103
17/01/26AMoraBanc Andorra104-101
10/01/26AManresa99-104
03/01/26HUnicaja98-82
29/12/25HBaskonia100-103
27/12/25AJoventut Badalona75-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL55%
HomeLWWWL73%
AwayWWWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %55%73%36%
Points / game84.484.784.1
Allowed / game85.679.791.5
Point differential-1.2+5.0-7.4
Avg total170.0164.5175.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%55%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %9%0%18%
Breogan
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeLWLLL36%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %38%36%40%
Points / game89.693.085.9
Allowed / game93.697.089.9
Point differential-4.0-4.0-4.0
Avg total183.2190.0175.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%27%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2119290%92.282.4+9.8
2 Valencia2216673%94.781.4+13.3
3 Barcelona2115671%89.680.0+9.7
4 Baskonia2014670%93.087.2+5.8
5 Murcia2215768%88.883.4+5.4
6 Unicaja2215768%89.584.9+4.6
7 Joventut Badalona2113862%84.980.6+4.3
8 Tenerife2213959%87.083.8+3.2
9 Bilbao22121055%84.485.6-1.2
10 Basquet Girona21101148%86.990.0-3.2
11 Manresa2191243%84.992.0-7.1
12 Breogan2181338%89.693.6-4.0
13 Forca Lleida2181338%82.087.9-5.9
14 Gran Canaria2271532%79.384.1-4.8
15 MoraBanc Andorra2161529%85.493.4-8.0
16 Basket Zaragoza2261627%86.892.7-5.9
17 San Pablo Burgos2151624%87.792.4-4.7
18 Granada211205%79.791.4-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao23262229100
Breogan2517272190
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