PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bilbao vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 May 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-66
17-15 22-21 27-12 17-18
Position#12
Record13-18
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game80.6
Bilbao 🏆
Spain
vs
Breogan
Spain
Position#10
Record13-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game79.8
SpainACBRound 32
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bilbao v Breogan
21 Mar 2027
BIL v BRE
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
BIL100
BRE90
29 Sep 2024
BIL90
BRE72
09 Dec 2023
BIL68
BRE76
10 May 2023
BIL83
BRE66
16 Dec 2021
BIL83
BRE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bilbao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#15
W
84-77
84
77
+7
76avg 66
H19/03
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
67-71
67
71
-4
57avg 66
H21/03
Champions League
Baskonia
#2
L
78-100
78
100
-22
67avg 66
A26/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
81-68
81
68
+13
68avg 66
H01/04
ACB
Barcelona
#1
W
82-80
82
80
+2
72avg 66
H09/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
L
71-77
71
77
-6
59avg 66
A15/04
ACB
Valencia
#8
L
88-95
88
95
-7
79avg 66
A22/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
60-83
60
83
-23
30avg 66
H26/04
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
73avg 66
H29/04
ACB
Real Betis
#17
L
78-86
78
86
-8
66avg 66
A06/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
23-21
19-18
23-22
17-22
11-13
17-12
22-24
17-24
10-27
25-27
26-22
18-16
15-8
23-23
25-21
18-22
13-15
21-20
30-23
25-19
14-20
10-21
22-17
22-25
25-28
20-18
21-24
8-25
20-12
13-29
19-17
24-14
12-19
25-22
19-21
22-22
13-20
25-18
18-26
158.2Avg total
76.9Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)76.780.6157.3-3.942%
Season at home (15)79.776.2155.9+3.567%
Season away (16)73.984.8158.7-10.819%
Last 10 (10)76.981.3158.2-4.440%
Last 5 (5)75.483.4158.8-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)71.583.5155.0-12.017%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.980.8159.7-1.943%
vs Weaker (4)81.072.8153.8+8.250%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
92-73
92
73
+19
92avg 65
A12/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
71-87
71
87
-16
57avg 65
H19/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
W
74-67
74
67
+7
62avg 65
A25/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
65-85
65
85
-20
42avg 65
H01/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
W
96-72
96
72
+24
85avg 65
H08/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
39avg 65
A15/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
74-90
74
90
-16
63avg 65
H20/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
67-85
67
85
-18
53avg 65
A23/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
76-97
76
97
-21
64avg 65
A30/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
60-65
60
65
-5
44avg 65
H07/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
14-23
37-18
17-16
20-28
19-21
21-24
11-14
14-17
19-24
22-10
19-16
19-19
10-27
22-23
14-16
21-12
18-22
31-17
26-21
14-13
21-26
11-23
20-15
15-20
22-24
25-24
12-22
19-21
13-19
15-18
20-27
18-22
19-23
13-22
26-30
15-16
12-18
8-20
25-11
153.9Avg total
74.1Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)77.279.8157.0-2.642%
Season at home (16)77.978.7156.6-0.838%
Season away (15)76.481.0157.4-4.647%
Last 10 (10)74.179.8153.9-5.730%
Last 5 (5)68.682.8151.4-14.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)69.184.6153.8-15.57%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.577.4160.9+6.167%
vs Weaker (4)84.872.5157.2+12.275%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -6.0-6.0Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
BilbaoBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basquet Girona
#15
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H19/03
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H21/03
Champions League
Baskonia
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A26/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H01/04
ACB
Barcelona
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H09/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A15/04
ACB
Valencia
#8
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A22/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H26/04
ACB
Manresa
#14
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H29/04
ACB
Real Betis
#17
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A06/05
ACB
73.4Avg total
34.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.339.175.4-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.136.172.3+0.047%-
Last 30 away (15)36.542.178.6-5.520%-
Last 10 (10)34.638.873.4-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)37.040.877.8-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.239.272.5-6.017%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.739.176.8-1.443%-
vs Weaker (4)40.838.879.5+2.050%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fuenlabrada
#18
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A12/03
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H19/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A25/03
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H01/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#3
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H08/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#7
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A15/04
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H20/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A23/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A30/04
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H07/05
ACB
75.7Avg total
34.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.039.475.4-3.530%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.138.674.7-2.631%-
Last 30 away (14)35.940.476.2-4.529%-
Last 10 (10)34.641.175.7-6.510%-
Last 5 (5)33.640.474.0-6.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.242.275.4-9.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.837.775.5+0.250%-
vs Weaker (4)40.035.075.0+5.025%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.0
48.7%
52.1%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.8
36.3%
34.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.112.7
70.2%
73.9%12.7
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.521.2
47.6%
52.1%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.1
32.4%
34.5%21.3
🏀 Free throws15.89.8
62.0%
73.9%9.8
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bilbao
LWLLLWWLLW
Breogan
LLLLLWLWLW
#12
League position
#10
-5.5
Net rating
-7.7
104.4
Offensive rating
103.3
109.9
Defensive rating
111.0
51.2%
Effective FG%
48.0%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
57.4%
18.1%
Turnover %
14.8%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.3%
3-point %
32.4%
52.6%
Assist %
48.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.4 · 103.3Defence109.9 · 111.0Shooting51.2% · 48.0%3-point %36.3% · 32.4%Ball care18.1% · 14.8%Off. rebounds28.9% · 32.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Bilbao   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bilbao wins
1
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
22/10/22Breogan v Bilbao86-70
12/03/22Breogan v Bilbao86-94
16/12/21Bilbao v Breogan83-75
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/23AReal Betis78-86
29/04/23HManresa80-76
26/04/23HTenerife60-83
22/04/23AValencia88-95
15/04/23AFuenlabrada71-77
09/04/23HBarcelona82-80
01/04/23HBasket Zaragoza81-68
26/03/23ABaskonia78-100
21/03/23HMurcia67-71
19/03/23HBasquet Girona84-77
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/23HMurcia60-65
30/04/23ABaskonia76-97
23/04/23ATenerife67-85
20/04/23HUnicaja74-90
15/04/23AGran Canaria66-77
08/04/23HReal Madrid96-72
01/04/23HJoventut Badalona65-85
25/03/23AObradoiro CAB74-67
19/03/23HBasket Zaragoza71-87
12/03/23AFuenlabrada92-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bilbao
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL42%
HomeWWWLW67%
AwayLLLLL19%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %42%67%19%
Points / game76.779.773.9
Allowed / game80.676.284.8
Point differential-3.9+3.5-10.8
Avg total157.3155.9158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)60% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Breogan
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL42%
HomeLLWLL38%
AwayWWLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %42%38%47%
Points / game77.277.976.4
Allowed / game79.878.781.0
Point differential-2.6-0.8-4.6
Avg total157.0156.6157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)20% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona3126584%84.673.3+11.4
2 Baskonia3126584%93.083.2+9.8
3 Real Madrid3125681%88.878.0+10.8
4 Tenerife3223972%83.574.2+9.3
5 Unicaja32221069%87.278.0+9.2
6 Gran Canaria31181358%83.879.1+4.7
7 Joventut Badalona31181358%81.678.0+3.6
8 Valencia31161552%84.083.6+0.4
9 Murcia32151747%80.983.7-2.8
10 Breogan31131842%77.279.8-2.6
11 Bilbao31131842%76.780.6-3.9
12 Obradoiro CAB31131842%78.482.9-4.5
13 Basket Zaragoza32122038%78.780.2-1.6
14 Basquet Girona32102231%76.281.6-5.3
15 Real Betis32102231%78.084.0-5.9
16 Manresa32102231%83.389.7-6.3
17 Granada3292328%76.286.4-10.2
18 Fuenlabrada3142713%76.291.8-15.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bilbao1722271783
Breogan1521121866
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.