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Real Madrid vs Bilbao Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 95-61
30-15 24-14 23-20 18-12
Position#1
Record7-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game69.5
vs
Position#11
Record2-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game87.2
SpainACBRound 9
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Real Madrid v Bilbao
18 Oct 2026
MAD119
BIL84
16 Nov 2025
MAD82
BIL70
30 Mar 2025
MAD88
BIL70
21 Jan 2024
MAD95
BIL80
12 Mar 2023
MAD86
BIL65
07 Nov 2021
MAD95
BIL61
20 May 2021
MAD70
BIL59
13 Feb 2020
MAD93
BIL83
28 Jan 2018
MAD95
BIL65
26 Mar 2017
MAD104
BIL76
10 Apr 2016
MAD102
BIL80
26 Apr 2015
MAD78
BIL52
03 Nov 2013
MAD92
BIL75
04 Oct 2013
MAD100
BIL61
11 Nov 2012
MAD98
BIL84
05 Feb 2012
MAD90
BIL93
01 Feb 2012
MAD89
BIL73
29 May 2011
MAD66
BIL71
27 May 2011
MAD78
BIL67
05 Feb 2011
MAD76
BIL72
14 Feb 2010
MAD80
BIL87
16 Nov 2008
MAD84
BIL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bilbao winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
W
93-79
93
79
+14
88avg 76
A10/10
ACB
Monaco
#8
W
94-86
94
86
+8
96avg 76
H13/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
88-65
88
65
+23
88avg 76
H15/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
W
79-71
79
71
+8
76avg 76
A17/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#13
W
70-69
70
69
+1
62avg 76
H21/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
L
70-75
70
75
-5
68avg 76
H24/10
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
75-68
75
68
+7
70avg 76
A27/10
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#9
L
58-65
58
65
-7
53avg 76
A29/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
83-65
83
65
+18
82avg 76
A31/10
ACB
Bayern
#11
W
80-76
80
76
+4
80avg 76
A05/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
22-16
22-21
29-19
30-12
21-27
21-26
22-21
30-18
12-12
20-20
26-15
12-20
28-13
23-18
16-20
10-15
25-26
15-11
20-17
21-14
14-21
17-18
18-22
22-13
17-27
20-17
16-11
11-14
23-21
17-14
7-16
16-10
23-16
24-12
20-27
13-13
30-19
17-26
20-18
150.9Avg total
79.0Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.669.5150.1+11.188%
Season at home (4)76.070.8146.8+5.275%
Season away (4)85.268.2153.5+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.071.9150.9+7.180%
Last 5 (5)73.269.8143.0+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.089.7166.7-12.70%
vs Similar (4)83.078.0161.0+5.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)80.072.8152.9+7.282%
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBilbao
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
59-70
59
70
-11
47avg 68
A20/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
94-73
94
73
+21
92avg 68
H23/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
79-85
79
85
-6
70avg 68
A18/09
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
76-100
76
100
-24
63avg 68
H23/09
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
79-89
79
89
-10
72avg 68
A25/09
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
68-84
68
84
-16
57avg 68
H03/10
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
87-92
87
92
-5
81avg 68
A10/10
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
85-80
85
80
+5
70avg 68
H17/10
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
87-81
87
81
+6
82avg 68
H24/10
ACB
Manresa
#6
L
79-87
79
87
-8
78avg 68
A31/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-21
11-24
18-8
17-17
15-19
26-11
34-14
19-29
16-16
21-22
21-24
21-23
20-16
11-27
22-26
23-31
24-16
19-24
23-28
13-21
16-18
17-23
12-23
23-20
14-26
21-13
25-20
27-33
23-23
15-14
17-24
30-19
21-24
27-21
19-20
20-16
21-20
19-25
20-22
19-20
163.4Avg total
79.3Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.087.2167.2-7.225%
Season at home (4)79.086.2165.2-7.250%
Season away (4)81.088.2169.2-7.20%
Last 10 (10)79.384.1163.4-4.830%
Last 5 (5)81.284.8166.0-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)77.786.7164.4-9.116%
vs Similar (9)83.289.1172.3-5.944%
vs Weaker (2)89.077.0166.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.7-1.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.7-1.7
Real MadridBilbao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#3
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A10/10
ACB
Monaco
#8
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H13/10
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#16
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H15/10
Euroleague
Breogan
#10
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A17/10
ACB
Fenerbahce
#13
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H21/10
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H24/10
ACB
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A27/10
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#9
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A29/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A31/10
ACB
Bayern
#11
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A05/11
Euroleague
75.0Avg total
40.0Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.476.2+3.470%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.134.775.8+6.479%-
Last 30 away (16)38.637.976.5+0.862%-
Last 10 (10)40.035.075.0+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.033.671.6+4.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.739.074.7-3.367%-
vs Similar (4)44.238.883.0+5.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)39.935.675.5+4.373%-
This opponent (Bilbao) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BilbaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
24-45
24
45
-21
A20/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#7
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H23/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A18/09
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H23/09
ACB
Tenerife
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A25/09
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H03/10
ACB
Murcia
#9
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A10/10
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H17/10
ACB
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H24/10
ACB
Manresa
#6
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A31/10
ACB
77.3Avg total
37.0Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.541.278.7-3.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.943.080.9-5.140%-
Last 30 away (15)37.139.376.5-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)37.040.377.3-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.480.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.240.176.3-3.937%-
vs Similar (9)39.945.084.9-5.133%-
vs Weaker (2)40.034.074.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.017.2
53.8%
52.0%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.3
37.2%
35.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.012.9
75.9%
75.5%12.9
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bilbaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bilbao: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.3
49.9%
52.0%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.310.3
39.2%
35.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.612.8
72.7%
75.5%12.8
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWLWLWWWWW
Bilbao
LWWLLLLLWL
#1
League position
#11
+9.8
Net rating
-6.6
111.3
Offensive rating
107.8
101.5
Defensive rating
114.5
54.7%
Effective FG%
53.7%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
19.4%
Turnover %
19.7%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.2%
3-point %
39.2%
68.4%
Assist %
50.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 107.8Defence101.5 · 114.5Shooting54.7% · 53.7%3-point %37.2% · 39.2%Ball care19.4% · 19.7%Off. rebounds32.5% · 30.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Bilbao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Real Madrid wins
0
Bilbao wins
DateGameScore
20/05/21Real Madrid v Bilbao70-59
04/11/20Bilbao v Real Madrid83-85
13/02/20Real Madrid v Bilbao93-83
28/01/18Real Madrid v Bilbao95-65
05/10/17Bilbao v Real Madrid80-87
26/03/17Real Madrid v Bilbao104-76
11/12/16Bilbao v Real Madrid77-85
10/04/16Real Madrid v Bilbao102-80
29/11/15Bilbao v Real Madrid92-99
26/04/15Real Madrid v Bilbao78-52
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/21ABayern80-76
31/10/21ABaskonia83-65
29/10/21AUnics Kazan58-65
27/10/21AZenit Petersburg75-68
24/10/21HGran Canaria70-75
21/10/21HFenerbahce70-69
17/10/21ABreogan79-71
15/10/21HPanathinaikos88-65
13/10/21HMonaco94-86
10/10/21AValencia93-79
Bilbaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/21AManresa79-87
24/10/21HSan Pablo Burgos87-81
17/10/21HFuenlabrada85-80
10/10/21AMurcia87-92
03/10/21HBarcelona68-84
25/09/21ATenerife79-89
23/09/21HBasket Zaragoza76-100
18/09/21AJoventut Badalona79-85
23/05/21HJoventut Badalona94-73
20/05/21AReal Madrid59-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
ACB 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%75%100%
Points / game80.676.085.2
Allowed / game69.570.868.2
Point differential+11.1+5.2+17.0
Avg total150.1146.8153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%25%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bilbao
ACB 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL25%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game80.079.081.0
Allowed / game87.286.288.2
Point differential-7.2-7.2-7.2
Avg total167.2165.2169.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona990100%79.667.8+11.8
2 Real Madrid87188%80.669.5+11.1
3 Murcia96367%88.980.8+8.1
4 Tenerife96367%80.277.7+2.6
5 Gran Canaria96367%78.377.6+0.8
6 Joventut Badalona95456%80.973.9+7.0
7 Breogan95456%80.673.7+6.9
8 Valencia95456%77.176.6+0.6
9 Manresa95456%82.883.1-0.3
10 Baskonia94544%76.376.9-0.6
11 Basket Zaragoza94544%76.378.9-2.6
12 Unicaja93633%79.880.4-0.7
13 San Pablo Burgos93633%74.477.8-3.3
14 MoraBanc Andorra93633%77.681.4-3.9
15 Obradoiro CAB93633%78.486.1-7.7
16 Bilbao82625%80.087.2-7.2
17 Fuenlabrada92722%83.488.8-5.3
18 Real Betis92722%73.390.1-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid3024231895
Bilbao1514201261
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