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Boise State vs Santa Clara Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 21 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Scheduled
Position#89
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game104.5
Allowed / game78.8
vs
Position#66
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.6
Allowed / game75.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Boise State v Santa Clara
21 Dec 2026
BOIS v SANT
upcoming
14 Dec 2021
BOIS72
SANT60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Santa Clara win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#349
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H21/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
72-62
72
62
+10
H25/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
69-53
69
53
+16
A01/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H04/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A07/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
74-84
74
84
-10
H12/03
NCAA
West Coast Baptist
#537
W
132-53
132
53
+79
H05/11
NCAA
Butler
#202
W
100-81
100
81
+19
H08/11
NCAA
Oakland
#344
W
111-79
111
79
+32
H12/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#21
L
75-102
75
102
-27
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-31
48-38
32-30
40-32
28-23
41-30
34-27
52-50
36-28
42-39
39-41
35-43
69-26
63-27
51-31
49-50
52-42
59-37
–
–
160.8Avg total
88.1Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)104.578.8183.2+25.875%
Season at home (3)114.371.0185.3+43.3100%
Season away (1)75.0102.0177.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)88.172.7160.8+15.480%
Last 5 (5)98.479.8178.2+18.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)69.075.6144.6-6.660%
vs Similar (16)78.979.6158.5-0.650%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)95.267.4162.7+27.889%
This opponent (Santa Clara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Santa ClaraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#195
W
93-72
93
72
+21
H01/03
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H09/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A10/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A11/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
84-89 OT
84
89
-5
A20/03
NCAA
Towson
#175
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H03/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#260
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H05/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#287
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H08/11
NCAA
North Texas
#100
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A12/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#93
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-33
55-39
45-38
31-30
32-35
44-36
33-29
35-50
31-29
42-44
43-35
46-35
46-27
49-45
45-36
38-41
34-41
42-30
51-33
39-52
158.4Avg total
83.0Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.675.0161.6+11.6100%
Season at home (4)89.276.0165.2+13.2100%
Season away (1)76.071.0147.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)83.075.4158.4+7.680%
Last 5 (5)86.675.0161.6+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)79.483.6163.0-4.240%
vs Similar (5)75.674.0149.6+1.660%
vs Weaker (20)87.572.3159.8+15.290%
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.9+10.91st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: +9.2+9.22nd half: +1.9+1.9
-14-7+0+7+141st half1st half: +10.9+10.91st half: +6.2+6.22nd half2nd half: +9.2+9.22nd half: +1.9+1.9
Boise StateSanta Clara
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#349
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H25/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A01/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H04/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A07/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H12/03
NCAA
West Coast Baptist
#537
W
69-26
69
26
+43
H05/11
NCAA
Butler
#202
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H08/11
NCAA
Oakland
#344
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H12/11
NCAA
72.9Avg total
41.9Scored
31.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.132.970.0+4.169%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.831.970.7+6.976%-
Last 30 away (12)34.634.469.0+0.258%-
Last 10 (9)41.931.072.9+10.989%-
Last 5 (5)49.433.683.0+15.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.433.863.2-4.460%-
vs Similar (15)35.132.767.8+2.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.732.877.4+11.989%-
This opponent (Santa Clara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Santa ClaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon State
#195
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H01/03
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/03
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A10/03
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A11/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A20/03
NCAA
Towson
#175
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#260
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H05/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#287
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H08/11
NCAA
North Texas
#100
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A12/11
NCAA
New Mexico
#93
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H15/11
NCAA
73.4Avg total
39.8Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.334.474.7+6.070%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.534.275.7+7.482%-
Last 30 away (13)38.834.673.4+4.254%-
Last 10 (10)39.833.673.4+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)43.834.478.2+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.836.875.6+2.040%-
vs Similar (5)34.833.268.0+1.660%-
vs Weaker (20)42.134.076.2+8.180%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Boise State wins
1
Santa Clara wins
DateGameScore
22/12/22Santa Clara v Boise State73-58
15/12/21Boise State v Santa Clara72-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ANebraska75-102
12/11/26HOakland111-79
08/11/26HButler100-81
05/11/26HWest Coast Baptist132-53
12/03/26HSan Jose State74-84
07/03/26AColorado State78-67
04/03/26HSan Diego State86-77
01/03/26AFresno State69-53
25/02/26HWyoming72-62
21/02/26HSan Jose State84-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HNew Mexico90-85
12/11/26ANorth Texas76-71
08/11/26HSacramento State83-77
05/11/26HWisc. Milwaukee95-72
03/11/26HTowson89-70
20/03/26AKentucky84-89 OT
11/03/26AGonzaga68-79
10/03/26ASt. Marys (CA)76-71
09/03/26HPacific76-68
01/03/26HOregon State93-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game104.5114.375.0
Allowed / game78.871.0102.0
Point differential+25.8+43.3-27.0
Avg total183.2185.3177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Santa Clara
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.689.276.0
Allowed / game75.076.071.0
Point differential+11.6+13.2+5.0
Avg total161.6165.2147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State440100%105.570.5+35.0
2 Grand Canyon440100%97.270.8+26.5
3 San Diego State330100%89.073.0+16.0
4 UNLV330100%84.374.7+9.7
5 Boise State43175%104.578.8+25.8
6 New Mexico43175%93.271.0+22.2
7 Wyoming43175%81.859.8+22.0
8 Air Force43175%93.583.8+9.8
9 Colorado State43175%76.871.2+5.5
10 Fresno State43175%84.283.0+1.2
11 Nevada42250%79.073.2+5.8
12 San Jose State31233%83.081.7+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon State440100%93.269.5+23.8
2 Santa Clara550100%86.675.0+11.6
3 St. Marys (CA)43175%93.576.5+17.0
4 San Diego Toreros43175%84.275.5+8.8
5 San Francisco43175%71.568.5+3.0
6 Pacific32167%74.753.7+21.0
7 Pepperdine42250%96.070.0+26.0
8 Portland52340%87.093.6-6.6
9 Gonzaga31233%87.075.7+11.3
10 Seattle31233%70.373.3-3.0
11 Loyola Marymount41325%84.574.8+9.8
12 Washington State41325%81.579.5+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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