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Boise State vs Utah State Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 05 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:00
Postponed
Position#101
Record9-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#20
Record12-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.6
Allowed / game67.3
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Boise State v Utah State
27 Jan 2027
BOIS v UTAH
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
BOIS68
UTAH93
05 Jan 2026
BOIS v UTAH
upcoming
26 Feb 2025
BOIS82
UTAH65
27 Jan 2024
BOIS84
UTAH90
10 Mar 2023
BOIS62
UTAH72
07 Jan 2023
BOIS82
UTAH59
19 Feb 2022
BOIS68
UTAH57
19 Feb 2021
BOIS81
UTAH77
17 Feb 2021
BOIS79
UTAH70
18 Jan 2020
BOIS88
UTAH83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boise State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Utah State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boise StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#71
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H19/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H24/11
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
70-81
70
81
-11
H25/11
NCAA
Chaminade Silverswords
#438
W
102-76
102
76
+26
A27/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
77-68
77
68
+9
A06/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
86-64
86
64
+22
H11/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
68-67
68
67
+1
H14/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A21/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H31/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
107-110 OT
107
110
-3
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-27
30-32
32-34
35-36
28-34
42-47
43-39
59-37
33-31
44-37
45-30
41-34
37-32
31-35
26-36
40-45
21-19
41-34
29-50
50-29
149.6Avg total
76.7Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.172.0150.1+6.164%
Season at home (10)74.167.3141.4+6.870%
Season away (4)88.083.8171.8+4.250%
Last 10 (10)76.772.9149.6+3.860%
Last 5 (5)77.875.0152.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)77.065.7142.7+11.3100%
vs Similar (17)72.472.1144.4+0.353%
vs Weaker (10)76.164.2140.3+11.980%
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#307
W
75-51
75
51
+24
H15/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
96-75
96
75
+21
A21/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
94-60
94
60
+34
A24/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
H29/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A05/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
79-53
79
53
+26
A07/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H13/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
100-58
100
58
+42
H20/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
72-63
72
63
+9
A31/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
96-78
96
78
+18
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-20
41-31
40-40
56-35
48-30
46-30
36-34
33-35
20-41
41-33
44-30
35-23
40-33
43-45
45-24
55-34
35-26
37-37
48-51
48-27
151.1Avg total
84.0Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.667.3152.9+18.392%
Season at home (8)88.968.8157.6+20.1100%
Season away (5)80.465.0145.4+15.480%
Last 10 (10)84.067.1151.1+16.990%
Last 5 (5)86.066.0152.0+20.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)70.580.1150.6-9.630%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)85.564.8150.3+20.695%
This opponent (Boise State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +10.5+10.5
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +6.1+6.12nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: +10.5+10.5
Boise StateUtah State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Boise StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#71
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H19/11
NCAA
USC
#153
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H24/11
NCAA
NC State
#128
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H25/11
NCAA
Chaminade Silverswords
#438
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A27/11
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A06/12
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H11/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#16
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H14/12
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A21/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
21-19
21
19
+2
H31/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
29-50
29
50
-21
A04/01
NCAA
65.8Avg total
32.6Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.132.465.4+0.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.430.967.3+5.675%-
Last 30 away (14)29.234.163.3-4.943%-
Last 10 (10)32.633.265.8-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)31.633.465.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.728.763.3+6.0100%-
vs Similar (17)31.534.866.2-3.341%-
vs Weaker (10)35.329.464.7+5.980%-
This opponent (Utah State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Utah StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#307
W
34-20
34
20
+14
H15/11
NCAA
Tulane
#173
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A21/11
NCAA
Davidson
#109
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A24/11
NCAA
Montana State
#144
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H29/11
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
20-41
20
41
-21
A05/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A07/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H13/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H20/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#275
W
35-26
35
26
+9
A31/12
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H03/01
NCAA
71.9Avg total
39.0Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.733.271.9+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.830.672.4+11.288%-
Last 30 away (14)35.136.271.3-1.143%-
Last 10 (10)39.032.971.9+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)42.432.875.2+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)33.137.270.3-4.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)41.531.272.7+10.275%-
This opponent (Boise State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Boise State wins
5
Utah State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26ASan Diego State107-110 OT
31/12/25HNew Mexico62-53
21/12/25ANevada66-81
14/12/25HSt. Marys (CA)68-67
11/12/25HDuquesne86-64
06/12/25AButler77-68
27/11/25AChaminade Silverswords102-76
25/11/25HNC State70-81
24/11/25HUSC67-70
19/11/25HWichita State62-59
Utah Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HSan Jose State96-78
31/12/25AFresno State72-63
20/12/25HColorado State100-58
13/12/25HIllinois State83-78
07/12/25ACharlotte79-53
05/12/25ASouth Florida61-74
29/11/25HMontana State84-81 OT
24/11/25ADavidson94-60
21/11/25ATulane96-75
15/11/25HUTEP75-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boise State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL64%
HomeLLWWW70%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14104
Win %64%70%50%
Points / game78.174.188.0
Allowed / game72.067.383.8
Point differential+6.1+6.8+4.2
Avg total150.1141.4171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%30%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)60% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%25%
Utah State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %92%100%80%
Points / game85.688.980.4
Allowed / game67.368.865.0
Point differential+18.3+20.1+15.4
Avg total152.9157.6145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%62%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (3)-
Overtime %8%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State1312192%85.667.3+18.3
2 New Mexico1411379%79.667.4+12.3
3 Nevada1411379%76.671.1+5.6
4 Wyoming1410471%83.171.8+11.3
5 Colorado State1410471%80.971.5+9.4
6 San Diego State139469%84.174.8+9.3
7 Boise State149564%78.172.0+6.1
8 Grand Canyon138562%75.568.8+6.7
9 UNLV137654%80.775.7+5.0
10 Fresno State146843%74.472.0+2.4
11 San Jose State145936%74.676.9-2.4
12 Air Force1431121%62.973.2-10.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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