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Bonn vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 112-89
27-24 31-20 26-23 28-22
Position#7
Record17-12
FormLLWLL
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game85.9
Bonn 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#15
Record8-21
FormLWLWL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game93.3
GermanyBBLRound 30· Telekom Dome
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Bonn v Rostock
05 May 2027
BON v ROS
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
BON77
ROS81
01 Mar 2025
BON83
ROS72
27 Apr 2024
BON112
ROS89
06 Jan 2023
BON99
ROS71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Dijon
#12
W
89-74
89
74
+15
84avg 80
H12/03
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
85-81
85
81
+4
80avg 80
A20/03
Champions League
Oldenburg
#8
W
100-85
100
85
+15
88avg 80
H26/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
80-77
80
77
+3
70avg 80
H30/03
BBL
Peristeri
#15
W
89-78
89
78
+11
88avg 80
H03/04
Champions League
Chemnitz
#3
L
66-80
66
80
-14
54avg 80
A06/04
BBL
Peristeri
#15
L
62-90
62
90
-28
52avg 80
A10/04
Champions League
Gottingen
#14
W
95-85
95
85
+10
85avg 80
H14/04
BBL
Peristeri
#15
L
77-89
77
89
-12
60avg 80
H16/04
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
89-98
89
98
-9
84avg 80
A20/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
24-18
19-17
26-22
31-25
21-24
11-17
22-15
39-22
16-22
20-19
25-22
17-15
24-23
26-22
13-17
22-24
23-20
28-16
16-18
15-16
18-21
18-20
15-23
14-19
20-27
14-23
14-21
28-26
23-24
19-18
25-17
17-27
26-24
19-16
15-22
20-25
19-24
20-23
30-26
166.9Avg total
83.2Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)89.585.9175.4+3.659%
Season at home (14)89.682.4172.0+7.371%
Season away (15)89.389.2178.5+0.147%
Last 10 (10)83.283.7166.9-0.560%
Last 5 (5)77.888.4166.2-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.887.2165.0-9.40%
vs Similar (17)87.084.3171.3+2.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)89.987.6177.5+2.250%
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
L
77-92
77
92
-15
66avg 78
H14/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
102-106
102
106
-4
94avg 78
A02/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
75-76
75
76
-1
66avg 78
H10/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
86-88
86
88
-2
82avg 78
A16/03
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
91-98 OT
91
98
-7
no box
H22/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
64-99
64
99
-35
51avg 78
H31/03
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
92-75
92
75
+17
89avg 78
A05/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
71-96
71
96
-25
19avg 78
H14/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
W
95-86
95
86
+9
95avg 78
A20/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
74-91
74
91
-17
65avg 78
A24/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
25-24
17-25
15-22
26-26
23-27
26-30
27-23
19-27
17-15
25-10
14-24
18-22
26-17
18-12
24-37
34-20
14-19
22-27
12-16
21-20
15-25
19-24
9-30
27-13
28-22
21-15
16-25
21-15
15-28
24-24
11-29
21-26
22-17
21-21
31-22
20-21
20-21
11-24
23-25
173.4Avg total
82.7Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)88.193.3181.4-5.128%
Season at home (15)89.094.9183.9-5.933%
Season away (14)87.291.6178.8-4.421%
Last 10 (10)82.790.7173.4-8.020%
Last 5 (5)79.289.4168.6-10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)83.692.8176.3-9.217%
vs Similar (5)94.895.4190.2-0.640%
vs Weaker (7)88.785.1173.9+3.671%
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -7.1-7.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -7.1-7.1
BonnRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dijon
#12
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H12/03
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A20/03
Champions League
Oldenburg
#8
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H26/03
BBL
Vechta
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H30/03
BBL
Peristeri
#15
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H03/04
Champions League
Chemnitz
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A06/04
BBL
Peristeri
#15
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A10/04
Champions League
Gottingen
#14
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H14/04
BBL
Peristeri
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H16/04
Champions League
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A20/04
BBL
88.0Avg total
43.7Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.544.888.3-1.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.743.288.9+2.573%-
Last 30 away (15)41.346.587.7-5.227%-
Last 10 (10)43.744.388.0-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.046.686.6-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.044.483.4-5.420%-
vs Similar (17)43.043.886.8-0.853%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)47.247.294.5+0.062%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H14/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A02/03
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H10/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A16/03
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H22/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H31/03
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
55-35
55
35
+20
A05/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A20/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A24/04
BBL
85.8Avg total
43.2Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.944.888.7-0.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.444.689.1-0.238%-
Last 30 away (14)43.344.988.2-1.636%-
Last 10 (10)43.242.685.8+0.630%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.683.6+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)42.646.689.2-3.922%-
vs Similar (5)47.848.696.4-0.820%-
vs Weaker (7)44.437.481.9+7.086%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.020.5
51.2%
54.6%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.0
32.7%
35.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.017.4
79.1%
76.0%17.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.4
55.4%
54.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.6
34.4%
35.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.813.9
78.1%
76.0%13.9
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bonn
LLWLLWWWWW
Rostock
LWLWLLLLLL
#7
League position
#15
-0.8
Net rating
-12.1
112.9
Offensive rating
106.2
113.8
Defensive rating
118.3
50.4%
Effective FG%
53.7%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
14.9%
Turnover %
18.0%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.7%
3-point %
34.4%
57.9%
Assist %
61.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 106.2Defence113.8 · 118.3Shooting50.4% · 53.7%3-point %32.7% · 34.4%Ball care14.9% · 18.0%Off. rebounds31.7% · 22.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Bonn   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bonn wins
1
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
26/12/23Rostock v Bonn98-92
12/02/23Rostock v Bonn62-77
06/01/23Bonn v Rostock99-71
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24ACrailsheim Merlins89-98
16/04/24HPeristeri77-89
14/04/24HGottingen95-85
10/04/24APeristeri62-90
06/04/24AChemnitz66-80
03/04/24HPeristeri89-78
30/03/24HVechta80-77
26/03/24HOldenburg100-85
20/03/24ALudwigsburg85-81
12/03/24HDijon89-74
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/24AAlba Berlin74-91
20/04/24AWurzburg95-86
14/04/24HUlm71-96
05/04/24ATubingen92-75
31/03/24HOldenburg64-99
22/03/24HBamberg91-98 OT
16/03/24AHeidelberg86-88
10/03/24HAlba Berlin75-76
02/03/24ASyntainics MBC102-106
14/02/24HVechta77-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL59%
HomeLWWWW71%
AwayWLLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %59%71%47%
Points / game89.589.689.3
Allowed / game85.982.489.2
Point differential+3.6+7.3+0.1
Avg total175.4172.0178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Rostock
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL28%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayLLWWL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %28%33%21%
Points / game88.189.087.2
Allowed / game93.394.991.6
Point differential-5.1-5.9-4.4
Avg total181.4183.9178.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%7%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)50% (4)0% (5)
Overtime %17%20%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2823582%89.377.6+11.7
2 Alba Berlin2823582%91.681.7+10.0
3 Chemnitz2923679%89.678.6+10.9
4 Wurzburg2920969%86.079.3+6.7
5 Ulm2920969%92.285.7+6.6
6 Vechta29181162%89.082.4+6.5
7 Ludwigsburg29171259%88.481.8+6.7
8 Bonn29171259%89.585.9+3.6
9 Oldenburg29151452%85.083.9+1.1
10 Hamburg29141548%85.386.5-1.2
11 Bamberg29121741%88.290.9-2.7
12 Basketball Braunschweig29121741%82.485.9-3.5
13 Gottingen2992031%86.594.1-7.6
14 Syntainics MBC3092130%85.892.9-7.2
15 Rostock2982128%88.193.3-5.1
16 Heidelberg3082227%83.194.3-11.2
17 Crailsheim Merlins2972224%81.392.6-11.3
18 Tubingen2962321%84.096.7-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bonn27312628112
Rostock2420232289
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