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Bonn vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-72
20-17 23-16 18-16 22-23
Position#14
Record8-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game83.5
Bonn 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#12
Record10-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game81.2
GermanyBBLRound 8· Telekom Dome
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Bonn v Rostock
05 May 2027
BON v ROS
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
BON77
ROS81
01 Mar 2025
BON83
ROS72
27 Apr 2024
BON112
ROS89
06 Jan 2023
BON99
ROS71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
L
81-90
81
90
-9
76avg 74
H26/12
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
80-67
80
67
+13
79avg 74
H29/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
94-74
94
74
+20
88avg 74
A05/01
BBL
Reggiana
#26
L
91-94
91
94
-3
81avg 74
H08/01
Champions League
Hamburg
#13
L
84-91
84
91
-7
66avg 74
A10/01
BBL
Reggiana
#26
L
70-73
70
73
-3
57avg 74
A15/01
Champions League
Frankfurt
#16
L
70-77
70
77
-7
59avg 74
H19/01
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
75-84
75
84
-9
60avg 74
A25/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
L
80-84
80
84
-4
70avg 74
H02/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
61-81
61
81
-20
51avg 74
A11/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
22-22
18-19
12-29
17-14
25-13
20-14
18-26
29-27
25-20
25-19
15-8
24-22
25-20
23-14
19-38
19-24
24-15
18-25
23-27
15-21
22-13
12-18
21-21
16-22
25-21
15-23
14-11
17-20
22-21
15-19
21-24
21-22
24-24
23-17
12-21
13-23
12-25
17-14
19-19
160.1Avg total
78.6Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.683.5166.1-0.942%
Season at home (8)81.483.6165.0-2.238%
Season away (11)83.583.4166.8+0.145%
Last 10 (10)78.681.5160.1-2.920%
Last 5 (5)71.279.8151.0-8.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)81.688.6170.1-7.043%
vs Similar ◀ (20)83.081.8164.8+1.250%
vs Weaker (2)75.072.0147.0+3.050%
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
L
70-80
70
80
-10
63avg 70
H15/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
L
63-80
63
80
-17
53avg 70
A21/12
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
92-78
92
78
+14
81avg 70
H26/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
96-85
96
85
+11
85avg 70
A31/12
BBL
Vechta
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
76avg 70
H04/01
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
72-82
72
82
-10
60avg 70
A11/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
122-118 OT
122
118
+4
107avg 70
H18/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
88-82
88
82
+6
77avg 70
H02/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
97-93
97
93
+4
97avg 70
A09/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
71-78
71
78
-7
50avg 70
H12/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
21-24
15-28
15-14
22-12
12-19
7-26
22-23
30-20
20-23
21-15
21-20
22-15
21-32
24-17
29-21
24-21
13-19
25-19
25-24
12-25
16-23
19-14
25-20
28-26
24-21
13-27
23-14
22-19
21-19
22-21
23-23
21-29
19-30
29-19
28-15
20-17
25-19
11-23
15-19
171.7Avg total
85.8Scored
85.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)81.781.2162.9+0.553%
Season at home (11)82.280.7162.9+1.555%
Season away (8)81.181.9163.0-0.850%
Last 10 (10)85.885.9171.7-0.160%
Last 5 (5)90.090.6180.6-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.790.5169.2-11.727%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.682.4163.1-1.850%
vs Weaker (4)86.875.0161.8+11.875%
This opponent (Bonn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -5.0-5.0Q4: +3.3+3.3
BonnRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#5
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H26/12
BBL
Gottingen
#17
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H29/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A05/01
BBL
Reggiana
#26
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H08/01
Champions League
Hamburg
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A10/01
BBL
Reggiana
#26
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A15/01
Champions League
Frankfurt
#16
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H19/01
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A25/01
BBL
Chemnitz
#7
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H02/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#8
L
25-48
25
48
-23
A11/02
BBL
83.5Avg total
42.6Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.383.0+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.940.383.2+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)40.542.382.9-1.853%-
Last 10 (10)42.640.983.5+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)37.442.479.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.743.382.0-4.643%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)42.641.283.8+1.460%-
vs Weaker (2)41.535.076.5+6.550%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayern
#1
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H15/12
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#3
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A21/12
BBL
Hamburg
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H26/12
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A31/12
BBL
Vechta
#10
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H04/01
BBL
Ulm
#2
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A11/01
BBL
Oldenburg
#9
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H18/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#4
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H02/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A09/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H12/02
BBL
83.9Avg total
41.2Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.941.080.8-1.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.938.978.8+0.967%-
Last 30 away (15)39.943.082.9-3.140%-
Last 10 (10)41.242.783.9-1.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.645.687.2-4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.544.083.5-4.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.339.478.6-0.171%-
vs Weaker (4)43.237.080.2+6.275%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.3
50.6%
52.3%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.89.1
27.7%
33.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.115.9
71.9%
73.5%15.9
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.316.8
49.0%
52.3%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.911.4
36.9%
33.6%34.2
🏀 Free throws22.117.2
77.8%
73.5%17.2
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bonn
LLLLLLLWWL
Rostock
LWWWLWWWLL
#14
League position
#12
-3.5
Net rating
+0.1
100.5
Offensive rating
108.8
104.0
Defensive rating
108.6
46.2%
Effective FG%
52.0%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
19.4%
Turnover %
18.9%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
27.7%
3-point %
36.9%
62.9%
Assist %
44.3%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 108.8Defence104.0 · 108.6Shooting46.2% · 52.0%3-point %27.7% · 36.9%Ball care19.4% · 18.9%Off. rebounds33.9% · 30.6%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Bonn   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bonn wins
1
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
10/11/24Rostock v Bonn64-69
27/04/24Bonn v Rostock112-89
26/12/23Rostock v Bonn98-92
12/02/23Rostock v Bonn62-77
06/01/23Bonn v Rostock99-71
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/25ALudwigsburg61-81
02/02/25HChemnitz80-84
25/01/25AUlm75-84
19/01/25HFrankfurt70-77
15/01/25AReggiana70-73
10/01/25AHamburg84-91
08/01/25HReggiana91-94
05/01/25ABasketball Braunschweig94-74
29/12/24HGottingen80-67
26/12/24HWurzburg81-90
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/25HAlba Berlin71-78
09/02/25AWurzburg97-93
02/02/25HHeidelberg88-82
18/01/25HOldenburg122-118 OT
11/01/25AUlm72-82
04/01/25HVechta87-83
31/12/24AAlba Berlin96-85
26/12/24HHamburg92-78
21/12/24ABasketball Braunschweig63-80
15/12/24HBayern70-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL42%
HomeLLWLL38%
AwayWWLLL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19811
Win %42%38%45%
Points / game82.681.483.5
Allowed / game83.583.683.4
Point differential-0.9-2.2+0.1
Avg total166.1165.0166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%25%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rostock
BBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL53%
HomeWWWWL55%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19118
Win %53%55%50%
Points / game81.782.281.1
Allowed / game81.280.781.9
Point differential+0.5+1.5-0.8
Avg total162.9162.9163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%27%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %11%9%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern1813572%81.774.9+6.8
2 Ulm2014670%86.278.9+7.3
3 Basketball Braunschweig2114767%83.680.1+3.5
4 Vechta1911858%82.882.9-0.2
5 Chemnitz1911858%78.679.1-0.5
6 Heidelberg1810856%77.578.8-1.3
7 Wurzburg2011955%82.379.3+3.0
8 Rostock1910953%81.781.2+0.5
9 Ludwigsburg21111052%75.372.1+3.2
10 Syntainics MBC20101050%83.584.1-0.6
11 Alba Berlin1991047%85.282.6+2.6
12 Oldenburg1991047%89.489.4+0.0
13 Hamburg2091145%79.881.3-1.4
14 Bamberg1981142%82.883.6-0.8
15 Bonn1981142%82.683.5-0.9
16 Frankfurt1951426%75.883.1-7.3
17 Gottingen181176%80.295.9-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bonn2023182283
Rostock1716162372
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