PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Mornar Bar vs Split Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-93
21-18 22-23 14-23 19-29
Position#13
Record1-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.6
Allowed / game91.6
vs
Split 🏆
Position#8
Record1-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game80.4
EuropeABA LeagueRound 9· Topolica Sport Hall
Domestic2023
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Split
28 Apr 2025
MBA76
SPL86
26 Nov 2023
MBA76
SPL93
05 Dec 2022
MBA104
SPL88
21 Nov 2021
MBA81
SPL65
15 Mar 2021
MBA81
SPL71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Split winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#9
L
79-94
79
94
-15
63avg 65
A22/10
ABA League
Nymburk
#10
L
62-78
62
78
-16
54avg 65
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
86-83
86
83
+3
74avg 65
H30/10
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
71-78
71
78
-7
64avg 65
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cibona
#12
L
72-73
72
73
-1
68avg 65
A04/11
ABA League
Sabah Baku
#28
L
74-81
74
81
-7
63avg 65
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Mega Basket
#4
L
65-99
65
99
-34
47avg 65
H12/11
ABA League
Nymburk
#10
L
76-97
76
97
-21
64avg 65
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
75-95
75
95
-20
58avg 65
A20/11
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
68-103
68
103
-35
52avg 65
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
20-20
17-20
17-34
18-23
17-17
12-23
15-15
19-22
23-28
20-21
24-12
28-21
15-21
12-18
16-18
20-18
19-15
15-25
18-15
20-16
22-17
16-27
16-21
16-23
24-23
6-23
19-30
15-22
20-23
19-28
22-24
17-29
22-23
21-26
15-17
7-28
22-24
19-33
20-18
160.9Avg total
72.8Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)71.691.6163.2-20.012%
Season at home (3)70.789.7160.3-19.033%
Season away (5)72.292.8165.0-20.60%
Last 10 (10)72.888.1160.9-15.310%
Last 5 (5)71.695.0166.6-23.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)74.891.1166.0-16.312%
vs Similar (3)94.388.7183.0+5.7100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#9
W
99-67
99
67
+32
99avg 73
A22/10
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#11
L
66-84
66
84
-18
54avg 73
A27/10
ABA League
Cibona
#3
L
57-63
57
63
-6
50avg 73
H30/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
80-88
80
88
-8
72avg 73
A02/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#3
L
53-76
53
76
-23
49avg 73
H05/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
58-72
58
72
-14
45avg 73
A11/11
ABA League
Alkar
#11
W
80-65
80
65
+15
77avg 73
H13/11
Premijer liga
Zadar
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
72avg 73
H17/11
ABA League
Skrljevo
#12
W
99-80
99
80
+19
98avg 73
A19/11
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
87-72
87
72
+15
86avg 73
H24/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
24-17
30-17
25-8
21-25
10-19
23-19
12-21
17-20
13-15
14-11
13-17
23-28
19-16
21-15
17-29
13-22
16-22
11-20
13-12
16-18
19-19
10-22
13-13
26-18
26-14
21-12
7-21
14-16
28-19
14-25
19-22
26-22
19-23
20-21
34-14
20-20
25-14
17-20
25-18
150.3Avg total
75.4Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)69.680.4150.0-10.812%
Season at home (5)73.078.0151.0-5.020%
Season away (3)64.084.3148.3-20.30%
Last 10 (10)75.474.9150.3+0.540%
Last 5 (5)79.874.2154.0+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)68.083.0151.0-15.00%
vs Similar (8)75.883.8159.5-8.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)86.567.6154.1+18.994%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -8.7-8.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -8.7-8.7Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
Mornar BarSplit
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#9
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A22/10
ABA League
Nymburk
#10
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H30/10
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Cibona
#12
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A04/11
ABA League
Sabah Baku
#28
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Mega Basket
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H12/11
ABA League
Nymburk
#10
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A20/11
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
82.2Avg total
38.9Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.945.984.9-7.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.946.486.3-6.520%-
Last 30 away (15)38.045.583.5-7.533%-
Last 10 (10)38.943.382.2-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.045.682.6-8.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)38.444.983.2-6.532%-
vs Similar (3)47.050.397.3-3.30%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Split) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A22/10
Premijer liga
FMP Beograd
#11
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A27/10
ABA League
Cibona
#3
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H30/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A02/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#3
L
29-44
29
44
-15
H05/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A11/11
ABA League
Alkar
#11
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H13/11
Premijer liga
Zadar
#6
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H17/11
ABA League
Skrljevo
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A19/11
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H24/11
Premijer liga
78.7Avg total
39.5Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.177.9+1.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.134.976.0+6.276%-
Last 30 away (13)37.942.480.3-4.538%-
Last 10 (10)39.539.278.7+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)43.836.680.4+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.042.378.3-6.317%-
vs Similar (8)37.941.078.9-3.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)42.135.177.2+6.975%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.517.0
46.6%
54.3%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.4
30.1%
34.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.012.4
72.9%
73.8%12.4
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.017.7
50.6%
54.3%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.6
30.8%
34.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.313.4
77.5%
73.8%13.4
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLLLLLLWLL
Split
WWLWLLLLLW
#13
League position
#8
-20.9
Net rating
+0.9
95.4
Offensive rating
99.2
116.3
Defensive rating
98.2
46.0%
Effective FG%
48.6%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
16.3%
Turnover %
19.2%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
30.1%
3-point %
30.8%
57.9%
Assist %
71.5%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.4 · 99.2Defence116.3 · 98.2Shooting46.0% · 48.6%3-point %30.1% · 30.8%Ball care16.3% · 19.2%Off. rebounds24.9% · 27.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Split
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Mornar Bar wins
2
Split wins
DateGameScore
17/03/23Split v Mornar Bar91-80
05/12/22Mornar Bar v Split104-88
11/03/22Split v Mornar Bar76-67
21/11/21Mornar Bar v Split81-65
15/03/21Mornar Bar v Split81-71
21/11/20Split v Mornar Bar87-95
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23ABahcesehir Kol.68-103
20/11/23ACrvena zvezda75-95
15/11/23HNymburk76-97
12/11/23HMega Basket65-99
08/11/23ASabah Baku74-81
04/11/23ACibona72-73
01/11/23HBahcesehir Kol.71-78
30/10/23HKK Krka Novo mesto86-83
25/10/23ANymburk62-78
22/10/23AStudentski Centar79-94
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/23HZabok87-72
19/11/23ASkrljevo99-80
17/11/23HZadar75-82
13/11/23HAlkar80-65
11/11/23ABuducnost58-72
05/11/23HPartizan53-76
02/11/23AZadar80-88
30/10/23HCibona57-63
27/10/23AFMP Beograd66-84
22/10/23ADubrava99-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2023
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL12%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %12%33%0%
Points / game71.670.772.2
Allowed / game91.689.792.8
Point differential-20.0-19.0-20.6
Avg total163.2160.3165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Split
ABA League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL12%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %12%20%0%
Points / game69.673.064.0
Allowed / game80.478.084.3
Point differential-10.8-5.0-20.3
Avg total150.0151.0148.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda87188%88.675.8+12.9
2 Igokea97278%83.880.0+3.8
3 Cedevita Olimpija97278%85.184.3+0.8
4 Buducnost96367%83.475.8+7.7
5 Partizan85362%92.876.9+15.9
6 Mega Basket95456%84.878.1+6.7
7 Studentski Centar95456%87.284.8+2.4
8 Borac Mozzart84450%81.179.9+1.2
9 Zadar94544%83.381.6+1.8
10 FMP Beograd93633%82.087.1-5.1
11 Cibona93633%77.784.6-6.9
12 KK Krka Novo mesto82625%72.984.6-11.8
13 Split81712%69.680.4-10.8
14 Mornar Bar81712%71.691.6-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar2122141976
Split1823232993
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.