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Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 109-102
26-29 29-31 32-22 22-20
Position#5
Record48-24
FormWWWLW
Points / game114.2
Allowed / game107.0
vs
Position#12
Record41-32
FormWLWWW
Points / game118.4
Allowed / game116.6
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Atlanta Hawks
27 Nov 2026
BOS v ATL
upcoming
27 Mar 2026
BOS109
ATL102
28 Jan 2026
BOS106
ATL117
18 Jan 2025
BOS115
ATL119
12 Nov 2024
BOS116
ATL117
07 Feb 2024
BOS125
ATL117
26 Nov 2023
BOS113
ATL103
25 Apr 2023
BOS117
ATL119
18 Apr 2023
BOS119
ATL106
15 Apr 2023
BOS112
ATL99
09 Apr 2023
BOS120
ATL114
01 Mar 2022
BOS107
ATL98
13 Feb 2022
BOS105
ATL95
19 Feb 2021
BOS121
ATL109
17 Feb 2021
BOS114
ATL122
07 Feb 2020
BOS112
ATL107
03 Jan 2020
BOS109
ATL106
16 Mar 2019
BOS129
ATL120
14 Dec 2018
BOS129
ATL108
08 Apr 2018
BOS106
ATL112
02 Feb 2018
BOS119
ATL110
27 Feb 2017
BOS98
ATL114
28 Apr 2016
BOS92
ATL104
24 Apr 2016
BOS104
ATL95
22 Apr 2016
BOS111
ATL103
18 Dec 2015
BOS101
ATL109
13 Nov 2015
BOS106
ATL93
11 Feb 2015
BOS89
ATL88
14 Jan 2015
BOS91
ATL105
26 Feb 2014
BOS115
ATL104
31 Dec 2013
BOS91
ATL92
29 Mar 2013
BOS118
ATL107
08 Mar 2013
BOS107
ATL102
10 May 2012
BOS83
ATL80
06 May 2012
BOS101
ATL79
04 May 2012
BOS90
ATL84
11 Apr 2012
BOS88
ATL86
16 Dec 2010
BOS102
ATL90
11 Jan 2010
BOS96
ATL102
13 Nov 2009
BOS86
ATL97
03 Apr 2009
BOS104
ATL92
12 Nov 2008
BOS103
ATL102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
120-100
120
100
+20
117avg 105
H07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
109-98
109
98
+11
106avg 105
A08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
116-125
116
125
-9
106avg 105
A11/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
102-104
102
104
-2
91avg 105
A13/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
111-100
111
100
+11
109avg 105
H14/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
120-112
120
112
+8
120avg 105
H16/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
120-99
120
99
+21
113avg 105
H18/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
117-112
117
112
+5
111avg 105
A21/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
92-102
92
102
-10
76avg 105
H23/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
119-109
119
109
+10
115avg 105
H25/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
37-31
32-27
30-20
35-26
21-10
30-33
23-29
31-29
27-29
32-39
26-28
28-27
31-29
24-24
19-24
29-27
35-14
29-31
18-28
31-32
34-29
26-25
29-26
36-23
27-27
26-23
31-26
29-27
26-27
29-34
33-24
23-14
21-33
33-29
15-26
20-31
29-22
39-30
31-26
218.7Avg total
112.6Scored
106.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)114.2107.0221.2+7.267%
Season at home (36)114.3107.1221.4+7.269%
Season away (36)114.1106.9221.0+7.264%
Last 10 (10)112.6106.1218.7+6.570%
Last 5 (5)113.6106.8220.4+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)101.9109.0210.9-7.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)113.3100.9214.3+12.487%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
W
125-116
125
116
+9
125avg 112
H07/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
124-112
124
112
+12
118avg 112
H10/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
108-97
108
97
+11
97avg 112
H12/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
122-99
122
99
+23
116avg 112
H14/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
124-112
124
112
+12
123avg 112
H16/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
135-120
135
120
+15
131avg 112
A19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
95-117
95
117
-22
83avg 112
A21/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
126-110
126
110
+16
122avg 112
H22/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
146-107
146
107
+39
148avg 112
H23/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
130-129 OT
130
129
+1
121avg 112
A25/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-38
38-35
31-21
28-22
40-26
24-27
31-38
29-21
30-21
27-29
25-29
26-18
31-30
29-22
35-26
27-21
34-21
33-29
37-33
20-29
37-30
30-26
34-26
34-38
27-35
27-27
22-39
19-16
35-36
28-25
39-20
24-29
32-22
39-24
45-29
30-32
37-29
36-26
25-40
23-26
235.4Avg total
123.5Scored
111.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)118.4116.6235.0+1.856%
Season at home (37)118.0114.8232.8+3.157%
Season away (36)118.9118.3237.2+0.556%
Last 10 (10)123.5111.9235.4+11.690%
Last 5 (5)126.4116.6243.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)117.7122.3240.0-4.767%
vs Similar (13)114.2114.4228.5-0.254%
vs Weaker (14)124.1110.3234.4+13.886%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +4.3+4.3Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
Boston CelticsAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A11/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A13/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
64-41
64
41
+23
H14/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H16/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H18/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A21/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H23/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H25/03
NBA
108.0Avg total
57.1Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.550.1106.6+6.373%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.051.2108.2+5.865%-
Last 30 away (13)55.848.8104.5+7.085%-
Last 10 (10)57.150.9108.0+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)55.253.0108.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)51.354.3105.6-3.043%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)58.048.9106.9+9.283%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#15
L
66-73
66
73
-7
H07/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H10/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H12/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
60-52
60
52
+8
H14/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
67-50
67
50
+17
H16/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
67-56
67
56
+11
A19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A21/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H22/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
71-46
71
46
+25
H23/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
W
73-55
73
55
+18
A25/03
NBA
120.0Avg total
64.2Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.258.3119.5+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (19)60.356.7117.0+3.663%-
Last 30 away (11)62.861.0123.8+1.855%-
Last 10 (10)64.255.8120.0+8.480%-
Last 5 (5)65.656.0121.6+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)61.361.0122.3+0.367%-
vs Similar (13)59.558.8118.4+0.746%-
vs Weaker (14)62.857.1119.9+5.671%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 112.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.925.3
53.9%
54.8%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.014.4
34.3%
35.8%43.2
🏀 Free throws21.618.8
87.0%
78.1%18.8
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 123.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.631.0
58.9%
54.8%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.214.8
36.8%
35.8%44.4
🏀 Free throws21.817.1
78.4%
78.1%17.1
They take 92.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WLWWWWLLWW
Atlanta Hawks
WWWLWWWWWW
#5
League position
#12
+6.7
Net rating
+11.2
115.5
Offensive rating
119.3
108.8
Defensive rating
108.1
52.8%
Effective FG%
57.3%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
11.9%
Turnover %
13.8%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.3%
3-point %
36.8%
61.5%
Assist %
65.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 119.3Defence108.8 · 108.1Shooting52.8% · 57.3%3-point %34.3% · 36.8%Ball care11.9% · 13.8%Off. rebounds27.5% · 30.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Boston Celtics wins
5
Atlanta Hawks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/26HOklahoma City Thunder119-109
23/03/26HMinnesota Timberwolves92-102
21/03/26AMemphis Grizzlies117-112
18/03/26HGolden State Warriors120-99
16/03/26HPhoenix Suns120-112
14/03/26HWashington Wizards111-100
13/03/26AOklahoma City Thunder102-104
11/03/26ASan Antonio Spurs116-125
08/03/26ACleveland Cavaliers109-98
07/03/26HDallas Mavericks120-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/26ADetroit Pistons130-129 OT
23/03/26HMemphis Grizzlies146-107
22/03/26HGolden State Warriors126-110
21/03/26AHouston Rockets95-117
19/03/26ADallas Mavericks135-120
16/03/26HOrlando Magic124-112
14/03/26HMilwaukee Bucks122-99
12/03/26HBrooklyn Nets108-97
10/03/26HDallas Mavericks124-112
07/03/26HPhiladelphia 76ers125-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWWLW69%
AwayWWLLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723636
Win %67%69%64%
Points / game114.2114.3114.1
Allowed / game107.0107.1106.9
Point differential+7.2+7.2+7.2
Avg total221.2221.4221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%44%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (19)43% (7)50% (12)
Overtime %1%0%3%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW56%
HomeWWWWW57%
AwayWWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733736
Win %56%57%56%
Points / game118.4118.0118.9
Allowed / game116.6114.8118.3
Point differential+1.8+3.1+0.5
Avg total235.0232.8237.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%41%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (18)38% (8)60% (10)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder71561579%118.5107.8+10.6
2 San Antonio Spurs71531875%119.2111.4+7.8
3 Detroit Pistons73532073%117.6109.8+7.8
4 Boston Celtics72482467%114.2107.0+7.2
5 Los Angeles Lakers72472565%116.6114.9+1.7
6 New York Knicks72462664%116.8110.5+6.3
7 Denver Nuggets74462862%121.1116.7+4.4
8 Cleveland Cavaliers73452862%119.0115.0+4.0
9 Minnesota Timberwolves73452862%118.3114.4+3.8
10 Houston Rockets72432960%114.1110.2+3.8
11 Toronto Raptors71403156%114.1112.3+1.8
12 Atlanta Hawks73413256%118.4116.6+1.8
13 Phoenix Suns72403256%112.7110.8+1.9
14 Philadelphia 76ers73403355%116.2116.5-0.4
15 Miami Heat72393354%120.3117.3+3.1
16 Orlando Magic71383354%115.6114.7+1.0
17 Charlotte Hornets73393453%116.3111.6+4.7
18 Los Angeles Clippers74383651%113.8112.5+1.3
19 Portland Trail Blazers74373750%115.5116.7-1.2
20 Golden State Warriors73353848%115.0114.8+0.2
21 Chicago Bulls72294340%116.3120.8-4.5
22 Milwaukee Bucks72294340%110.6116.6-6.0
23 New Orleans Pelicans74254934%115.4119.3-3.9
24 Memphis Grizzlies72244833%115.1119.1-4.0
25 Dallas Mavericks73235032%114.0119.3-5.3
26 Utah Jazz73215229%117.3125.2-7.8
27 Sacramento Kings74195526%110.8121.2-10.3
28 Washington Wizards72175524%112.8123.9-11.1
29 Brooklyn Nets73175623%106.3115.7-9.4
30 Indiana Pacers74165822%111.9120.6-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics26293222109
Atlanta Hawks29312220102
← all games of the day
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