PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 11 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 00:30
Scheduled
Position#2
Record10-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game114.2
Allowed / game103.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#9
Record8-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game119.3
Allowed / game111.5
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Golden State Warriors
10 Feb 2027
BOS v GSW
upcoming
18 Mar 2026
BOS120
GSW99
06 Nov 2024
BOS112
GSW118
03 Mar 2024
BOS140
GSW88
19 Jan 2023
BOS121
GSW118
16 Jun 2022
BOS90
GSW103
10 Jun 2022
BOS97
GSW107
08 Jun 2022
BOS116
GSW100
17 Dec 2021
BOS107
GSW111
17 Apr 2021
BOS119
GSW114
30 Jan 2020
BOS119
GSW104
26 Jan 2019
BOS111
GSW115
16 Nov 2017
BOS92
GSW88
18 Nov 2016
BOS88
GSW104
11 Dec 2015
BOS119
GSW124
01 Mar 2015
BOS101
GSW106
05 Mar 2014
BOS88
GSW108
01 Mar 2013
BOS94
GSW86
04 Mar 2011
BOS107
GSW103
18 Nov 2009
BOS109
GSW95
26 Nov 2008
BOS119
GSW111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
134-99
134
99
+35
127avg 107
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
125-124 OT
125
124
+1
119avg 107
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
125-111
125
111
+14
118avg 107
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
108-97
108
97
+11
103avg 107
A01/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
93-109
93
109
-16
78avg 107
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
109-102
109
102
+7
102avg 107
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
119-80
119
80
+39
123avg 107
A07/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
117-97
117
97
+20
109avg 107
A09/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
123-101
123
101
+22
117avg 107
A11/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
W
98-93
98
93
+5
95avg 107
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-21
33-33
39-21
29-24
26-31
30-30
30-21
31-35
44-25
34-24
21-25
26-37
24-23
31-27
22-24
31-23
29-29
21-28
23-25
20-27
28-14
34-27
25-38
22-23
40-20
30-19
26-18
23-23
25-27
33-18
33-29
26-23
30-23
32-28
29-31
32-19
29-38
25-23
21-19
23-13
216.4Avg total
115.1Scored
101.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)114.2103.1217.3+11.283%
Season at home (5)120.0107.8227.8+12.2100%
Season away (7)110.199.7209.9+10.471%
Last 10 (10)115.1101.3216.4+13.890%
Last 5 (5)113.294.6207.8+18.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)109.7108.7218.3+1.050%
vs Weaker (24)115.6104.3219.9+11.279%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#19
L
122-131
122
131
-9
75avg 102
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
W
134-114
134
114
+20
102avg 102
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
W
119-114
119
114
+5
93avg 102
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
W
112-95
112
95
+17
102avg 102
H31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
124-112
124
112
+12
88avg 102
H02/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
W
116-113
116
113
+3
92avg 102
H03/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
120-100
120
100
+20
126avg 102
H06/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
126-119 OT
126
119
+7
128avg 102
H08/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
138-87
138
87
+51
144avg 102
H10/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
108-115
108
115
-7
no box
A12/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
29-35
38-45
30-29
28-32
32-24
40-28
34-30
30-23
34-25
29-33
26-33
15-38
38-15
32-27
27-15
29-37
34-20
29-28
32-27
19-31
32-26
42-36
23-20
26-29
27-24
38-23
29-24
31-19
26-22
20-37
33-32
35-20
37-23
40-22
26-22
20-35
31-21
28-29
29-30
231.9Avg total
121.9Scored
110.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)119.3111.5230.8+7.867%
Season at home (7)120.6105.3225.9+15.386%
Season away (5)117.6120.2237.8-2.640%
Last 10 (10)121.9110.0231.9+11.980%
Last 5 (5)121.6106.8228.4+14.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.8117.5222.3-12.70%
vs Similar ◀ (11)109.8115.6225.5-5.827%
vs Weaker (13)123.8114.2238.1+9.685%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +8.5+8.5Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.7+2.7
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: +8.5+8.5Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.7+2.7
Boston CelticsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H26/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H27/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
78-49
78
49
+29
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A01/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A03/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
62-41
62
41
+21
H05/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
W
70-39
70
39
+31
A07/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A09/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
62-51
62
51
+11
A11/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#17
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A12/11
NBA
111.9Avg total
61.1Scored
50.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.252.0111.1+7.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.953.3112.2+5.753%-
Last 30 away (15)59.450.7110.1+8.767%-
Last 10 (10)61.150.8111.9+10.370%-
Last 5 (5)61.247.4108.6+13.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)54.753.2107.8+1.533%-
vs Weaker (24)60.351.7112.0+8.667%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#19
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A25/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#13
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#6
W
64-48
64
48
+16
A29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H31/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#26
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H02/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#19
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H03/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H06/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
57-41
57
41
+16
H08/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
72-43
72
43
+29
H10/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A12/11
NBA
109.9Avg total
57.8Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.556.0111.5-0.533%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.554.8111.3+1.736%-
Last 30 away (16)54.657.1111.6-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)57.852.1109.9+5.750%-
Last 5 (5)56.850.0106.8+6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)51.556.0107.5-4.533%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)52.656.0108.6-3.49%-
vs Weaker (13)59.756.0115.7+3.754%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 110.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.123.6
53.5%
54.0%47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.215.0
34.7%
35.0%45.0
🏀 Free throws24.118.1
75.1%
76.8%18.1
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 119.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.425.1
56.5%
54.0%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.016.0
41.0%
35.0%48.0
🏀 Free throws26.121.6
82.8%
76.8%21.6
They take 83.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWWWLWWWW
Golden State Warriors
LWWWWWWWWL
#2
League position
#9
+4.2
Net rating
+6.3
109.8
Offensive rating
115.9
105.6
Defensive rating
109.6
52.8%
Effective FG%
58.9%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
13.4%
Turnover %
15.7%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
19.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.7%
3-point %
41.0%
65.3%
Assist %
70.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 115.9Defence105.6 · 109.6Shooting52.8% · 58.9%3-point %34.7% · 41.0%Ball care13.4% · 15.7%Off. rebounds24.9% · 19.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AToronto Raptors98-93
11/11/26APhiladelphia 76ers123-101
09/11/26AMilwaukee Bucks117-97
07/11/26ACharlotte Hornets119-80
05/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks109-102
03/11/26AHouston Rockets93-109
01/11/26AOrlando Magic108-97
30/10/26HChicago Bulls125-111
27/10/26HBrooklyn Nets125-124 OT
26/10/26HChicago Bulls134-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AHouston Rockets108-115
10/11/26HNew Orleans Pelicans138-87
08/11/26HOrlando Magic126-119 OT
06/11/26HMiami Heat120-100
03/11/26HPhoenix Suns116-113
02/11/26HLos Angeles Clippers124-112
31/10/26HLos Angeles Lakers112-95
29/10/26AMinnesota Timberwolves119-114
27/10/26ADenver Nuggets134-114
25/10/26APhoenix Suns122-131

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %83%100%71%
Points / game114.2120.0110.1
Allowed / game103.1107.899.7
Point differential+11.2+12.2+10.4
Avg total217.3227.8209.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%20%0%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%86%40%
Points / game119.3120.6117.6
Allowed / game111.5105.3120.2
Point differential+7.8+15.3-2.6
Avg total230.8225.9237.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%57%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
2 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
3 San Antonio Spurs1210283%119.2108.0+11.2
4 Houston Rockets129375%115.4106.5+8.9
5 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
6 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
7 Portland Trail Blazers118373%119.5112.3+7.3
8 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
9 Golden State Warriors128467%119.3111.5+7.8
10 Oklahoma City Thunder128467%111.1106.9+4.2
11 Memphis Grizzlies117464%117.9111.9+6.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 Denver Nuggets106460%114.5113.3+1.2
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 New York Knicks116555%110.3103.5+6.8
16 Cleveland Cavaliers126650%116.4114.3+2.1
17 Toronto Raptors115645%114.5111.9+2.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 Orlando Magic114736%108.5114.0-5.5
21 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
22 Indiana Pacers124833%111.6114.0-2.4
23 Washington Wizards124833%107.5113.4-5.9
24 New Orleans Pelicans124833%116.9124.2-7.3
25 Brooklyn Nets113827%110.2115.3-5.1
26 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
27 Chicago Bulls101910%113.3128.8-15.5
28 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
29 Utah Jazz121118%106.6118.1-11.5
30 Milwaukee Bucks121118%106.8121.3-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.