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Golden State Warriors vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 123-107
33-25 35-38 27-20 28-24
Position#11
Record13-13
FormLWWLL
Points / game117.4
Allowed / game116.4
vs
Position#3
Record21-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game120.8
Allowed / game112.0
USANBA· Chase Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Boston Celtics
22 Nov 2026
GSW v BOS
upcoming
19 Feb 2026
GSW110
BOS121
20 Jan 2025
GSW85
BOS125
19 Dec 2023
GSW132
BOS126
10 Dec 2022
GSW123
BOS107
13 Jun 2022
GSW104
BOS94
05 Jun 2022
GSW107
BOS88
02 Jun 2022
GSW108
BOS120
16 Mar 2022
GSW88
BOS110
02 Feb 2021
GSW107
BOS111
15 Nov 2019
GSW100
BOS105
05 Mar 2019
GSW95
BOS128
27 Jan 2018
GSW109
BOS105
08 Mar 2017
GSW86
BOS99
01 Apr 2016
GSW106
BOS109
25 Jan 2015
GSW114
BOS111
10 Jan 2014
GSW99
BOS97
29 Dec 2012
GSW101
BOS83
14 Mar 2012
GSW103
BOS105
22 Feb 2011
GSW93
BOS115
28 Dec 2009
GSW103
BOS99
26 Dec 2008
GSW99
BOS89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#28
W
127-120
127
120
+7
130avg 107
A21/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
83-128
83
128
-45
70avg 107
A22/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
124-107
124
107
+17
121avg 107
H24/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
129-118
129
118
+11
126avg 107
H26/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
137-114
137
114
+23
144avg 107
A27/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
113-116
113
116
-3
110avg 107
A30/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
119-111
119
111
+8
119avg 107
H03/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
120-101
120
101
+19
118avg 107
H04/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
104-112
104
112
-8
94avg 107
H06/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
123-124
123
124
-1
109avg 107
A08/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-28
21-37
36-29
30-26
16-35
25-30
24-32
18-31
32-29
34-18
32-35
26-25
37-23
22-28
38-35
32-32
47-27
29-29
33-33
28-25
24-36
30-19
33-37
26-24
35-33
28-19
33-30
23-29
39-23
29-29
26-28
26-21
21-34
29-25
31-30
23-23
35-30
34-36
22-34
32-24
233.0Avg total
117.9Scored
115.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)117.4116.4233.8+1.050%
Season at home (13)120.0110.1230.1+9.985%
Season away (13)114.8122.8237.5-8.015%
Last 10 (10)117.9115.1233.0+2.860%
Last 5 (5)115.8112.8228.6+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)71.793.3165.0-21.70%
vs Similar (20)115.8115.5231.3+0.255%
vs Weaker (7)119.9115.1235.0+4.743%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
107-121
107
121
-14
98avg 109
A22/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
125-112
125
112
+13
122avg 109
H24/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
122-104
122
104
+18
117avg 109
H26/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
130-121
130
121
+9
128avg 109
H27/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
140-105
140
105
+35
144avg 109
H29/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
134-121
134
121
+13
136avg 109
H01/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
116-120 OT
116
120
-4
110avg 109
H03/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
103-92
103
92
+11
96avg 109
A04/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
116-110
116
110
+6
112avg 109
A06/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
125-98
125
98
+27
120avg 109
A08/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-28
27-35
29-32
28-26
34-23
36-26
31-36
24-27
36-22
28-40
30-22
28-20
35-26
37-29
41-33
17-33
45-19
33-36
43-27
19-23
38-35
30-25
34-36
32-25
27-27
35-32
25-22
23-29
35-27
27-23
13-19
28-23
27-25
29-37
35-18
25-30
31-21
38-21
35-23
21-33
232.2Avg total
121.8Scored
110.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)120.8112.0232.8+8.881%
Season at home (13)125.8114.7240.5+11.285%
Season away (13)115.8109.3225.1+6.577%
Last 10 (10)121.8110.4232.2+11.480%
Last 5 (5)118.8108.2227.0+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)114.0110.6224.6+3.455%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)120.2111.0231.2+9.284%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +7.8+7.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.4-2.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: +7.8+7.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -2.4-2.4
Golden State WarriorsBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#28
L
61-65
61
65
-4
A21/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
41-65
41
65
-24
A22/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
66-47
66
47
+19
H24/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H26/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
76-56
76
56
+20
A27/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A30/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
63-52
63
52
+11
H03/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
68-52
68
52
+16
H04/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H06/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A08/12
NBA
117.5Avg total
60.7Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.657.2114.8+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.554.3111.8+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)57.760.1117.9-2.427%-
Last 10 (10)60.756.8117.5+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)60.856.8117.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.746.081.7-10.30%-
vs Similar (20)60.659.0119.6+1.650%-
vs Weaker (7)58.657.0115.6+1.643%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
50-63
50
63
-13
A22/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
70-49
70
49
+21
H24/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H26/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H27/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
78-55
78
55
+23
H29/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H01/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H03/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A04/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A06/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
69-42
69
42
+27
A08/12
NBA
120.8Avg total
65.1Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.856.4118.2+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (16)64.156.4120.5+7.681%-
Last 30 away (14)59.256.4115.6+2.957%-
Last 10 (10)65.155.7120.8+9.480%-
Last 5 (5)63.454.6118.0+8.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)59.656.7116.4+2.973%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)63.156.2119.3+6.868%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 117.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers52.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.326.0
60.0%
54.5%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.417.6
37.9%
35.8%52.8
🏀 Free throws17.313.1
75.7%
78.1%13.1
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 46.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 121.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers51.9 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.326.4
58.3%
54.5%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.617.3
41.6%
35.8%51.9
🏀 Free throws20.317.1
84.2%
78.1%17.1
They take 86.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
LLWWLWWWLW
Boston Celtics
WWWLWWWWWL
#11
League position
#3
+2.7
Net rating
+11.2
113.0
Offensive rating
120.1
110.3
Defensive rating
108.9
58.4%
Effective FG%
60.2%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
16.0%
Turnover %
13.6%
22.8%
Off. rebound %
20.8%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.23
37.9%
3-point %
41.6%
70.0%
Assist %
64.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 120.1Defence110.3 · 108.9Shooting58.4% · 60.2%3-point %37.9% · 41.6%Ball care16.0% · 13.6%Off. rebounds22.8% · 20.8%Free throws0.19 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 80%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/22AUtah Jazz123-124
06/12/22HIndiana Pacers104-112
04/12/22HHouston Rockets120-101
03/12/22HChicago Bulls119-111
30/11/22ADallas Mavericks113-116
27/11/22AMinnesota Timberwolves137-114
26/11/22HUtah Jazz129-118
24/11/22HLos Angeles Clippers124-107
22/11/22ANew Orleans Pelicans83-128
21/11/22AHouston Rockets127-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/22APhoenix Suns125-98
06/12/22AToronto Raptors116-110
04/12/22ABrooklyn Nets103-92
03/12/22HMiami Heat116-120 OT
01/12/22HMiami Heat134-121
29/11/22HCharlotte Hornets140-105
27/11/22HWashington Wizards130-121
26/11/22HSacramento Kings122-104
24/11/22HDallas Mavericks125-112
22/11/22AChicago Bulls107-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWWWWL85%
AwayWLWLL15%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %50%85%15%
Points / game117.4120.0114.8
Allowed / game116.4110.1122.8
Point differential+1.0+9.9-8.0
Avg total233.8230.1237.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%54%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)75% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW81%
HomeWWWWL85%
AwayWLWWW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %81%85%77%
Points / game120.8125.8115.8
Allowed / game112.0114.7109.3
Point differential+8.8+11.2+6.5
Avg total232.8240.5225.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%54%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %12%15%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2621581%120.8112.0+8.8
2 Milwaukee Bucks2519676%112.8107.9+5.0
3 New Orleans Pelicans2517868%117.2110.1+7.1
4 Memphis Grizzlies2617965%115.0112.0+3.0
5 Cleveland Cavaliers27171063%110.9104.8+6.0
6 Phoenix Suns26161062%115.8110.6+5.2
7 Denver Nuggets25151060%115.0114.0+1.0
8 Sacramento Kings24141058%118.8115.1+3.7
9 Brooklyn Nets28161257%112.5111.3+1.2
10 Utah Jazz28151354%117.5115.9+1.6
11 Los Angeles Clippers28151354%107.7109.2-1.5
12 Philadelphia 76ers25131252%109.9108.2+1.7
13 Minnesota Timberwolves25131252%115.3115.8-0.4
14 Portland Trail Blazers25131252%110.7111.4-0.7
15 Indiana Pacers27141352%115.9116.7-0.8
16 Dallas Mavericks26131350%111.5110.0+1.6
17 Toronto Raptors26131350%111.3110.0+1.3
18 Golden State Warriors26131350%117.4116.4+1.0
19 New York Knicks26131350%113.9113.5+0.4
20 Atlanta Hawks26131350%113.2113.8-0.7
21 Miami Heat27121544%108.6110.3-1.7
22 Chicago Bulls25111444%113.0112.9+0.1
23 Oklahoma City Thunder26111542%115.8117.6-1.7
24 Washington Wizards27111641%110.8113.0-2.1
25 Los Angeles Lakers25101540%114.5116.3-1.8
26 San Antonio Spurs2681831%110.0120.4-10.4
27 Houston Rockets2571828%110.8117.2-6.4
28 Charlotte Hornets2671927%109.3115.6-6.3
29 Orlando Magic2772026%108.1113.9-5.8
30 Detroit Pistons2872125%109.6116.8-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors33352728123
Boston Celtics25382024107
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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