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Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 120-99
36-23 27-27 26-23 31-26
Position#5
Record48-24
FormWLLWW
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game107.0
Boston Celtics 🏆
USA
vs
Golden State Warriors
USA
Position#20
Record36-37
FormLLLLW
Points / game115.3
Allowed / game114.4
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Golden State Warriors
10 Feb 2027
BOS v GSW
upcoming
18 Mar 2026
BOS120
GSW99
06 Nov 2024
BOS112
GSW118
03 Mar 2024
BOS140
GSW88
19 Jan 2023
BOS121
GSW118
16 Jun 2022
BOS90
GSW103
10 Jun 2022
BOS97
GSW107
08 Jun 2022
BOS116
GSW100
17 Dec 2021
BOS107
GSW111
17 Apr 2021
BOS119
GSW114
30 Jan 2020
BOS119
GSW104
26 Jan 2019
BOS111
GSW115
16 Nov 2017
BOS92
GSW88
13 Jul 2017
BOS93
GSW69
18 Nov 2016
BOS88
GSW104
11 Dec 2015
BOS119
GSW124
01 Mar 2015
BOS101
GSW106
05 Mar 2014
BOS88
GSW108
01 Mar 2013
BOS94
GSW86
04 Mar 2011
BOS107
GSW103
18 Nov 2009
BOS109
GSW95
26 Nov 2008
BOS119
GSW111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
148-111
148
111
+37
158avg 106
H28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
114-98
114
98
+16
114avg 106
H02/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
108-81
108
81
+27
105avg 106
A03/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
89-118
89
118
-29
80avg 106
H05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#23
W
120-100
120
100
+20
117avg 106
H07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
109-98
109
98
+11
106avg 106
A08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
116-125
116
125
-9
106avg 106
A11/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
102-104
102
104
-2
91avg 106
A13/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
111-100
111
100
+11
109avg 106
H14/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
120-112
120
112
+8
120avg 106
H16/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-32
31-25
43-26
39-28
26-28
36-22
27-33
25-15
30-20
27-23
26-22
25-16
23-35
20-29
25-27
21-27
21-22
37-31
32-27
30-20
35-26
21-10
30-33
23-29
31-29
27-29
32-39
26-28
28-27
31-29
24-24
19-24
29-27
35-14
29-31
18-28
31-32
34-29
26-25
29-26
218.4Avg total
113.7Scored
104.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)114.6107.0221.6+7.567%
Season at home (35)115.2107.5222.6+7.771%
Season away (37)114.0106.6220.6+7.462%
Last 10 (10)113.7104.7218.4+9.070%
Last 5 (5)111.6107.8219.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)99.6108.3207.9-8.714%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)114.1101.1215.3+13.087%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
133-112
133
112
+21
137avg 106
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
101-129
101
129
-28
95avg 106
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
101-114
101
114
-13
86avg 106
H03/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
W
115-113 OT
115
113
+2
109avg 106
A06/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
97-104
97
104
-7
90avg 106
A08/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
116-119
116
119
-3
107avg 106
A10/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
124-130 OT
124
130
-6
113avg 106
H11/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
117-127
117
127
-10
99avg 106
H14/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
L
107-110
107
110
-3
101avg 106
A16/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
125-117
125
117
+8
121avg 106
A16/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-31
40-22
22-23
37-36
20-33
27-32
25-34
29-30
31-19
25-23
23-35
22-37
30-20
21-27
30-35
20-19
28-34
26-33
29-19
14-18
27-29
28-30
29-32
32-28
30-26
21-31
32-32
35-29
28-31
20-38
39-31
30-27
35-21
19-24
26-38
27-27
34-23
30-34
34-29
27-31
231.1Avg total
113.6Scored
117.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)115.3114.4229.6+0.949%
Season at home (37)117.6115.2232.9+2.457%
Season away (36)112.8113.5226.3-0.742%
Last 10 (10)113.6117.5231.1-3.930%
Last 5 (5)117.8120.6238.4-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)117.3116.8234.1+0.644%
vs Similar (13)108.3113.0221.3-4.731%
vs Weaker (8)125.5117.6243.1+7.962%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
Boston CelticsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
66-57
66
57
+9
H28/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H02/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A03/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#15
L
43-64
43
64
-21
H05/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#23
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A08/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A11/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A13/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
64-41
64
41
+23
H14/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#14
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H16/03
NBA
110.7Avg total
58.8Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.550.9108.4+6.673%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.151.4109.5+6.671%-
Last 30 away (16)57.150.4107.5+6.675%-
Last 10 (10)58.851.9110.7+6.980%-
Last 5 (5)60.450.4110.8+10.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (7)51.655.1106.7-3.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)59.349.6109.0+9.783%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
74-53
74
53
+21
A26/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
47-65
47
65
-18
H01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H03/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A06/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A08/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A10/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
51-57
51
57
-6
H11/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
48-69
48
69
-21
H14/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#4
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A16/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A16/03
NBA
111.5Avg total
55.4Scored
56.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.757.6114.3-0.953%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.261.6120.8-2.547%-
Last 30 away (13)53.552.2105.7+1.262%-
Last 10 (10)55.456.1111.5-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)54.457.4111.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)60.961.8122.7-0.967%-
vs Similar (13)51.654.7106.3-3.146%-
vs Weaker (8)60.257.5117.8+2.850%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 113.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.124.4
55.3%
54.8%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.416.0
36.9%
35.8%48.0
🏀 Free throws19.716.9
85.8%
78.1%16.9
They take 87.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 113.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.726.9
55.2%
54.8%53.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.515.0
33.7%
35.8%45.0
🏀 Free throws18.514.8
80.0%
78.1%14.8
They take 93.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWLLWWLWWW
Golden State Warriors
WLLLLLWLLW
#5
League position
#20
+9.4
Net rating
-3.9
119.0
Offensive rating
113.4
109.6
Defensive rating
117.3
55.3%
Effective FG%
53.0%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.3%
11.9%
Turnover %
12.8%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.20
36.9%
3-point %
33.7%
68.1%
Assist %
70.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence119.0 · 113.4Defence109.6 · 117.3Shooting55.3% · 53.0%3-point %36.9% · 33.7%Ball care11.9% · 12.8%Off. rebounds30.2% · 31.4%Free throws0.23 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Boston Celtics wins
5
Golden State Warriors wins
DateGameScore
20/02/26Golden State Warriors v Boston Celtics110-121
20/01/25Golden State Warriors v Boston Celtics85-125
07/11/24Boston Celtics v Golden State Warriors112-118
03/03/24Boston Celtics v Golden State Warriors140-88
20/12/23Golden State Warriors v Boston Celtics132-126 OT
20/01/23Boston Celtics v Golden State Warriors121-118 OT
11/12/22Golden State Warriors v Boston Celtics123-107
13/07/22Golden State Warriors v Boston Celtics92-103
17/06/22Boston Celtics v Golden State Warriors90-103
14/06/22Golden State Warriors v Boston Celtics104-94
Boston Celticslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/26HPhoenix Suns120-112
14/03/26HWashington Wizards111-100
13/03/26AOklahoma City Thunder102-104
11/03/26ASan Antonio Spurs116-125
08/03/26ACleveland Cavaliers109-98
07/03/26HDallas Mavericks120-100
05/03/26HCharlotte Hornets89-118
03/03/26AMilwaukee Bucks108-81
02/03/26HPhiladelphia 76ers114-98
28/02/26HBrooklyn Nets148-111
Golden State Warriorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/26AWashington Wizards125-117
16/03/26ANew York Knicks107-110
14/03/26HMinnesota Timberwolves117-127
11/03/26HChicago Bulls124-130 OT
10/03/26AUtah Jazz116-119
08/03/26AOklahoma City Thunder97-104
06/03/26AHouston Rockets115-113 OT
03/03/26HLos Angeles Clippers101-114
01/03/26HLos Angeles Lakers101-129
26/02/26AMemphis Grizzlies133-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW67%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayLWWLL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723537
Win %67%71%62%
Points / game114.6115.2114.0
Allowed / game107.0107.5106.6
Point differential+7.5+7.7+7.4
Avg total221.6222.6220.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%43%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (20)50% (8)42% (12)
Overtime %1%0%3%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW49%
HomeWLLLL57%
AwayWLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733736
Win %49%57%42%
Points / game115.3117.6112.8
Allowed / game114.4115.2113.5
Point differential+0.9+2.4-0.7
Avg total229.6232.9226.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%35%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won37% (19)40% (5)36% (14)
Overtime %5%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder73571678%117.6108.0+9.5
2 San Antonio Spurs71531875%119.3111.7+7.6
3 Detroit Pistons72512171%117.2109.9+7.3
4 Boston Celtics72482467%114.6107.0+7.5
5 New York Knicks73472664%116.1110.0+6.1
6 Houston Rockets71452663%114.8110.4+4.4
7 Denver Nuggets74452961%119.9115.8+4.2
8 Los Angeles Lakers73442960%115.2114.6+0.6
9 Cleveland Cavaliers73433059%118.8115.1+3.7
10 Orlando Magic70412959%116.1113.9+2.2
11 Phoenix Suns72423058%112.8110.7+2.2
12 Toronto Raptors72423058%113.8111.9+2.0
13 Minnesota Timberwolves74433158%118.3115.4+2.9
14 Atlanta Hawks72393354%117.8116.9+0.9
15 Philadelphia 76ers73383552%114.6115.9-1.3
16 Miami Heat74383651%119.6117.1+2.5
17 Los Angeles Clippers71363551%113.0112.1+0.9
18 Charlotte Hornets74373750%116.1112.8+3.4
19 Golden State Warriors73363749%115.3114.4+0.9
20 Portland Trail Blazers73343947%115.4117.7-2.3
21 Milwaukee Bucks72314143%111.4115.9-4.4
22 Chicago Bulls73314242%116.3120.0-3.7
23 Dallas Mavericks73264736%113.2117.3-4.1
24 Memphis Grizzlies72244833%115.7119.3-3.6
25 New Orleans Pelicans71234832%115.9120.0-4.1
26 Utah Jazz72215129%117.6125.1-7.6
27 Sacramento Kings74195526%110.9120.7-9.8
28 Brooklyn Nets71185325%107.0115.8-8.7
29 Washington Wizards71175424%112.7123.3-10.6
30 Indiana Pacers73175623%111.4120.3-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics36272631120
Golden State Warriors2327232699
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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