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Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 140-88
44-22 38-16 33-24 25-26
Position#1
Record47-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game121.1
Allowed / game110.0
Boston Celtics 🏆
USA
vs
Golden State Warriors
USA
Position#15
Record32-27
FormWLWWW
Points / game119.1
Allowed / game116.8
USANBA· TD Garden (Boston)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Golden State Warriors
10 Feb 2027
BOS v GSW
upcoming
18 Mar 2026
BOS120
GSW99
06 Nov 2024
BOS112
GSW118
03 Mar 2024
BOS140
GSW88
19 Jan 2023
BOS121
GSW118
16 Jun 2022
BOS90
GSW103
10 Jun 2022
BOS97
GSW107
08 Jun 2022
BOS116
GSW100
17 Dec 2021
BOS107
GSW111
17 Apr 2021
BOS119
GSW114
30 Jan 2020
BOS119
GSW104
26 Jan 2019
BOS111
GSW115
16 Nov 2017
BOS92
GSW88
18 Nov 2016
BOS88
GSW104
11 Dec 2015
BOS119
GSW124
01 Mar 2015
BOS101
GSW106
05 Mar 2014
BOS88
GSW108
01 Mar 2013
BOS94
GSW86
04 Mar 2011
BOS107
GSW103
18 Nov 2009
BOS109
GSW95
26 Nov 2008
BOS119
GSW111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
131-91
131
91
+40
130avg 113
H04/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
125-117
125
117
+8
125avg 113
H08/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
133-129
133
129
+4
129avg 113
H10/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
110-106
110
106
+4
108avg 113
A11/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
118-110
118
110
+8
116avg 113
A14/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
136-86
136
86
+50
140avg 113
H15/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
129-112
129
112
+17
124avg 113
A23/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
116-102
116
102
+14
113avg 113
A25/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
117-99
117
99
+18
122avg 113
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
138-110
138
110
+28
140avg 113
H02/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
41-30
29-26
32-15
35-37
36-30
24-23
30-27
31-35
33-36
36-16
33-42
26-22
33-28
27-29
24-27
36-30
36-27
26-25
20-28
30-15
38-17
33-23
35-31
31-23
28-39
37-21
33-29
30-26
32-32
35-26
19-18
30-30
23-21
33-24
31-24
38-32
28-27
36-31
36-20
231.5Avg total
125.3Scored
106.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (58)121.1110.0231.2+11.181%
Season at home (31)122.9108.6231.5+14.390%
Season away (27)119.1111.7230.8+7.470%
Last 10 (10)125.3106.2231.5+19.1100%
Last 5 (5)127.2101.8229.0+25.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)123.0127.0250.0-4.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)121.8110.0231.8+11.883%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
113-112
113
112
+1
107avg 114
H11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
129-107
129
107
+22
124avg 114
A13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
125-130
125
130
-5
117avg 114
H15/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
140-137
140
137
+3
143avg 114
A16/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
128-110
128
110
+18
119avg 114
H23/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
97-84
97
84
+13
95avg 114
H24/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
103-119
103
119
-16
97avg 114
H26/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
123-112
123
112
+11
124avg 114
A28/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
110-99
110
99
+11
100avg 114
A01/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
120-105
120
105
+15
114avg 114
A02/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-28
26-30
25-24
29-30
34-26
29-29
30-25
36-27
30-23
29-29
38-34
28-44
36-39
48-32
36-31
20-35
31-28
36-28
31-26
30-28
22-15
21-14
30-23
24-32
36-30
25-31
26-30
16-28
23-25
37-33
38-17
25-37
31-19
24-27
25-24
30-29
28-31
33-33
32-19
27-22
230.3Avg total
118.8Scored
111.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (59)119.1116.8235.9+2.354%
Season at home (31)117.5117.7235.3-0.252%
Season away (28)120.9115.8236.7+5.057%
Last 10 (10)118.8111.5230.3+7.380%
Last 5 (5)110.6103.8214.4+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (18)121.2121.2242.4+0.144%
vs Weaker (12)120.4112.9233.3+7.575%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -4.7-4.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +7.2+7.2Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -4.7-4.7
Boston CelticsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
70-50
70
50
+20
H04/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H08/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
64-71
64
71
-7
H10/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A11/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
72-57
72
57
+15
A14/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
68-32
68
32
+36
H15/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A23/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A25/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H02/03
NBA
120.1Avg total
64.4Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.156.5118.6+5.677%-
Last 30 at home (17)61.655.4117.0+6.371%-
Last 30 away (13)62.758.0120.7+4.785%-
Last 10 (10)64.455.7120.1+8.780%-
Last 5 (5)61.652.4114.0+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)61.058.0119.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)62.156.4118.6+5.776%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
63-55
63
55
+8
A13/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H15/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
84-71
84
71
+13
A16/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H23/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H24/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H26/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A28/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A01/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A02/03
NBA
116.2Avg total
61.2Scored
55.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.758.4117.0+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.959.9117.8-1.944%-
Last 30 away (14)59.556.6116.1+2.971%-
Last 10 (10)61.255.0116.2+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)56.051.6107.6+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (18)58.959.4118.4-0.550%-
vs Weaker (12)58.256.8115.0+1.567%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 125.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.929.9
63.8%
54.4%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.216.4
40.8%
36.3%49.2
🏀 Free throws19.216.3
84.9%
78.2%16.3
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 118.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers50.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.727.9
52.0%
54.4%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.616.8
39.4%
36.3%50.4
🏀 Free throws17.212.6
73.3%
78.2%12.6
They take 96.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWWWWWWWW
Golden State Warriors
WWWLWWWLWW
#1
League position
#15
+19.4
Net rating
+7.0
127.4
Offensive rating
114.4
107.9
Defensive rating
107.4
62.6%
Effective FG%
55.1%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
11.3%
Turnover %
13.2%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.18
40.8%
3-point %
39.4%
61.8%
Assist %
71.1%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence127.4 · 114.4Defence107.9 · 107.4Shooting62.6% · 55.1%3-point %40.8% · 39.4%Ball care11.3% · 13.2%Off. rebounds23.2% · 28.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)100% · 80%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Boston Celtics wins
6
Golden State Warriors wins
DateGameScore
20/12/23Golden State Warriors v Boston Celtics132-126 OT
20/01/23Boston Celtics v Golden State Warriors121-118 OT
11/12/22Golden State Warriors v Boston Celtics123-107
17/06/22Boston Celtics v Golden State Warriors90-103
14/06/22Golden State Warriors v Boston Celtics104-94
11/06/22Boston Celtics v Golden State Warriors97-107
09/06/22Boston Celtics v Golden State Warriors116-100
06/06/22Golden State Warriors v Boston Celtics107-88
03/06/22Golden State Warriors v Boston Celtics108-120
17/03/22Golden State Warriors v Boston Celtics88-110
Boston Celticslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24HDallas Mavericks138-110
28/02/24HPhiladelphia 76ers117-99
25/02/24ANew York Knicks116-102
23/02/24AChicago Bulls129-112
15/02/24HBrooklyn Nets136-86
14/02/24ABrooklyn Nets118-110
11/02/24AMiami Heat110-106
10/02/24HWashington Wizards133-129
08/02/24HAtlanta Hawks125-117
04/02/24HMemphis Grizzlies131-91
Golden State Warriorslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/24AToronto Raptors120-105
01/03/24ANew York Knicks110-99
28/02/24AWashington Wizards123-112
26/02/24HDenver Nuggets103-119
24/02/24HCharlotte Hornets97-84
23/02/24HLos Angeles Lakers128-110
16/02/24AUtah Jazz140-137
15/02/24HLos Angeles Clippers125-130
13/02/24AUtah Jazz129-107
11/02/24HPhoenix Suns113-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games583127
Win %81%90%70%
Points / game121.1122.9119.1
Allowed / game110.0108.6111.7
Point differential+11.1+14.3+7.4
Avg total231.2231.5230.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%52%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)80% (5)44% (9)
Overtime %9%6%11%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW54%
HomeWLWWL52%
AwayWWWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games593128
Win %54%52%57%
Points / game119.1117.5120.9
Allowed / game116.8117.7115.8
Point differential+2.3-0.2+5.0
Avg total235.9235.3236.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%19%39%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (20)50% (12)38% (8)
Overtime %8%10%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics58471181%121.1110.0+11.1
2 Minnesota Timberwolves60421870%113.7106.6+7.0
3 Oklahoma City Thunder59411869%121.2113.3+7.9
4 Denver Nuggets61421969%114.5110.3+4.3
5 Cleveland Cavaliers59392066%114.6109.6+5.1
6 Milwaukee Bucks59392066%121.1116.8+4.3
7 Los Angeles Clippers58382066%117.8112.9+4.9
8 New Orleans Pelicans59352459%116.5111.3+5.3
9 New York Knicks59352459%113.4109.3+4.1
10 Phoenix Suns59352459%117.5114.5+2.9
11 Sacramento Kings58342459%118.2117.7+0.5
12 Philadelphia 76ers60352558%117.1113.8+3.4
13 Orlando Magic60342657%111.5110.2+1.3
14 Miami Heat60342657%110.6109.9+0.7
15 Dallas Mavericks61342756%118.7118.0+0.7
16 Golden State Warriors59322754%119.1116.8+2.3
17 Indiana Pacers59322754%123.5122.3+1.2
18 Los Angeles Lakers60312952%117.0118.4-1.3
19 Chicago Bulls60283247%111.7113.1-1.5
20 Utah Jazz61273444%117.5120.5-3.0
21 Houston Rockets60263443%112.8113.0-0.2
22 Atlanta Hawks60263443%120.4122.7-2.3
23 Brooklyn Nets60243640%112.2114.3-2.1
24 Toronto Raptors60223837%114.5117.8-3.4
25 Memphis Grizzlies61204133%106.1112.8-6.7
26 Portland Trail Blazers59174229%107.5115.6-8.1
27 Charlotte Hornets60154525%107.6118.1-10.5
28 San Antonio Spurs60124820%112.3120.6-8.3
29 Detroit Pistons5995015%112.5121.1-8.7
30 Washington Wizards6095115%114.6124.6-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics44383325140
Golden State Warriors2216242688
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