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Boston Celtics vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 111-115
26-29 33-32 25-29 27-25
Position#11
Record31-21
FormWWWWW
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game105.9
vs
Position#3
Record35-18
FormWWWWW
Points / game118.2
Allowed / game112.2
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Golden State Warriors
10 Feb 2027
BOS v GSW
upcoming
18 Mar 2026
BOS120
GSW99
06 Nov 2024
BOS112
GSW118
03 Mar 2024
BOS140
GSW88
19 Jan 2023
BOS121
GSW118
16 Jun 2022
BOS90
GSW103
10 Jun 2022
BOS97
GSW107
08 Jun 2022
BOS116
GSW100
17 Dec 2021
BOS107
GSW111
17 Apr 2021
BOS119
GSW114
30 Jan 2020
BOS119
GSW104
26 Jan 2019
BOS111
GSW115
16 Nov 2017
BOS92
GSW88
13 Jul 2017
BOS93
GSW69
18 Nov 2016
BOS88
GSW104
11 Dec 2015
BOS119
GSW124
01 Mar 2015
BOS101
GSW106
05 Mar 2014
BOS88
GSW108
01 Mar 2013
BOS94
GSW86
04 Mar 2011
BOS107
GSW103
18 Nov 2009
BOS109
GSW95
26 Nov 2008
BOS119
GSW111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#14
W
116-95
116
95
+21
H08/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
135-108
135
108
+27
H10/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
99-115
99
115
-16
A11/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
L
103-105
103
105
-2
A13/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
L
102-109
102
109
-7
A15/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
117-108
117
108
+9
H17/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
W
122-116
122
116
+6
H19/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
113-105
113
105
+8
A20/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
107-99
107
99
+8
H21/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
123-103
123
103
+20
H24/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-22
22-23
30-29
30-21
29-23
39-30
37-27
30-28
24-28
19-33
29-22
27-32
19-19
32-22
26-31
26-33
25-27
20-19
21-44
36-19
30-36
34-17
23-30
30-25
35-24
23-38
38-29
26-25
28-36
32-31
23-22
30-16
33-23
17-27
37-18
20-31
27-30
38-20
27-30
31-23
220.0Avg total
113.7Scored
106.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (52)111.4105.9217.3+5.660%
Season at home (26)113.7103.8217.5+9.877%
Season away (26)109.2107.9217.0+1.342%
Last 10 (10)113.7106.3220.0+7.470%
Last 5 (5)116.4106.2222.6+10.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)107.0120.0227.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)113.2112.0225.2+1.250%
vs Weaker (21)117.3104.0221.3+13.481%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#5
L
134-135 OT
134
135
-1
H04/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
127-123
127
123
+4
A06/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
122-95
122
95
+27
H09/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
146-109
146
109
+37
H12/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
119-114
119
114
+5
A14/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
142-111
142
111
+31
A16/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
147-140
147
140
+7
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
W
112-94
112
94
+18
A19/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
130-111
130
111
+19
A22/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
W
126-118
126
118
+8
A25/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-22
36-31
28-39
21-27
43-29
27-40
26-34
31-20
31-25
30-24
33-19
28-27
43-17
33-38
40-21
30-33
25-29
37-25
30-34
27-26
51-38
28-22
33-23
30-28
31-39
35-32
44-38
37-31
28-25
24-26
29-21
31-22
29-24
36-31
45-25
20-31
37-28
30-31
37-33
22-26
245.5Avg total
130.5Scored
115.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)118.2112.2230.4+6.066%
Season at home (28)117.9112.4230.3+5.668%
Season away (25)118.5112.0230.5+6.664%
Last 10 (10)130.5115.0245.5+15.590%
Last 5 (5)131.4114.8246.2+16.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)114.9112.8227.7+2.140%
vs Weaker (20)123.0113.1236.1+9.990%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +7.6+7.6Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +5.8+5.8Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
Boston CelticsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#14
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H08/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H10/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A11/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#16
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A13/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#14
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A15/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#2
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H17/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#23
L
58-62
58
62
-4
H19/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A20/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H21/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
65-50
65
50
+15
H24/01
NBA
108.8Avg total
56.0Scored
52.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.452.8110.2+4.663%-
Last 30 at home (16)60.752.9113.6+7.881%-
Last 30 away (14)53.652.6106.2+0.943%-
Last 10 (10)56.052.8108.8+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)59.456.4115.8+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.065.0113.0-17.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)55.051.5106.5+3.562%-
vs Weaker (21)58.752.7111.4+6.067%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#5
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H04/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
70-69
70
69
+1
A06/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#30
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H09/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
76-55
76
55
+21
H12/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A14/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
79-60
79
60
+19
A16/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H17/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#10
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A19/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A22/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#22
W
67-59
67
59
+8
A25/01
NBA
124.4Avg total
66.8Scored
57.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.157.1117.3+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.157.4115.5+0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)62.256.9119.1+5.373%-
Last 10 (10)66.857.6124.4+9.290%-
Last 5 (5)65.859.2125.0+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)56.955.0111.9+1.950%-
vs Weaker (20)61.858.2120.0+3.560%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 113.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.930.1
52.9%
51.7%60.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.112.4
38.6%
35.4%37.2
🏀 Free throws19.716.3
82.7%
76.6%16.3
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 130.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.633.2
59.7%
51.7%66.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.516.3
41.3%
35.4%48.9
🏀 Free throws18.715.2
81.3%
76.6%15.2
They take 95.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
WWWWWLLLWW
Golden State Warriors
WWWWWWWWWL
#11
League position
#3
+7.3
Net rating
+14.9
112.2
Offensive rating
125.2
104.9
Defensive rating
110.3
54.7%
Effective FG%
60.6%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
13.1%
Turnover %
11.4%
22.0%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.20
38.6%
3-point %
41.3%
61.2%
Assist %
68.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 125.2Defence104.9 · 110.3Shooting54.7% · 60.6%3-point %38.6% · 41.3%Ball care13.1% · 11.4%Off. rebounds22.0% · 25.3%Free throws0.22 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/19HCleveland Cavaliers123-103
21/01/19HMiami Heat107-99
20/01/19AAtlanta Hawks113-105
19/01/19HMemphis Grizzlies122-116
17/01/19HToronto Raptors117-108
15/01/19ABrooklyn Nets102-109
13/01/19AOrlando Magic103-105
11/01/19AMiami Heat99-115
10/01/19HIndiana Pacers135-108
08/01/19HBrooklyn Nets116-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/19AWashington Wizards126-118
22/01/19ALos Angeles Lakers130-111
19/01/19ALos Angeles Clippers112-94
17/01/19HNew Orleans Pelicans147-140
16/01/19ADenver Nuggets142-111
14/01/19ADallas Mavericks119-114
12/01/19HChicago Bulls146-109
09/01/19HNew York Knicks122-95
06/01/19ASacramento Kings127-123
04/01/19HHouston Rockets134-135 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW60%
HomeWWWWW77%
AwayLLLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games522626
Win %60%77%42%
Points / game111.4113.7109.2
Allowed / game105.9103.8107.9
Point differential+5.6+9.8+1.3
Avg total217.3217.5217.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%46%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW66%
HomeLLWWW68%
AwayWWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532825
Win %66%68%64%
Points / game118.2117.9118.5
Allowed / game112.2112.4112.0
Point differential+6.0+5.6+6.6
Avg total230.4230.3230.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%39%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)50% (6)44% (9)
Overtime %8%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks51381375%118.0107.4+10.6
2 Toronto Raptors55391671%114.1108.2+5.9
3 Denver Nuggets51351669%111.5106.1+5.4
4 Golden State Warriors53351866%118.2112.2+6.0
5 Indiana Pacers52341865%108.4103.3+5.2
6 Philadelphia 76ers52341865%115.8112.1+3.7
7 Oklahoma City Thunder52331963%113.8108.7+5.1
8 Portland Trail Blazers55332260%112.7109.9+2.8
9 Boston Celtics52312160%111.4105.9+5.6
10 Houston Rockets52312160%112.6110.5+2.1
11 Utah Jazz53312258%109.0104.6+4.4
12 Los Angeles Clippers52302258%113.9112.5+1.4
13 San Antonio Spurs55312456%111.6108.9+2.7
14 Brooklyn Nets54292554%111.2111.3-0.1
15 Charlotte Hornets53272651%112.2111.3+0.9
16 Los Angeles Lakers55282751%112.2112.1+0.1
17 Miami Heat53262749%106.5106.5-0.0
18 Sacramento Kings54262848%112.4115.4-3.0
19 Minnesota Timberwolves54252946%111.5112.5-1.0
20 Washington Wizards52242846%112.8115.0-2.2
21 Dallas Mavericks51232845%109.7109.8-0.1
22 Detroit Pistons53233043%105.8108.3-2.5
23 New Orleans Pelicans55223340%116.3116.0+0.3
24 Memphis Grizzlies55223340%101.3104.9-3.6
25 Orlando Magic53213240%103.6107.0-3.4
26 Atlanta Hawks52173533%110.2117.3-7.2
27 New York Knicks52133925%107.2114.9-7.7
28 Chicago Bulls54134124%101.2110.7-9.5
29 Phoenix Suns55124322%105.3115.2-9.9
30 Cleveland Cavaliers54114320%102.6113.3-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics26332527111
Golden State Warriors29322925115
← all games of the day
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