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Botafogo vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 82-75
20-16 26-14 16-16 20-29
Position#16
Record1-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#17
Record1-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game74.8
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Botafogo v Pato
07 Nov 2025
BOTA82
PATO75
16 Feb 2025
BOTA91
PATO76
24 Oct 2023
BOTA71
PATO79
15 Nov 2019
BOTA85
PATO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
W
86-85
86
85
+1
82avg 64
H05/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
59-97
59
97
-38
42avg 64
A09/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
62-80
62
80
-18
51avg 64
A12/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
85-84
85
84
+1
82avg 64
A19/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
80-84
80
84
-4
70avg 64
H20/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
85-76
85
76
+9
82avg 64
H23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
72-85
72
85
-13
59avg 64
H26/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
45-87
45
87
-42
30avg 64
A29/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
64-77
64
77
-13
51avg 64
A01/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
75-90
75
90
-15
66avg 64
A03/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-19
27-25
16-22
18-19
21-22
5-21
22-31
11-23
14-29
16-13
19-15
13-23
21-12
20-28
18-20
26-24
26-22
19-14
13-27
22-21
25-22
18-26
21-10
21-18
27-15
9-23
24-24
12-23
9-24
18-19
8-28
10-16
10-19
26-23
14-12
14-23
12-20
17-28
23-17
23-25
155.8Avg total
71.3Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)70.283.2153.3-13.017%
Season at home (3)79.081.7160.7-2.733%
Season away (3)61.384.7146.0-23.30%
Last 10 (10)71.384.5155.8-13.230%
Last 5 (5)68.283.0151.2-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)72.284.8157.0-12.624%
vs Similar ◀ (5)80.681.2161.8-0.640%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
L
76-90
76
90
-14
67avg 73
A16/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
89-77
89
77
+12
88avg 73
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
91-96
91
96
-5
82avg 73
H24/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
65-84
65
84
-19
50avg 73
A29/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
82-101
82
101
-19
69avg 73
A01/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
63-70
63
70
-7
43avg 73
A21/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
88-92
88
92
-4
75avg 73
A23/10
NBB
Minas
#3
L
75-76
75
76
-1
65avg 73
H27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
69-71
69
71
-2
55avg 73
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
70-65
70
65
+5
60avg 73
A04/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
14-27
27-18
14-18
25-23
17-23
30-16
17-15
18-29
31-22
18-18
24-27
11-23
20-25
19-17
15-19
24-31
27-24
11-20
20-26
18-16
12-15
14-23
19-16
19-26
32-22
24-26
13-18
17-27
22-8
14-20
22-21
18-20
16-25
13-12
22-14
22-19
11-20
20-8
17-18
159.0Avg total
76.8Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.074.8147.8-1.820%
Season at home (2)72.073.5145.5-1.50%
Season away (3)73.775.7149.3-2.033%
Last 10 (10)76.882.2159.0-5.420%
Last 5 (5)73.074.8147.8-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.887.2165.1-9.40%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.279.4161.5+2.862%
vs Weaker (4)80.088.0168.0-8.025%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -4.5-4.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: -0.9-0.9
BotafogoPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H05/04
NBB
Minas
#1
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A09/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A12/04
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A19/04
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H20/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H26/10
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A29/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A01/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A03/11
NBB
78.9Avg total
36.5Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.142.678.7-6.527%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.741.880.5-3.138%-
Last 30 away (14)33.143.476.6-10.314%-
Last 10 (10)36.542.478.9-5.930%-
Last 5 (5)34.243.878.0-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)35.243.478.5-8.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.838.679.4+2.260%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A16/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H24/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A29/04
NBB
Franca
#2
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A01/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A21/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A23/10
NBB
Minas
#3
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H27/10
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H29/10
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A04/11
NBB
84.7Avg total
39.5Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.842.583.3-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.640.680.2-1.038%-
Last 30 away (17)41.743.985.6-2.247%-
Last 10 (10)39.545.284.7-5.720%-
Last 5 (5)37.439.677.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.343.082.3-3.731%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.340.081.3+1.354%-
vs Weaker (4)44.048.892.8-4.850%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 70.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.818.2
48.1%
52.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.1
29.5%
32.5%21.3
🏀 Free throws18.412.4
67.4%
72.8%12.4
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 75.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.717.8
49.9%
52.2%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.49.9
32.6%
32.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws13.510.3
76.3%
72.8%10.3
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LLLLWLWLLW
Pato
WLLLLLLLWL
#16
League position
#17
-18.2
Net rating
-8.1
93.6
Offensive rating
102.7
111.7
Defensive rating
110.8
46.6%
Effective FG%
49.4%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
56.5%
21.0%
Turnover %
15.8%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.20
29.5%
3-point %
32.6%
61.7%
Assist %
55.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence93.6 · 102.7Defence111.7 · 110.8Shooting46.6% · 49.4%3-point %29.5% · 32.6%Ball care21.0% · 15.8%Off. rebounds28.3% · 25.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Botafogo   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Botafogo wins
3
Pato wins
DateGameScore
16/02/25Botafogo v Pato91-76
28/11/24Pato v Botafogo98-78
24/01/24Pato v Botafogo97-86
24/10/23Botafogo v Pato71-79
12/02/20Pato v Botafogo69-75
15/11/19Botafogo v Pato85-79
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/25ACorinthians Paulista75-90
01/11/25ASao Jose64-77
29/10/25AMogi45-87
26/10/25HUnifacisa72-85
23/10/25HVasco85-76
20/10/25HCearense80-84
19/04/25ABauru85-84
12/04/25AFranca62-80
09/04/25AMinas59-97
05/04/25HSao Paulo86-85
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/25AVasco70-65
29/10/25HCruzeiro69-71
27/10/25HMinas75-76
23/10/25AUniao Corinthians88-92
21/10/25ACaxias do Sul63-70
01/05/25AFranca82-101
29/04/25AFranca65-84
24/04/25HFranca91-96
18/04/25ASao Jose89-77
16/04/25AMogi76-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL17%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game70.279.061.3
Allowed / game83.281.784.7
Point differential-13.0-2.7-23.3
Avg total153.3160.7146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW20%
HomeLL0%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game73.072.073.7
Allowed / game74.873.575.7
Point differential-1.8-1.5-2.0
Avg total147.8145.5149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo770100%90.373.1+17.1
2 Minas660100%82.776.5+6.2
3 Franca75271%84.673.9+10.7
4 Brasilia64267%84.768.8+15.8
5 Mogi64267%80.266.2+14.0
6 Corinthians Paulista64267%84.778.7+6.0
7 Pinheiros64267%79.376.0+3.3
8 Unifacisa53260%77.475.4+2.0
9 Uniao Corinthians53260%76.878.6-1.8
10 Caxias do Sul53260%73.077.2-4.2
11 Sao Jose63350%75.373.2+2.2
12 Paulistano63350%72.872.8+0.0
13 Bauru73443%71.073.1-2.1
14 Cearense52340%79.688.6-9.0
15 Cruzeiro72529%73.683.9-10.3
16 Pato51420%73.074.8-1.8
17 Rio Claro61517%79.291.3-12.2
18 Botafogo61517%70.283.2-13.0
19 Osasco61517%74.891.0-16.2
20 Vasco7070%68.178.3-10.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo2026162082
Pato1614162975
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