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Botafogo vs Paulistano Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 15 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#14
Record2-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#13
Record3-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game73.9
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Botafogo v Paulistano
15 Dec 2026
BOTA v PAUL
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
BOTA72
PAUL86
03 Apr 2025
BOTA64
PAUL85
14 Jan 2024
BOTA68
PAUL85
29 Oct 2019
BOTA70
PAUL84
30 Oct 2018
BOTA77
PAUL74
21 Dec 2017
BOTA74
PAUL93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
L
86-104
86
104
-18
80avg 66
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
68-94
68
94
-26
59avg 66
A22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
79-89
79
89
-10
70avg 66
H25/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
78-82
78
82
-4
71avg 66
H28/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
71-81
71
81
-10
65avg 66
A20/10
NBB
Pato
#15
L
88-89
88
89
-1
82avg 66
A24/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
84-82
84
82
+2
81avg 66
H28/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
80-87
80
87
-7
no box
H30/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
77-76
77
76
+1
no box
A02/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
60-83
60
83
-23
no box
H12/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
28-22
13-29
20-29
17-37
16-21
20-17
15-19
35-23
18-26
15-21
11-19
23-11
21-29
14-22
20-20
14-22
22-27
21-20
14-12
26-22
22-16
13-27
27-24
22-24
14-16
25-21
23-21
22-26
24-18
17-19
17-24
16-22
20-14
23-17
18-23
16-21
19-14
9-24
16-24
163.8Avg total
77.1Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.783.0159.7-6.333%
Season at home (3)74.784.0158.7-9.333%
Season away (3)78.782.0160.7-3.333%
Last 10 (10)77.186.7163.8-9.620%
Last 5 (5)77.883.4161.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)73.183.4156.5-10.327%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.688.6170.1-7.029%
vs Weaker (1)84.082.0166.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
L
92-101 OT
92
101
-9
77avg 72
A04/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
54avg 72
H07/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
59avg 72
H09/05
NBB
Pato
#15
W
80-74
80
74
+6
70avg 72
A21/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
L
73-91
73
91
-18
50avg 72
A24/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
65-62
65
62
+3
48avg 72
H28/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
83-75
83
75
+8
no box
H30/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
63-71
63
71
-8
no box
A04/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
58-65
58
65
-7
no box
A07/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
L
65-79
65
79
-14
no box
A13/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
24-26
22-24
20-23
24-20
14-16
24-28
6-12
23-18
12-24
18-18
21-24
13-10
20-18
30-13
17-33
22-29
16-25
16-18
19-19
20-14
16-12
22-21
7-15
26-23
26-12
16-21
15-19
19-22
16-18
15-20
13-11
15-18
14-10
16-25
13-12
22-26
20-16
7-17
16-20
149.9Avg total
72.1Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.673.9143.4-4.343%
Season at home (2)74.068.5142.5+5.5100%
Season away (5)67.876.0143.8-8.220%
Last 10 (10)72.177.8149.9-5.730%
Last 5 (5)66.870.4137.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)74.882.0156.8-7.222%
vs Similar ◀ (10)83.681.0164.6+2.670%
vs Weaker (11)84.074.5158.5+9.573%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -4.1-4.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -4.1-4.1
BotafogoPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A18/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A22/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H25/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H28/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A20/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A24/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H28/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H30/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A02/11
NBB
Franca
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H12/11
NBB
85.5Avg total
42.0Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.781.6-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.941.682.6-0.744%-
Last 30 away (14)38.641.980.4-3.329%-
Last 10 (10)42.043.585.5-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.678.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)38.940.979.8-2.036%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.344.788.0-1.443%-
vs Weaker (1)36.040.076.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A04/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H07/05
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H09/05
NBB
Pato
#15
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A21/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
L
38-54
38
54
-16
A24/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H28/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
52-35
52
35
+17
H30/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A04/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A07/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A13/11
NBB
75.8Avg total
38.5Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.679.8+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.237.882.1+6.477%-
Last 30 away (17)38.839.278.0-0.541%-
Last 10 (10)38.537.375.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)38.834.273.0+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.940.979.8-2.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.038.381.3+4.760%-
vs Weaker (11)41.337.178.4+4.273%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.321.7
52.5%
49.8%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.1
31.5%
31.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.911.7
69.2%
71.3%11.7
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.416.9
49.1%
49.8%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.2
33.7%
31.6%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.111.9
73.9%
71.3%11.9
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LWLWLLLLLL
Paulistano
LLLWWLWLLL
#14
League position
#13
-6.7
Net rating
+2.1
91.9
Offensive rating
89.1
98.6
Defensive rating
87.0
50.5%
Effective FG%
49.8%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
14.8%
Turnover %
17.5%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.5%
3-point %
33.7%
66.8%
Assist %
49.4%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence91.9 · 89.1Defence98.6 · 87.0Shooting50.5% · 49.8%3-point %31.5% · 33.7%Ball care14.8% · 17.5%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Botafogo   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Botafogo wins
8
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
03/04/26Botafogo v Paulistano72-86
04/12/25Paulistano v Botafogo101-77
03/04/25Botafogo v Paulistano64-85
02/11/24Paulistano v Botafogo88-70
14/01/24Botafogo v Paulistano68-85
07/12/23Paulistano v Botafogo85-77
16/01/20Paulistano v Botafogo73-72
29/10/19Botafogo v Paulistano70-84
24/03/19Paulistano v Botafogo100-104
30/10/18Botafogo v Paulistano77-74
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26HFranca60-83
02/11/26ABrasilia77-76
30/10/26HUniao Corinthians80-87
28/10/26HCaxias do Sul84-82
24/10/26APato88-89
20/10/26AFlamengo71-81
28/04/26HFranca78-82
25/04/26HFranca79-89
22/04/26AFranca68-94
18/04/26AVasco86-104
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ASao Jose65-79
07/11/26ACearense58-65
04/11/26AUnifacisa63-71
30/10/26HBauru83-75
28/10/26HFranca65-62
24/10/26ABrasilia73-91
21/10/26APato80-74
09/05/26HPinheiros74-84
07/05/26HPinheiros68-76
04/05/26APinheiros92-101 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game76.774.778.7
Allowed / game83.084.082.0
Point differential-6.3-9.3-3.3
Avg total159.7158.7160.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paulistano
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL43%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%100%20%
Points / game69.674.067.8
Allowed / game73.968.576.0
Point differential-4.3+5.5-8.2
Avg total143.4142.5143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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