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Botafogo vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 03 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 64-85
12-16 15-28 19-20 18-21
Position#18
Record8-21
FormWWLLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#12
Record13-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game77.1
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Botafogo v Paulistano
15 Dec 2026
BOTA v PAUL
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
BOTA72
PAUL86
03 Apr 2025
BOTA64
PAUL85
14 Jan 2024
BOTA68
PAUL85
29 Oct 2019
BOTA70
PAUL84
30 Oct 2018
BOTA77
PAUL74
21 Dec 2017
BOTA74
PAUL93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
79-84
79
84
-5
70avg 65
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
71-83
71
83
-12
64avg 65
H16/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 65
H20/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
67-78
67
78
-11
59avg 65
A06/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
77-90
77
90
-13
69avg 65
A08/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
91-76
91
76
+15
86avg 65
H16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
71-68
71
68
+3
61avg 65
H03/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
66-80
66
80
-14
54avg 65
A13/03
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
71-94
71
94
-23
66avg 65
A17/03
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
85-92
85
92
-7
79avg 65
H29/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
16-18
20-22
20-20
17-30
18-15
15-15
21-23
20-17
17-18
19-21
18-27
11-24
21-19
19-12
16-23
27-24
20-18
10-32
20-16
26-29
24-27
19-13
22-7
18-27
17-14
15-16
21-11
20-18
13-23
19-19
14-20
14-24
18-22
22-24
17-24
26-20
21-21
15-22
23-29
158.0Avg total
75.2Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)73.481.3154.8-7.928%
Season at home (15)74.581.1155.6-6.733%
Season away (14)72.481.6153.9-9.221%
Last 10 (10)75.282.8158.0-7.620%
Last 5 (5)76.882.0158.8-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)72.383.3155.7-11.021%
vs Similar (6)75.072.8147.8+2.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
W
85-73
85
73
+12
85avg 70
A20/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
69-61
69
61
+8
42avg 70
A05/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
65-74
65
74
-9
55avg 70
A11/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
93-78
93
78
+15
95avg 70
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
63avg 70
H27/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
84-87
84
87
-3
74avg 70
H06/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
82avg 70
A15/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 70
A17/03
NBB
Pato
#14
L
77-94
77
94
-17
69avg 70
H26/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
55avg 70
A01/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
29-12
22-26
13-17
16-13
15-19
20-15
18-14
22-17
12-13
12-19
19-25
28-13
25-27
28-20
12-18
19-13
16-26
9-17
31-21
12-25
20-23
26-10
26-29
17-18
20-22
20-18
20-19
16-20
27-20
18-23
17-20
14-26
23-20
20-23
20-25
19-14
12-24
16-20
19-20
159.1Avg total
78.7Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)78.377.1155.4+1.243%
Season at home (15)79.777.8157.5+1.947%
Season away (15)76.976.4153.3+0.540%
Last 10 (10)78.780.4159.1-1.730%
Last 5 (5)80.088.2168.2-8.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)83.289.8173.0-6.525%
vs Similar (19)77.775.0152.7+2.747%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)77.375.6152.9+1.743%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.3-1.3
BotafogoPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H16/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A06/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A08/02
NBB
Pato
#14
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H03/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A13/03
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A17/03
NBB
Flamengo
#3
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H29/03
NBB
81.9Avg total
38.7Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.541.076.5-5.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.540.877.3-4.333%-
Last 30 away (15)34.541.375.8-6.720%-
Last 10 (10)38.743.281.9-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.445.084.4-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.143.078.1-7.917%-
vs Similar (6)37.033.270.2+3.867%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#4
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A20/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A05/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A11/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H13/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H27/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H06/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A15/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A17/03
NBB
Pato
#14
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H26/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A01/04
NBB
76.6Avg total
38.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.738.177.8+1.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.938.978.7+1.040%-
Last 30 away (15)39.637.376.9+2.347%-
Last 10 (10)38.338.376.6+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.042.478.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)46.545.291.8+1.250%-
vs Similar (19)39.536.976.4+2.542%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)36.637.073.6-0.443%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.0
52.0%
50.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.16.5
30.8%
33.0%19.5
🏀 Free throws20.512.9
62.9%
72.7%12.9
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.319.7
47.7%
50.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.6
31.1%
33.0%22.8
🏀 Free throws20.315.5
76.4%
72.7%15.5
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LLLWWLLLLL
Paulistano
LLLLLLWLWW
#18
League position
#12
-10.2
Net rating
-2.8
98.6
Offensive rating
102.0
108.8
Defensive rating
104.7
50.0%
Effective FG%
47.3%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
20.1%
Turnover %
19.4%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
30.8%
3-point %
31.1%
59.3%
Assist %
63.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.6 · 102.0Defence108.8 · 104.7Shooting50.0% · 47.3%3-point %30.8% · 31.1%Ball care20.1% · 19.4%Off. rebounds28.2% · 32.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Botafogo   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Botafogo wins
7
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
02/11/24Paulistano v Botafogo88-70
14/01/24Botafogo v Paulistano68-85
07/12/23Paulistano v Botafogo85-77
16/01/20Paulistano v Botafogo73-72
29/10/19Botafogo v Paulistano70-84
24/03/19Paulistano v Botafogo100-104
30/10/18Botafogo v Paulistano77-74
01/03/18Paulistano v Botafogo112-64
21/12/17Botafogo v Paulistano74-93
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25HFlamengo85-92
17/03/25ABrasilia71-94
13/03/25AVasco66-80
03/03/25HSao Jose71-68
16/02/25HPato91-76
08/02/25AUniao Corinthians77-90
06/02/25ACaxias do Sul67-78
20/01/25HCearense74-83
16/01/25HUnifacisa71-83
11/01/25ACorinthians Paulista79-84
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/25AVasco66-78
26/03/25HPato77-94
17/03/25AUniao Corinthians78-83
15/03/25ACaxias do Sul95-99 OT
06/03/25HCearense84-87
27/02/25HUnifacisa75-77
13/02/25HSao Jose93-78
11/02/25ACorinthians Paulista65-74
05/02/25APinheiros69-61
20/01/25ABauru85-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL28%
HomeLLWWL33%
AwayLLLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %28%33%21%
Points / game73.474.572.4
Allowed / game81.381.181.6
Point differential-7.9-6.7-9.2
Avg total154.8155.6153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%13%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Paulistano
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL43%
HomeWWLLL47%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %43%47%40%
Points / game78.379.776.9
Allowed / game77.177.876.4
Point differential+1.2+1.9+0.5
Avg total155.4157.5153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won18% (11)25% (4)14% (7)
Overtime %7%0%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas3026487%82.771.5+11.1
2 Flamengo2922776%84.075.1+8.9
3 Franca3021970%84.476.2+8.2
4 Brasilia30191163%81.879.9+2.0
5 Vasco30171357%77.275.6+1.6
6 Bauru30171357%78.278.6-0.4
7 Uniao Corinthians29161355%78.579.1-0.6
8 Pinheiros30161453%76.675.5+1.1
9 Sao Jose31161552%78.378.0+0.4
10 Unifacisa31151648%75.275.3-0.1
11 Corinthians Paulista30141647%80.479.2+1.2
12 Paulistano30131743%78.377.1+1.2
13 Pato31121939%81.983.6-1.7
14 Sao Paulo30111937%75.579.1-3.6
15 Caxias do Sul30102033%73.780.7-7.1
16 Mogi31102132%73.880.8-7.0
17 Botafogo2982128%73.481.3-7.9
18 Cearense3182326%71.678.4-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo1215191864
Paulistano1628202185
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