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Botafogo vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 68-85
17-22 19-17 12-21 20-25
Position#15
Record6-13
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game84.9
vs
Position#7
Record13-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game71.8
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Botafogo v Paulistano
15 Dec 2026
BOTA v PAUL
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
BOTA72
PAUL86
03 Apr 2025
BOTA64
PAUL85
14 Jan 2024
BOTA68
PAUL85
29 Oct 2019
BOTA70
PAUL84
30 Oct 2018
BOTA77
PAUL74
21 Dec 2017
BOTA74
PAUL93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Mogi
#14
L
81-86
81
86
-5
73avg 63
A20/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
72-96
72
96
-24
62avg 63
A23/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
83-80
83
80
+3
75avg 63
H29/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
77-78
77
78
-1
65avg 63
A04/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
77-85
77
85
-8
63avg 63
A07/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
91-86
91
86
+5
78avg 63
A09/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
90-86
90
86
+4
87avg 63
H18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
87-104
87
104
-17
72avg 63
H20/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
88-84
88
84
+4
83avg 63
A29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
52-89
52
89
-37
36avg 63
A08/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-17
21-17
18-26
25-26
20-20
12-31
16-25
24-20
22-14
22-32
22-14
17-20
22-13
22-31
14-17
19-17
9-16
21-26
19-23
28-20
15-19
23-18
21-18
32-31
26-24
21-15
20-26
23-21
20-28
15-24
24-26
28-26
18-22
23-18
21-18
26-26
5-26
12-21
18-25
17-17
167.2Avg total
79.8Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.084.9161.9-7.932%
Season at home (9)79.084.6163.6-5.644%
Season away (10)75.285.2160.4-10.020%
Last 10 (10)79.887.4167.2-7.640%
Last 5 (5)81.689.8171.4-8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)76.485.7162.2-9.328%
vs Similar (9)78.981.3160.2-2.444%
vs Weaker (3)82.775.0157.7+7.7100%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
81-65
81
65
+16
76avg 67
A30/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
72-77
72
77
-5
56avg 67
H05/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
85-77
85
77
+8
78avg 67
H07/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
70-76
70
76
-6
58avg 67
H11/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
91-69
91
69
+22
91avg 67
A16/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
68-64
68
64
+4
62avg 67
A18/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
92-78
92
78
+14
95avg 67
H27/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
92-79
92
79
+13
78avg 67
H29/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
55-66
55
66
-11
44avg 67
H08/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
76-98
76
98
-22
68avg 67
H10/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
19-15
16-22
24-13
19-23
17-22
22-18
14-14
16-9
26-21
23-19
20-28
20-20
17-18
24-20
9-18
17-14
21-21
32-14
21-20
15-14
20-23
14-12
19-15
27-15
24-7
22-27
19-29
18-21
27-19
29-14
18-25
13-11
14-13
17-17
11-25
25-25
12-18
16-31
23-24
153.1Avg total
78.2Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.271.8146.1+2.465%
Season at home (12)75.873.8149.6+2.158%
Season away (8)71.969.0140.9+2.975%
Last 10 (10)78.274.9153.1+3.360%
Last 5 (5)76.677.0153.6-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.287.5154.8-20.20%
vs Similar (12)75.170.8145.9+4.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)82.868.5151.3+14.393%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -3.3-3.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -3.3-3.3
BotafogoPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A20/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A23/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H29/11
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A04/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A07/12
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A09/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H18/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H20/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A29/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
17-47
17
47
-30
A08/01
NBB
79.8Avg total
36.6Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.341.078.3-3.737%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.342.482.6-2.129%-
Last 30 away (16)34.639.874.4-5.244%-
Last 10 (10)36.643.279.8-6.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.643.078.6-7.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.042.979.9-5.928%-
vs Similar (9)37.637.875.3-0.256%-
vs Weaker (3)38.039.077.0-1.033%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A30/11
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H05/12
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H07/12
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H11/12
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A16/12
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A18/12
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
51-22
51
22
+29
H27/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H29/12
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H08/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H10/01
NBB
73.3Avg total
38.9Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.134.272.3+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (18)40.033.773.7+6.361%-
Last 30 away (12)35.235.170.3+0.250%-
Last 10 (10)38.934.473.3+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.033.272.2+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.044.276.2-12.20%-
vs Similar (12)37.334.471.8+2.942%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)40.531.271.7+9.386%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.020.4
47.4%
51.8%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.7
32.0%
33.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.615.9
73.6%
72.6%15.9
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.1
52.4%
51.8%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.77.1
30.0%
33.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.214.1
73.4%
72.6%14.1
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LWLWWLLWLL
Paulistano
LLWWWWLWLW
#15
League position
#7
-10.1
Net rating
+5.1
102.0
Offensive rating
103.4
112.1
Defensive rating
98.3
47.6%
Effective FG%
49.6%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
47.2%
16.5%
Turnover %
20.6%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.0%
3-point %
30.0%
57.0%
Assist %
59.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 103.4Defence112.1 · 98.3Shooting47.6% · 49.6%3-point %32.0% · 30.0%Ball care16.5% · 20.6%Off. rebounds29.8% · 35.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Botafogo   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Botafogo wins
5
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
07/12/23Paulistano v Botafogo85-77
16/01/20Paulistano v Botafogo73-72
29/10/19Botafogo v Paulistano70-84
24/03/19Paulistano v Botafogo100-104
30/10/18Botafogo v Paulistano77-74
01/03/18Paulistano v Botafogo112-64
21/12/17Botafogo v Paulistano74-93
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/24AMinas52-89
29/12/23APinheiros88-84
20/12/23HUnifacisa87-104
18/12/23HCearense90-86
09/12/23ACorinthians Paulista91-86
07/12/23APaulistano77-85
04/12/23ASao Paulo77-78
29/11/23HBauru83-80
23/11/23ASao Jose72-96
20/11/23AMogi81-86
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24HFranca76-98
08/01/24HBauru55-66
29/12/23HSao Jose92-79
27/12/23HMogi92-78
18/12/23ACerrado68-64
16/12/23ABrasilia91-69
11/12/23HVasco70-76
07/12/23HBotafogo85-77
05/12/23HFlamengo72-77
30/11/23ACaxias do Sul81-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL32%
HomeWWWWL44%
AwayLLWWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %32%44%20%
Points / game77.079.075.2
Allowed / game84.984.685.2
Point differential-7.9-5.6-10.0
Avg total161.9163.6160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)100% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paulistano
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL65%
HomeLWWLL58%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20128
Win %65%58%75%
Points / game74.275.871.9
Allowed / game71.873.869.0
Point differential+2.4+2.1+2.9
Avg total146.1149.6140.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%42%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2118386%85.372.2+13.1
2 Flamengo2117481%84.575.3+9.2
3 Franca2016480%87.575.8+11.6
4 Unifacisa1913668%83.078.3+4.7
5 Vasco2013765%73.370.8+2.5
6 Paulistano2013765%74.271.8+2.4
7 Bauru2012860%78.877.2+1.7
8 Sao Jose1911858%79.574.7+4.8
9 Cearense1910953%77.976.1+1.8
10 Pato21101148%76.677.8-1.2
11 Corinthians Paulista1981142%79.881.4-1.6
12 Pinheiros1981142%76.478.8-2.5
13 Sao Paulo2291341%77.480.9-3.5
14 Caxias do Sul1961332%72.279.2-6.9
15 Botafogo1961332%77.084.9-7.9
16 Uniao Corinthians1961332%71.980.5-8.5
17 Cerrado1951426%73.875.7-1.9
18 Mogi1931616%73.379.7-6.4
19 Brasilia1931616%70.784.8-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo1719122068
Paulistano2217212585
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