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Botafogo vs Sao Jose Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 89-80
26-18 18-20 23-30 22-12
Position#16
Record3-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#9
Record14-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game78.9
BrazilNBB· Oscar Zelaya Gymnasium
Other2025-26
Meetings · Botafogo v Sao Jose
21 Jan 2026
BOTA89
SAO 80
03 Mar 2025
BOTA71
SAO 68
29 Feb 2024
BOTA90
SAO 93
18 Dec 2019
BOTA93
SAO 75
05 Apr 2019
BOTA66
SAO 61
27 Nov 2018
BOTA84
SAO 74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Jose winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
77-101
77
101
-24
67avg 63
A04/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
75-80
75
80
-5
68avg 63
H08/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
61-84
61
84
-23
50avg 63
H13/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
65-89
65
89
-24
45avg 63
A16/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
88-95
88
95
-7
79avg 63
A18/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
64-77
64
77
-13
50avg 63
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
71-104
71
104
-33
63avg 63
A29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
68-77
68
77
-9
58avg 63
A13/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
82-86
82
86
-4
no box
A16/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
73-74
73
74
-1
65avg 63
H19/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
20-28
21-22
17-23
17-20
20-20
22-19
16-21
15-21
18-20
16-26
12-17
19-18
18-22
14-19
14-30
23-28
17-24
22-14
26-29
25-21
16-25
13-20
10-11
21-16
13-32
20-27
17-29
24-21
8-23
17-12
19-21
22-26
21-24
20-15
19-21
14-21
21-15
16-22
22-16
159.1Avg total
72.4Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)71.583.0154.5-11.514%
Season at home (9)74.777.9152.6-3.233%
Season away (13)69.386.6155.9-17.30%
Last 10 (10)72.486.7159.1-14.30%
Last 5 (5)71.683.6155.2-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)69.986.0155.9-16.08%
vs Similar (6)78.876.8155.7+2.050%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
W
87-73
87
73
+14
83avg 73
H10/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
95-64
95
64
+31
100avg 73
H12/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
61-74
61
74
-13
59avg 73
H16/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
79-61
79
61
+18
78avg 73
H19/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
83-98
83
98
-15
77avg 73
A23/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
89-87
89
87
+2
79avg 73
H27/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
92-73
92
73
+19
88avg 73
A29/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
88-81
88
81
+7
81avg 73
H09/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
98-91
98
91
+7
no box
H15/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
91-95
91
95
-4
no box
H19/01
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-11
30-21
19-18
17-23
31-17
15-13
25-17
24-17
18-18
13-21
21-16
9-19
19-21
23-18
24-14
13-8
21-28
13-27
22-25
27-18
26-27
20-22
24-17
19-21
32-12
17-21
23-21
20-19
23-17
23-22
22-20
20-22
26-27
18-22
22-24
32-18
27-28
17-29
21-17
26-21
166.0Avg total
86.3Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.578.9161.3+3.664%
Season at home (12)82.075.5157.5+6.575%
Season away (10)83.082.9165.9+0.150%
Last 10 (10)86.379.7166.0+6.670%
Last 5 (5)91.685.4177.0+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)84.091.0175.0-7.017%
vs Similar (14)78.179.6157.8-1.543%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)84.671.9156.5+12.7100%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -6.1-6.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +2.1+2.1
BotafogoSao Jose
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A04/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H08/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H13/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A16/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A18/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A27/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A29/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A13/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A16/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H19/01
NBB
82.4Avg total
37.1Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.442.679.0-6.227%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.539.078.5+0.550%-
Last 30 away (18)34.345.079.3-10.711%-
Last 10 (10)37.145.382.4-8.20%-
Last 5 (5)37.044.881.8-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.343.378.7-8.021%-
vs Similar (6)40.739.780.3+1.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H10/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H12/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H16/12
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H19/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A23/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H27/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A29/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H09/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H15/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H19/01
NBB
85.5Avg total
43.3Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.981.4-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.540.481.9+1.150%-
Last 30 away (14)39.441.580.9-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)43.342.285.5+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)45.845.491.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.846.387.2-5.533%-
vs Similar (14)38.541.179.6-2.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)43.137.480.5+5.750%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.418.2
46.2%
52.2%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.3
27.7%
32.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws17.711.7
66.1%
72.8%11.7
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.0
54.8%
52.2%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.8
36.6%
32.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.314.5
79.2%
72.8%14.5
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Botafogo
LLLLLLLLLL
Sao Jose
LWWWWLWLWW
#16
League position
#9
-20.2
Net rating
+8.2
90.6
Offensive rating
109.1
110.8
Defensive rating
100.9
44.3%
Effective FG%
54.8%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.6%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.29
27.7%
3-point %
36.6%
63.5%
Assist %
67.8%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence90.6 · 109.1Defence110.8 · 100.9Shooting44.3% · 54.8%3-point %27.7% · 36.6%Ball care17.2% · 17.6%Off. rebounds29.2% · 27.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)0% · 70%
■ Botafogo   ■ Sao Jose
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Botafogo wins
4
Sao Jose wins
DateGameScore
01/11/25Sao Jose v Botafogo77-64
03/03/25Botafogo v Sao Jose71-68
12/10/24Sao Jose v Botafogo70-81
29/02/24Botafogo v Sao Jose90-93 OT
23/11/23Sao Jose v Botafogo96-72
02/03/20Sao Jose v Botafogo81-87
18/12/19Botafogo v Sao Jose93-75
06/04/19Botafogo v Sao Jose66-61
01/04/19Sao Jose v Botafogo81-87
28/01/19Sao Jose v Botafogo79-72
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/26HCorinthians Paulista73-74
16/01/26ACearense82-86
13/01/26AUnifacisa68-77
29/12/25AFlamengo71-104
27/12/25APinheiros64-77
18/12/25AMinas88-95
16/12/25ACruzeiro65-89
13/12/25HUniao Corinthians61-84
08/12/25HCaxias do Sul75-80
04/12/25APaulistano77-101
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/26HMinas91-95
15/01/26HCruzeiro98-91
09/01/26HPaulistano88-81
29/12/25AOsasco92-73
27/12/25HUniao Corinthians89-87
23/12/25APinheiros83-98
19/12/25HMogi79-61
16/12/25HCaxias do Sul61-74
12/12/25HRio Claro95-64
10/12/25HBrasilia87-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Botafogo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLWLLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22913
Win %14%33%0%
Points / game71.574.769.3
Allowed / game83.077.986.6
Point differential-11.5-3.2-17.3
Avg total154.5152.6155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sao Jose
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL64%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %64%75%50%
Points / game82.582.083.0
Allowed / game78.975.582.9
Point differential+3.6+6.5+0.1
Avg total161.3157.5165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%42%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %9%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2219386%89.376.0+13.3
2 Franca2319483%88.774.3+14.4
3 Minas2319483%86.578.6+7.9
4 Pinheiros2218482%88.075.7+12.3
5 Brasilia2317674%81.872.2+9.6
6 Corinthians Paulista2416867%82.777.6+5.1
7 Sao Jose2214864%82.578.9+3.6
8 Paulistano2213959%80.676.6+4.0
9 Mogi2112957%76.368.9+7.5
10 Unifacisa23131057%81.279.8+1.3
11 Uniao Corinthians22121055%80.682.0-1.5
12 Bauru24121250%77.378.0-0.7
13 Caxias do Sul23101343%72.277.7-5.5
14 Cruzeiro2271532%79.285.6-6.4
15 Rio Claro2251723%75.587.7-12.2
16 Pato2351822%72.881.5-8.7
17 Cearense2351822%77.587.2-9.7
18 Osasco2341917%75.187.2-12.1
19 Botafogo2231914%71.583.0-11.5
20 Vasco2332013%68.879.1-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Botafogo2618232289
Sao Jose1820301280
← all games of the day
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