PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bowling Green vs Ball State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 61-52
25-24 36-28
Position#257
Record12-16
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game74.9
vs
Position#243
Record14-14
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game74.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bowling Green v Ball State
12 Jan 2027
BOWL v BALL
upcoming
03 Feb 2026
BOWL77
BALL52
01 Mar 2025
BOWL61
BALL52
08 Mar 2024
BOWL80
BALL70
31 Jan 2023
BOWL60
BALL69
19 Feb 2022
BOWL82
BALL91
12 Jan 2021
BOWL64
BALL88
28 Jan 2020
BOWL67
BALL61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bowling Green winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ball State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Bowling GreenUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#167
L
71-84
71
84
-13
H24/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
57-75
57
75
-18
A29/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
71-90
71
90
-19
A02/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H05/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H08/02
NCAA
Ohio
#205
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H12/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A15/02
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H19/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A21/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-43
33-41
23-41
34-34
33-49
38-41
38-31
46-46
33-21
34-32
34-32
47-54
28-27
35-32
28-41
56-50
41-37
28-31
35-19
30-41
145.5Avg total
71.2Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)74.674.9149.5-0.243%
Season at home (16)78.272.6150.9+5.650%
Season away (12)69.877.8147.7-8.033%
Last 10 (10)71.274.3145.5-3.150%
Last 5 (5)72.472.8145.2-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.480.6151.0-10.212%
vs Similar ◀ (14)73.676.1149.7-2.443%
vs Weaker (7)73.667.4141.0+6.171%
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#352
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A25/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H29/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
89-76
89
76
+13
A01/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A05/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
H12/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
H15/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A19/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H22/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
82-87
82
87
-5
H26/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-40
37-36
36-41
35-33
45-32
44-44
36-38
37-43
35-37
42-39
40-33
35-42
38-20
38-56
35-28
31-39
41-36
39-30
39-47
43-40
154.9Avg total
77.9Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)76.874.7151.5+2.150%
Season at home (16)79.874.1153.8+5.756%
Season away (12)72.975.5148.4-2.642%
Last 10 (10)77.977.0154.9+0.950%
Last 5 (5)80.677.4158.0+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.279.4153.6-5.220%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.777.6152.3-2.940%
vs Weaker (13)77.271.6148.8+5.562%
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: -2.1-2.1
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: +2.2+2.22nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: -2.1-2.1
Bowling GreenBall State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Bowling GreenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toledo
#167
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H24/01
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A29/01
NCAA
Central Michigan
#242
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A02/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H05/02
NCAA
Coastal Carolina
#326
W
33-21
33
21
+12
H08/02
NCAA
Ohio
#205
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H12/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A15/02
NCAA
Kent State
#74
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H19/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A21/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
35-19
35
19
+16
A25/02
NCAA
67.2Avg total
33.1Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.635.269.9-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.233.468.6+1.959%-
Last 30 away (13)33.837.771.5-3.831%-
Last 10 (10)33.134.167.2-1.060%-
Last 5 (5)33.231.264.4+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.138.670.8-6.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.336.471.6-1.143%-
vs Weaker (7)32.730.963.6+1.957%-
This opponent (Ball State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ball StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#352
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A25/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#305
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H29/01
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A01/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A05/02
NCAA
Southern Miss
#324
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H08/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#212
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H12/02
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#352
W
38-20
38
20
+18
H15/02
NCAA
Toledo
#167
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A19/02
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H22/02
NCAA
Akron
#21
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H26/02
NCAA
72.6Avg total
37.4Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.434.971.2+1.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.033.671.6+4.459%-
Last 30 away (13)34.236.570.8-2.338%-
Last 10 (10)37.435.272.6+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)38.632.871.4+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.038.675.6-1.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)34.236.470.6-2.240%-
vs Weaker (13)37.032.269.2+4.862%-
This opponent (Bowling Green) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bowling Green wins
6
Ball State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/25AEastern Michigan65-60
21/02/25AToledo69-68
19/02/25HKent State84-91
15/02/25ABuffalo63-59
12/02/25HOhio81-86
08/02/25HCoastal Carolina67-53
05/02/25HNorthern Illinois84-77
02/02/25ACentral Michigan71-90
29/01/25AKent State57-75
24/01/25HToledo71-84
Ball Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/25HAkron82-87
22/02/25HBuffalo80-66
19/02/25AToledo66-67
15/02/25HNorthern Illinois89-83 OT
12/02/25HEastern Michigan86-84 OT
08/02/25HSouthern Miss77-76
05/02/25AAkron73-81
01/02/25ABuffalo89-76
29/01/25HWestern Michigan71-74
25/01/25ANorthern Illinois66-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bowling Green
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW43%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLWWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game74.678.269.8
Allowed / game74.972.677.8
Point differential-0.2+5.6-8.0
Avg total149.5150.9147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%31%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)25% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ball State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeWWWWL56%
AwayWLWLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %50%56%42%
Points / game76.879.872.9
Allowed / game74.774.175.5
Point differential+2.1+5.7-2.6
Avg total151.5153.8148.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron2923679%83.473.9+9.5
2 Miami (Ohio)2921872%81.073.2+7.8
3 Kent State29191066%73.968.0+5.9
4 Toledo28161257%77.478.4-1.0
5 Ohio29161355%79.675.2+4.4
6 Eastern Michigan29151452%73.376.3-3.0
7 Ball State28141450%76.874.7+2.1
8 Central Michigan29131645%75.672.0+3.6
9 Bowling Green28121643%74.674.9-0.2
10 UMass28111739%73.174.5-1.4
11 Western Michigan28101836%72.476.8-4.4
12 Buffalo2882029%71.480.8-9.4
13 Northern Illinois2852318%71.077.0-6.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Bowling Green253661
Ball State242852
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.