PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Valparaiso vs Evansville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 70-63 (OT)
28-26 30-32 12-5
Position#170
Record11-12
FormWWLWL
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game70.3
vs
Position#362
Record5-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game74.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valparaiso v Evansville
22 Dec 2026
VALP v EVAN
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
VALP70
EVAN63
25 Jan 2025
VALP68
EVAN78
03 Feb 2024
VALP62
EVAN63
28 Jan 2023
VALP81
EVAN69
03 Mar 2022
VALP81
EVAN59
21 Feb 2022
VALP74
EVAN69
13 Jan 2021
VALP v EVAN
upcoming
05 Mar 2020
VALP58
EVAN55
26 Jan 2020
VALP67
EVAN65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valparaiso winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Evansville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ValparaisoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#203
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A01/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H04/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
77-71
77
71
+6
H08/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
79-92
79
92
-13
A10/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A14/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H17/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
69-63
69
63
+6
H22/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
77-78
77
78
-1
H29/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
76-72 OT
76
72
+4
A31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
25-36
45-39
31-32
35-27
35-23
42-48
36-45
43-47
39-41
35-37
22-18
32-26
39-20
30-43
38-42
39-36
27-37
39-29
33-40
32-32
141.1Avg total
70.7Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)71.170.3141.3+0.848%
Season at home (13)71.763.5135.2+8.269%
Season away (10)70.379.0149.3-8.720%
Last 10 (10)70.770.4141.1+0.350%
Last 5 (5)68.265.8134.0+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)65.470.6136.0-5.336%
vs Similar (14)71.672.6144.2-0.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)79.260.4139.6+18.880%
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#91
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A30/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
47-73
47
73
-26
A01/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
48-62
48
62
-14
H04/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H08/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
72-69
72
69
+3
A10/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
H14/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
49-76
49
76
-27
A21/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
55-71
55
71
-16
A31/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
63-84
63
84
-21
H04/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-31
33-45
28-46
19-27
18-34
30-28
30-42
39-37
35-38
37-31
36-29
43-50
20-34
29-42
36-30
42-52
21-41
34-30
29-46
34-38
140.5Avg total
63.9Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)67.074.5141.5-7.522%
Season at home (13)70.173.3143.4-3.223%
Season away (10)63.076.0139.0-13.020%
Last 10 (10)63.976.6140.5-12.710%
Last 5 (5)67.081.4148.4-14.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)65.775.6141.4-9.919%
vs Similar (1)54.071.0125.0-17.00%
vs Weaker (2)84.048.5132.5+35.5100%
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: -8.3-8.32nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -4.0-4.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -0.9-0.91st half: -8.3-8.32nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -4.0-4.0
ValparaisoEvansville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ValparaisoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Illinois
#203
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A01/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H04/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H08/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A10/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A14/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
22-18
22
18
+4
H17/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
39-20
39
20
+19
H22/01
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H29/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A31/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A04/02
NCAA
65.9Avg total
32.5Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.731.564.2+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.127.860.9+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)32.235.267.4-3.033%-
Last 10 (10)32.533.465.9-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)31.831.463.2+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.832.565.4+0.355%-
vs Similar (14)31.331.963.2-0.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)36.228.064.2+8.260%-
This opponent (Evansville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EvansvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#91
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A30/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A01/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
18-34
18
34
-16
H04/01
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H08/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A10/01
NCAA
Bradley
#91
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H14/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
20-34
20
34
-14
A21/01
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A29/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A31/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H04/02
NCAA
65.9Avg total
28.8Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.836.267.0-5.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.036.168.1-4.127%-
Last 30 away (15)29.536.465.9-6.927%-
Last 10 (10)28.837.165.9-8.330%-
Last 5 (5)28.436.064.4-7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)30.137.067.2-6.922%-
vs Similar (1)26.036.062.0-10.00%-
vs Weaker (2)41.525.567.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Valparaiso) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Valparaiso wins
5
Evansville wins
Valparaisolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/26ABradley65-72
31/01/26AIndiana State76-72 OT
29/01/26HBelmont77-78
22/01/26HSouthern Illinois69-63
17/01/26HNorthern Iowa54-44
14/01/26ABelmont74-78
10/01/26AMurray State79-92
08/01/26HIllinois State77-71
04/01/26HIllinois (Chi.)66-59
01/01/26ASouthern Illinois70-75
Evansvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/26HIndiana State63-84
31/01/26ANorthern Iowa55-71
29/01/26ADrake78-82
21/01/26AIllinois (Chi.)49-76
14/01/26HBradley90-94 OT
10/01/26AIndiana State72-69
08/01/26HMurray State69-79
04/01/26HNorthern Iowa48-62
01/01/26AIllinois State47-73
30/12/25ABradley68-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valparaiso
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL48%
HomeWWWWL69%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %48%69%20%
Points / game71.171.770.3
Allowed / game70.363.579.0
Point differential+0.8+8.2-8.7
Avg total141.3135.2149.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%31%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %9%0%20%
Evansville
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLLLLL23%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %22%23%20%
Points / game67.070.163.0
Allowed / game74.573.376.0
Point differential-7.5-3.2-13.0
Avg total141.5143.4139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%23%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)0% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont2521484%82.772.7+10.0
2 Murray State2417771%86.179.0+7.0
3 Bradley2416867%77.872.9+4.9
4 Illinois State2315865%76.366.4+9.9
5 Northern Iowa2314961%67.160.4+6.7
6 Illinois (Chi.)24131154%75.170.4+4.7
7 Drake24121250%77.774.2+3.5
8 Valparaiso23111248%71.170.3+0.8
9 Southern Illinois23101343%73.771.0+2.7
10 Indiana State24101442%75.774.7+1.0
11 Evansville2351822%67.074.5-7.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Valparaiso28301270
Evansville2632563
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.