Brasilia vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Brasilia host Botafogo on 2 November 2026 in the NBB, and the Pythia model rates Brasilia as the clear favourite, assigning a 91% chance to win and a 9% chance to Botafogo, a reflection of Brasilia's 3-1 record, 86.2 points scored and allowed per game, and sixth-place league position versus Botafogo's 1-3 record, 80.8 points scored and 84.8 allowed per game, and fourteenth place. In the last five outings Brasilia won three and lost two, including a 91-73 home victory over Paulistano, while Botafogo won only one of five, a 84-82 home win over Caxias do Sul, and suffered defeats to Uniao Corinthians, Pato and Minas. Their head-to-head history shows Brasilia with six wins to Botafogo's four, most recently triumphing 79-73 on 6 March 2026. The model projects an 88-73 score for the game, 160.9 total points, a home line of -14.5 with a 52% chance of covering, a total line of 166.5 with a 36% over probability, and a 2% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winLost

90.6%fair 1.10

Best odds1.10

Implied86.7%

Edge+3.9pp

Botafogo winWon

9.4%fair 10.63

Best odds6.89

Implied13.3%

Edge-3.9pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Brasilia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBrasilia

Date

Competition

Flamengo

72-69

61avg 72

H15/05

NBB

Franca

67-76

-9

59avg 72

A18/05

NBB

Franca

67-50

+17

61avg 72

H21/05

NBB

Franca

74-91

-17

70avg 72

H23/05

NBB

Franca

71-69

60avg 72

A26/05

NBB

Franca

66-68

-2

53avg 72

A28/05

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

#12

104-92

104

+12

109avg 72

H22/10

NBB

Paulistano

91-73

+18

85avg 72

H24/10

NBB

Cruzeiro

89-80

23avg 72

A27/10

NBB

Minas

61-100

100

-39

20avg 72

A29/10

NBB

21-12

22-22

14-19

15-16

17-19

13-25

20-13

24-7

9-19

17-12

12-28

27-20

18-16

17-27

17-10

15-20

17-14

22-25

15-21

11-21

21-16

19-10

29-28

17-17

31-27

27-20

29-22

25-16

18-16

19-19

16-21

16-28

30-11

27-20

12-26

21-17

19-24

9-33

153.0Avg total

76.2Scored

76.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	86.2	86.2	172.5	+0.0	75%
Season at home (2)	97.5	82.5	180.0	+15.0	100%
Season away (2)	75.0	90.0	165.0	-15.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	76.2	76.8	153.0	-0.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	82.2	82.6	164.8	-0.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	69.1	76.7	145.9	-7.6	29%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	86.2	82.1	168.2	+4.1	75%
vs Weaker (11)	77.1	67.6	144.7	+9.5	82%

This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Botafogo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBotafogo

Date

Competition

Minas

71-106

106

-35

56avg 66

H09/04

NBB

Flamengo

89-102

102

-13

83avg 66

H11/04

NBB

Vasco

#20

86-104

104

-18

80avg 66

A18/04

NBB

Franca

68-94

-26

59avg 66

A22/04

NBB

Franca

79-89

-10

70avg 66

H25/04

NBB

Franca

78-82

-4

71avg 66

H28/04

NBB

Flamengo

71-81

-10

65avg 66

A20/10

NBB

Pato

#16

88-89

-1

82avg 66

A24/10

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#18

84-82

81avg 66

H28/10

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#10

80-87

-7

no box

H30/10

NBB

28-28

15-32

14-23

22-22

18-25

21-29

28-26

25-24

28-22

13-29

20-29

17-37

16-21

20-17

15-19

35-23

18-26

15-21

11-19

23-11

21-29

14-22

20-20

14-22

22-27

21-20

14-12

26-22

22-16

13-27

27-24

22-24

14-16

25-21

23-21

22-26

24-18

17-19

17-24

171.0Avg total

79.4Scored

91.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	80.8	84.8	165.5	-4.0	25%
Season at home (2)	82.0	84.5	166.5	-2.5	50%
Season away (2)	79.5	85.0	164.5	-5.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	79.4	91.6	171.0	-12.2	10%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	84.2	164.4	-4.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	73.8	84.5	158.4	-10.7	23%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	80.5	88.5	169.0	-8.0	33%
vs Weaker (2)	86.0	85.5	171.5	+0.5	50%

This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 161.5Actual: Under 161.5

Over 161.5

48.2%

@ 1.50-14.5pp

Under 161.5

51.8%

@ 2.60+14.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.50

Bet365

1.45

Under

Bet365

2.60

Betano

2.37

Over/Under 166.5 · main lineActual: Under 166.5

Over 166.5

36.2%

@ 1.86-14.1pp

Under 166.5

63.8%

@ 1.95+14.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.86

Marathon Be

1.85

1xBet

1.85

Betano

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Under

Bet365

1.95

WilliamHill

1.91

Pinnacle

1.88

BetVictor

1.85

Betano

1.83

Over/Under 171.5Actual: Under 171.5

Over 171.5

25.5%

@ 2.37-14.7pp

Under 171.5

74.5%

@ 1.58+14.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.37

Bet365

2.22

Under

Bet365

1.58

Betano

1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Brasilia total 86.5Actual: Brasilia under 86.5

Over 86.5

56.2%

@ 1.42-7.2pp

Under 86.5

43.8%

@ 2.57+7.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.40

Under

Betano

2.57

1xBet

2.33

Brasilia total 90.5 · main lineActual: Brasilia under 90.5

Over 90.5

40.1%

@ 1.85-9.4pp

Under 90.5

59.9%

@ 1.86+9.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.85

Betano

1.85

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.80

1xBet

1.75

Under

Bet365

1.86

BetVictor

1.85

Betano

1.82

Marathon Be

1.81

1xBet

1.69

Brasilia total 94.5Actual: Brasilia under 94.5

Over 94.5

25.6%

@ 2.57-10.1pp

Under 94.5

74.4%

@ 1.42+10.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.57

1xBet

2.45

Under

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.37

Botafogo total 72Actual: Botafogo over 72

Over 72

53.0%

Under 72

47.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Botafogo total 76 · main lineActual: Botafogo over 76

Over 76

36.8%

@ 1.85-12.3pp

Under 76

63.2%

@ 1.81+12.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.85

1xBet

1.77

Under

Marathon Be

1.81

1xBet

1.68

Botafogo total 80Actual: Botafogo under 80

Over 80

22.9%

Under 80

77.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Brasilia -17.5Actual: Botafogo +17.5

BRAS -17.5

41.5%

@ 2.27+0.9pp

BOTA +17.5

58.5%

@ 1.58-0.9pp

Best 5 market prices

BRAS

Betano

2.27

1xBet

2.25

Bet365

2.22

BOTA

Bet365

1.58

Betano

1.55

Marathon Be

1.52

1xBet

1.46

Spread Brasilia -14.5 · main lineActual: Botafogo +14.5

BRAS -14.5

52.2%

@ 1.88+1.6pp

BOTA +14.5

47.8%

@ 1.89-1.6pp

Best 5 market prices

BRAS

BetVictor

1.88

Pinnacle

1.85

Betano

1.85

Marathon Be

1.84

1xBet

1.84

BOTA

Pinnacle

1.89

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.83

Bet365

1.83

Betfair

1.83

Spread Brasilia -11.5Actual: Botafogo +11.5

BRAS -11.5

62.7%

@ 1.57+3.8pp

BOTA +11.5

37.3%

@ 2.25-3.8pp

Best 5 market prices

BRAS

Betano

1.57

Bet365

1.57

Marathon Be

1.54

1xBet

1.47

BOTA

Bet365

2.25

1xBet

2.23

Betano

2.20

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

BrasiliaBotafogo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.5	39.5	+0.6	47%	30%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	18.8	40.5	+2.9	62%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-2.0	29%	29%
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	50%	20%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	23.6	43.8	-3.4	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.3	18.0	35.3	-0.7	43%	0%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.1	21.2	42.2	-0.1	42%	50%
vs Weaker (11)	20.7	18.5	39.3	+2.2	55%	27%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.9	42.7	+0.8	53%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.4	20.1	43.5	+3.3	60%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	21.7	41.9	-1.6	47%	53%
Last 10 (10)	23.4	23.9	47.3	-0.5	40%	80%
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	21.5	19.8	41.3	+1.7	59%	41%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	22.0	24.5	46.5	-2.5	33%	83%
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	23.0	47.0	+1.0	50%	100%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.25
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.7	43%	33%
Last 30 at home (16)	18.6	18.8	37.3	-0.2	44%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	18.9	36.6	-1.2	43%	36%
Last 10 (10)	18.0	19.9	37.9	-1.9	30%	30%
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	15.9	19.1	35.0	-3.3	29%	14%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.7	22.0	42.7	-1.3	42%	58%
vs Weaker (11)	16.9	15.2	32.1	+1.7	55%	18%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.25
Last 30 (30)	18.3	21.5	39.8	-3.2	30%	33%
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	21.9	39.9	-4.0	27%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	21.1	39.7	-2.5	33%	33%
Last 10 (10)	19.8	23.2	43.0	-3.4	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	17.7	22.0	39.7	-4.4	23%	32%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.5	21.3	41.8	-0.8	50%	50%
vs Weaker (2)	18.0	16.0	34.0	+2.0	50%	0%

BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Flamengo

43-34

H15/05

NBB

Franca

34-38

-4

A18/05

NBB

Franca

33-26

H21/05

NBB

Franca

39-48

-9

H23/05

NBB

Franca

32-30

A26/05

NBB

Franca

26-42

-16

A28/05

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

#12

46-45

H22/10

NBB

Paulistano

54-38

+16

H24/10

NBB

Cruzeiro

32-49

-17

A27/10

NBB

Minas

33-43

-10

A29/10

NBB

76.5Avg total

37.2Scored

39.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.25
Last 30 (30)	38.2	38.3	76.5	-0.1	50%	30%
Last 30 at home (16)	40.2	37.6	77.8	+2.7	62%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	35.9	39.1	75.1	-3.2	36%	21%
Last 10 (10)	37.2	39.3	76.5	-2.1	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	38.2	43.4	81.6	-5.2	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	33.1	37.1	70.3	-4.0	43%	14%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	41.8	43.2	84.9	-1.4	42%	50%
vs Weaker (11)	37.6	33.7	71.4	+3.9	64%	18%

This opponent (Botafogo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Minas

43-60

-17

H09/04

NBB

Flamengo

40-47

-7

H11/04

NBB

Vasco

#20

53-46

A18/04

NBB

Franca

33-58

-25

A22/04

NBB

Franca

53-49

H25/04

NBB

Franca

44-40

H28/04

NBB

Flamengo

36-49

-13

A20/10

NBB

Pato

#16

48-38

+10

A24/10

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#18

36-40

-4

H28/10

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#10

46-44

H30/10

NBB

90.3Avg total

43.2Scored

47.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 84.25
Last 30 (30)	40.0	42.4	82.5	-2.4	37%	40%
Last 30 at home (15)	41.3	42.1	83.4	-0.7	47%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	42.8	81.5	-4.1	27%	47%
Last 10 (10)	43.2	47.1	90.3	-3.9	50%	80%
Last 5 (5)	42.0	42.2	84.2	-0.2	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	39.2	41.8	81.0	-2.6	36%	32%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	42.5	45.8	88.3	-3.3	33%	67%
vs Weaker (2)	42.0	39.0	81.0	+3.0	50%	50%

This opponent (Brasilia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Botafogo win

BRAS win

no forecast

@ 1.23

BOTA win

no forecast

@ 4.58

1st half Spread Brasilia -8 · main lineActual: Botafogo +8

BRAS -8

no forecast

@ 1.88

BOTA +8

no forecast

@ 1.85

1st half Over/Under 84.25 · main lineActual: Under 84.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

Brasilia 1st half total 46 · main lineActual: Brasilia under 46

Over

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under

no forecast

@ 1.86

Botafogo 1st half total 38 · main lineActual: Botafogo under 38

Over

no forecast

@ 1.77

Under

no forecast

@ 1.89

1st half: BRAS + total 85.5

BRAS & over

no forecast

@ 2.50

BRAS & under

no forecast

@ 2.40

1st half: Draw + total 85.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 34.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 34.00

1st half: BOTA + total 85.5

BOTA & over

no forecast

@ 7.50

BOTA & under

no forecast

@ 7.25

1st half Over/Under 85.5Actual: Under 85.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.06

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Spread Brasilia -9Actual: Botafogo +9

BRAS -9

no forecast

@ 2.06

BOTA +9

no forecast

@ 1.69

1st half Spread Brasilia -7Actual: Botafogo +7

BRAS -7

no forecast

@ 1.72

BOTA +7

no forecast

@ 2.02

1st half Over/Under 82.5Actual: Under 82.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.67

Under

no forecast

@ 2.10

1st half Spread Brasilia -10.5Actual: Botafogo +10.5

BRAS -10.5

no forecast

@ 2.30

BOTA +10.5

no forecast

@ 1.57

1st half Spread Brasilia -5.5Actual: Botafogo +5.5

BRAS -5.5

no forecast

@ 1.62

BOTA +5.5

no forecast

@ 2.30

1st half Spread Brasilia -11.5Actual: Botafogo +11.5

BRAS -11.5

no forecast

@ 2.65

BOTA +11.5

no forecast

@ 1.43

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Botafogo (regulation)

BRAS

no forecast

@ 1.27

Draw

no forecast

@ 19.50

BOTA

no forecast

@ 4.81

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.1	39.5	+1.3	60%	47%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+2.1	75%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	20.0	40.4	+0.4	43%	57%
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	70%	30%
Last 5 (5)	23.8	18.8	42.6	+5.0	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.7	18.7	36.4	-1.0	57%	29%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	21.4	20.0	41.4	+1.4	58%	58%
vs Weaker (11)	21.0	18.5	39.5	+2.5	64%	45%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	17.5	21.9	39.4	-4.4	30%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	17.3	22.9	40.2	-5.5	20%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	20.9	38.6	-3.3	40%	53%
Last 10 (10)	17.3	22.8	40.1	-5.5	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.0	21.8	39.8	-3.8	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	17.1	21.9	39.0	-4.8	23%	41%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	18.3	21.2	39.5	-2.8	50%	50%
vs Weaker (2)	19.0	24.0	43.0	-5.0	50%	100%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (30)	19.7	17.5	37.2	+2.2	63%	27%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	18.8	39.4	+1.8	56%	31%
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	16.0	34.7	+2.7	71%	21%
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.5	38.7	-0.3	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.4	19.3	36.7	-1.9	57%	43%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	22.2	18.3	40.5	+3.8	67%	33%
vs Weaker (11)	18.5	15.5	33.9	+3.0	64%	9%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (30)	18.4	21.1	39.5	-2.6	33%	40%
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.4	40%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	22.1	40.4	-3.9	27%	47%
Last 10 (10)	18.9	21.7	40.6	-2.8	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	17.5	20.8	38.3	-3.3	27%	36%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	19.7	21.5	41.2	-1.8	33%	33%
vs Weaker (2)	25.0	22.5	47.5	+2.5	100%	100%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.75
Last 30 (30)	40.1	36.6	76.7	+3.5	53%	37%
Last 30 at home (16)	41.0	37.2	78.2	+3.8	56%	44%
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	36.0	75.1	+3.1	50%	29%
Last 10 (10)	39.0	37.5	76.5	+1.5	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	44.0	39.2	83.2	+4.8	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.1	38.0	73.1	-2.9	29%	14%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	43.6	38.3	81.9	+5.2	58%	58%
vs Weaker (11)	39.5	33.9	73.4	+5.5	64%	27%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.75
Last 30 (30)	35.9	43.0	78.9	-7.0	27%	37%
Last 30 at home (15)	35.9	42.9	78.8	-6.9	20%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	35.9	43.1	79.0	-7.1	33%	47%
Last 10 (10)	36.2	44.5	80.7	-8.3	20%	40%
Last 5 (5)	38.2	42.0	80.2	-3.8	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	34.6	42.7	77.4	-8.1	18%	32%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	38.0	42.7	80.7	-4.7	50%	33%
vs Weaker (2)	44.0	46.5	90.5	-2.5	50%	100%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

BRAS win + total 166.5

🔒 Pro

BOTA win + total 166.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: BRAS leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: BOTA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (BRAS:BOTA): BRAS wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 170	71.9%	1.62	Bet365 1.68	Marathon Bet 1.56	-	-	-	+17.0pp	Won
Under 171	74.0%	1.58	Bet365 1.62	Marathon Bet 1.55	-	-	-	+17.0pp	Won
Under 172	76.0%	1.55	Bet365 1.55	-	-	-	-	+16.2pp	Won
Under 174	79.7%	1.45	Bet365 1.45	-	-	-	-	+15.5pp	Won
Under 173	77.9%	1.50	Bet365 1.50	-	-	-	-	+15.4pp	Won
Under 171.5	74.5%	1.54	Bet365 1.58	Betano 1.50	-	-	-	+14.7pp	Won
Under 170.5	72.5%	1.58	Bet365 1.64	Betano 1.55	Marathon Bet 1.54	-	-	+14.6pp	Won
Under 172.5	76.4%	1.49	Bet365 1.54	Betano 1.44	-	-	-	+14.4pp	Won
Under 174.5	80.0%	1.40	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.38	-	-	-	+14.2pp	Won
Under 176.5	83.2%	1.34	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	-	+13.7pp	Won
Under 173.5	78.3%	1.43	Bet365 1.47	Betano 1.39	-	-	-	+13.7pp	Won
Botafogo under 83.5	85.3%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+13.4pp	Won
Botafogo under 81.5	80.5%	1.34	Bet365 1.41	1xBet 1.28	-	-	-	+13.0pp	Won
Under 169.5	70.4%	1.62	Bet365 1.71	Pinnacle 1.62	Marathon Bet 1.60	Betano 1.60	1xBet 1.58	+12.7pp	Won
Botafogo under 80.5	77.8%	1.38	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	+12.3pp	Won
Botafogo under 78.5	71.6%	1.50	Betano 1.55	1xBet 1.46	-	-	-	+12.0pp	Won
Under 181.5	89.7%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+11.9pp	Won
Botafogo under 79.5	74.8%	1.47	Bet365 1.57	Betano 1.45	1xBet 1.39	-	-	+11.8pp	Won
Brasilia under 100.5	89.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+11.8pp	Won
Brasilia under 95.5	77.5%	1.38	Bet365 1.44	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	+11.6pp	Won
Botafogo under 85.5	89.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+11.4pp	Won
Botafogo under 86.5	90.8%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+11.3pp	Won
Botafogo under 87.5	92.2%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Won
Brasilia under 94.5	74.4%	1.40	Betano 1.42	1xBet 1.37	-	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
Brasilia under 93.5	71.0%	1.50	Bet365 1.58	Betano 1.50	1xBet 1.43	-	-	+10.1pp	Won
Brasilia under 96.5	80.4%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	-	-	-	-	+9.7pp	Won
Under 186.5	94.0%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
Botafogo under 89.5	94.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
Botafogo under 91.5	96.2%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Brasilia under 110.5	98.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Botafogo under 96.5	98.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Brasilia (regulation)	89.2%	1.08	Betano 1.10	Marathon Bet 1.07	1xBet 1.07	-	-	+5.9pp	Lost
Overtime: no	97.9%	1.01	Betano 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.4pp	-
Brasilia -9	71.5%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Lost
Brasilia -7.5	75.4%	1.32	Betano 1.32	Bet365 1.32	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Lost
Brasilia -7	77.5%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Lost
Brasilia over 68.5	97.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Brasilia -8	74.6%	1.34	Bet365 1.34	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Lost
Brasilia -8.5	72.4%	1.37	Betano 1.37	Bet365 1.37	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Lost
Brasilia -6.5	78.2%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Lost
Brasilia over 72.5	94.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Brasilia over 69.5	96.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Brasilia +4.5	94.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Brasilia over 70.5	96.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Brasilia +10.5	98.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Won
Brasilia -4.5	83.2%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Lost
Brasilia over 71.5	95.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Brasilia win	90.6%	1.08	WilliamHill 1.10	Betano 1.09	Bet365 1.09	Betfair 1.08	Marathon Bet 1.07	+3.9pp	Lost
Brasilia over 74.5	91.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Brasilia over 76.5	87.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Lost
Brasilia over 73.5	92.8%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Brasilia over 78.5	83.2%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Lost
Botafogo +22	73.6%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Botafogo +22.5	74.4%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Botafogo +24.5	79.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Brasilia over 75.5	89.6%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+1.7pp	Won
Botafogo +21	70.6%	1.35	Bet365 1.35	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Botafogo +21.5	71.5%	1.32	Bet365 1.33	Betano 1.31	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Botafogo over 56.5	94.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+1.0pp	Won
Brasilia over 77.5	85.6%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Lost
Brasilia over 79.5	80.6%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-0.9pp	Lost
Brasilia over 80.5	77.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-1.8pp	Lost
Over 141.5	88.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	-2.4pp	Won
Brasilia over 81.5	74.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	-3.2pp	Lost
Botafogo over 63.5	82.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-4.9pp	Won
Over 146.5	81.1%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	-6.8pp	Won
Botafogo over 65.5	76.5%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-7.3pp	Won
Botafogo over 66.5	73.3%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-8.1pp	Won
Over 151.5	71.7%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	-10.6pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 67.9 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws9.8 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	31.2	15.7	50.3%	49.8%	31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	8.9	33.0%	31.6%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	13.3	9.8	73.7%	71.3%	9.8

They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 79.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.3	21.7	52.5%	49.8%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.7	8.1	31.5%	31.6%	24.3
🏀 Free throws	16.9	11.7	69.2%	71.3%	11.7

They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.0	16.3	50.9%	49.8%	32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	8.9	31.4%	31.6%	26.7
🏀 Free throws	16.6	12.1	72.9%	71.3%	12.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.5	19.3	57.6%	49.8%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	11.0	36.9%	31.6%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	17.1	13.6	79.5%	71.3%	13.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.5	17.7	52.8%	49.8%	35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.8	9.5	32.9%	31.6%	28.4
🏀 Free throws	16.7	11.8	70.8%	71.3%	11.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.7	20.2	51.0%	49.8%	40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	7.3	28.7%	31.6%	22.0
🏀 Free throws	18.2	12.4	67.8%	71.3%	12.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.5	16.9	51.8%	49.8%	33.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.4	9.5	30.3%	31.6%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	16.3	11.6	71.5%	71.3%	11.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.1	18.7	56.5%	49.8%	37.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.1	10.4	34.5%	31.6%	31.1
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.3	75.4%	71.3%	14.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Brasilia

LWWWLWLWLW

Botafogo

LWLLLLLLLL

League position

#13

-4.5

Net rating

-6.7

87.1

Offensive rating

91.9

91.6

Defensive rating

98.6

49.9%

Effective FG%

50.5%

49.2%

Opp. effective FG%

56.6%

15.8%

Turnover %

14.8%

0.23

Free-throw rate

0.25

33.0%

3-point %

31.5%

63.4%

Assist %

66.8%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

10%

Profile

■ Brasilia ■ Botafogo

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Brasilia wins

Botafogo wins

Date	Game	Score
06/03/26	Brasilia v Botafogo	79-73
18/11/25	Botafogo v Brasilia	70-82
17/03/25	Brasilia v Botafogo	94-71
05/12/24	Botafogo v Brasilia	67-89
10/03/24	Brasilia v Botafogo	106-108 OT
14/11/23	Botafogo v Brasilia	89-78
07/02/20	Botafogo v Brasilia	84-78
16/10/19	Brasilia v Botafogo	78-63
09/03/19	Botafogo v Brasilia	79-65
14/11/18	Brasilia v Botafogo	82-64

Brasilialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/10/26	A	Minas	61-100
27/10/26	A	Cruzeiro	89-80
24/10/26	H	Paulistano	91-73
22/10/26	H	Corinthians Paulista	104-92
28/05/26	A	Franca	66-68
26/05/26	A	Franca	71-69
23/05/26	H	Franca	74-91
21/05/26	H	Franca	67-50
18/05/26	A	Franca	67-76
15/05/26	H	Flamengo	72-69

Botafogolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/10/26	H	Uniao Corinthians	80-87
28/10/26	H	Caxias do Sul	84-82
24/10/26	A	Pato	88-89
20/10/26	A	Flamengo	71-81
28/04/26	H	Franca	78-82
25/04/26	H	Franca	79-89
22/04/26	A	Franca	68-94
18/04/26	A	Vasco	86-104
11/04/26	H	Flamengo	89-102
09/04/26	H	Minas	71-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWL	75%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	75%	100%	50%
Points / game	86.2	97.5	75.0
Allowed / game	86.2	82.5	90.0
Point differential	+0.0	+15.0	-15.0
Avg total	172.5	180.0	165.0
Over 166.5	50%	50%	50%
Win by 10+	50%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Botafogo

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWL	25%
Home	WL	50%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	25%	50%	0%
Points / game	80.8	82.0	79.5
Allowed / game	84.8	84.5	85.0
Point differential	-4.0	-2.5	-5.5
Avg total	165.5	166.5	164.5
Over 166.5	50%	50%	50%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Minas	4	4	0	100%	88.0	65.8	+22.2
2	Pinheiros	5	4	1	80%	83.6	66.8	+16.8
3	Unifacisa	4	3	1	75%	86.0	74.0	+12.0
4	Flamengo	4	3	1	75%	80.5	69.2	+11.2
5	Mogi	4	3	1	75%	78.8	73.5	+5.2
6	Brasilia	4	3	1	75%	86.2	86.2	+0.0
7	Paulistano	4	3	1	75%	75.2	75.5	-0.2
8	Franca	4	2	2	50%	72.5	69.0	+3.5
9	Cruzeiro	4	2	2	50%	75.5	75.2	+0.2
10	Bauru	4	2	2	50%	75.2	77.8	-2.5
11	Uniao Corinthians	5	2	3	40%	73.8	80.0	-6.2
12	Corinthians Paulista	3	1	2	33%	81.0	78.7	+2.3
13	Osasco	3	1	2	33%	79.0	84.7	-5.7
14	Botafogo	4	1	3	25%	80.8	84.8	-4.0
15	Pato	4	1	3	25%	74.0	82.5	-8.5
16	Caxias do Sul	5	0	5	0%	64.2	80.4	-16.2
17	Sao Jose	3	0	3	0%	70.0	90.0	-20.0
18	Cearense	2	0	2	0%	66.0	95.5	-29.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Brasilia	22	14	17	23	76
Botafogo	16	20	23	18	77

← all games of the day

Brasilia vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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