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Brasilia vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 106-108 (OT)
23-27 24-21 18-21 31-27 10-12
Position#19
Record4-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game85.9
vs
Position#15
Record7-23
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game86.5
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2023-24
Meetings · Brasilia v Botafogo
02 Nov 2026
BRAS76
BOTA77
06 Mar 2026
BRAS79
BOTA73
17 Mar 2025
BRAS94
BOTA71
10 Mar 2024
BRAS106
BOTA108
16 Oct 2019
BRAS78
BOTA63
14 Nov 2018
BRAS82
BOTA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
L
73-83
73
83
-10
60avg 57
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#12
L
65-77
65
77
-12
57avg 57
H06/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
68-111
68
111
-43
49avg 57
H17/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
64-87
64
87
-23
54avg 57
A22/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
W
92-88
92
88
+4
82avg 57
A24/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
59-73
59
73
-14
44avg 57
A07/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
67-79
67
79
-12
56avg 57
A09/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
74-86
74
86
-12
58avg 57
H17/02
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
73-95
73
95
-22
58avg 57
H01/03
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
84-89
84
89
-5
69avg 57
H08/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
18-20
21-20
19-25
19-15
16-26
15-12
15-24
19-34
16-25
22-22
11-30
8-28
21-18
22-18
13-23
24-21
26-29
18-20
24-18
18-23
7-19
20-15
14-16
14-23
19-23
20-14
14-19
28-20
11-19
14-23
21-24
15-22
19-28
21-25
18-20
19-26
27-22
13-23
25-18
158.7Avg total
71.9Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)71.385.9157.2-14.615%
Season at home (13)73.886.3160.2-12.515%
Season away (14)68.985.6154.5-16.614%
Last 10 (10)71.986.8158.7-14.910%
Last 5 (5)71.484.4155.8-13.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)71.387.0158.3-15.714%
vs Similar (1)64.091.0155.0-27.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Botafogo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
76-82
76
82
-6
65avg 65
H18/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
77-78
77
78
-1
74avg 65
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#12
L
86-97
86
97
-11
74avg 65
A24/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
78-102
78
102
-24
69avg 65
H06/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
86-98
86
98
-12
80avg 65
A09/02
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
65avg 65
A14/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
66-96
66
96
-30
55avg 65
A16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
90-93 OT
90
93
-3
no box
H29/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
84-87 OT
84
87
-3
no box
H05/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
82-79
82
79
+3
68avg 65
A08/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
17-27
19-22
16-21
23-20
19-25
24-14
11-19
19-24
30-27
23-26
14-20
22-31
21-21
22-26
13-24
21-18
28-30
20-26
17-24
15-16
16-20
23-30
21-18
19-29
14-28
20-16
13-23
19-17
23-24
17-22
18-14
17-22
21-18
21-22
15-12
19-23
20-11
23-20
20-25
169.6Avg total
80.0Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)77.786.5164.2-8.823%
Season at home (15)78.985.9164.8-6.927%
Season away (15)76.587.1163.5-10.620%
Last 10 (10)80.089.6169.6-9.610%
Last 5 (5)79.487.8167.2-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)77.388.1165.5-10.826%
vs Similar (6)77.281.5158.7-4.30%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)89.078.0167.0+11.0100%
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -4.2-4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.1-5.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -4.2-4.2
BrasiliaBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#8
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#12
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H06/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
35-59
35
59
-24
H17/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A22/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A24/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A07/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A09/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H17/02
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
34-50
34
50
-16
H01/03
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H08/03
NBB
81.8Avg total
35.9Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.144.480.5-8.317%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.842.780.5-4.823%-
Last 30 away (17)34.845.780.5-10.912%-
Last 10 (10)35.945.981.8-10.00%-
Last 5 (5)35.445.080.4-9.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)36.144.280.4-8.117%-
vs Similar (1)35.049.084.0-14.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Botafogo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H18/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#12
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A24/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H06/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A09/02
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A14/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
33-57
33
57
-24
A16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H29/02
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H05/03
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/03
NBB
85.0Avg total
40.7Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.742.881.5-4.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.943.584.4-2.733%-
Last 30 away (15)36.542.078.5-5.540%-
Last 10 (10)40.744.385.0-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)36.641.678.2-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)38.044.382.3-6.230%-
vs Similar (6)38.837.876.7+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)53.038.091.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Brasilia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 70.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.016.4
44.3%
51.8%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.0
33.5%
33.9%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.811.1
70.3%
72.6%11.1
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.316.6
45.7%
51.8%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.9
33.8%
33.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws20.113.5
67.2%
72.6%13.5
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
LLLLLWLLLL
Botafogo
WLLLLLLLLL
#19
League position
#15
-20.5
Net rating
-19.6
96.5
Offensive rating
97.0
117.0
Defensive rating
116.6
46.8%
Effective FG%
47.8%
57.6%
Opp. effective FG%
56.9%
16.3%
Turnover %
17.8%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.5%
3-point %
33.8%
53.9%
Assist %
64.3%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 97.0Defence117.0 · 116.6Shooting46.8% · 47.8%3-point %33.5% · 33.8%Ball care16.3% · 17.8%Off. rebounds23.4% · 23.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)10% · 10%
■ Brasilia   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brasilia wins
3
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
14/11/23Botafogo v Brasilia89-78
07/02/20Botafogo v Brasilia84-78
16/10/19Brasilia v Botafogo78-63
09/03/19Botafogo v Brasilia79-65
14/11/18Brasilia v Botafogo82-64
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/24HVasco84-89
01/03/24HCerrado73-95
17/02/24HFlamengo74-86
09/02/24ACaxias do Sul67-79
07/02/24AUniao Corinthians59-73
24/01/24APinheiros92-88
22/01/24ACorinthians Paulista64-87
17/01/24HMinas68-111
06/01/24HPato65-77
29/12/23ACearense73-83
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/24ACerrado82-79
05/03/24HMogi84-87 OT
29/02/24HSao Jose90-93 OT
16/02/24AUnifacisa66-96
14/02/24ACearense75-84
09/02/24AVasco86-98
06/02/24HFlamengo78-102
24/01/24APato86-97
20/01/24HUniao Corinthians77-78
18/01/24HCaxias do Sul76-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeLLLLL15%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %15%15%14%
Points / game71.373.868.9
Allowed / game85.986.385.6
Point differential-14.6-12.5-16.6
Avg total157.2160.2154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Botafogo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW23%
HomeLLLLL27%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %23%27%20%
Points / game77.778.976.5
Allowed / game86.585.987.1
Point differential-8.8-6.9-10.6
Avg total164.2164.8163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %7%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo2723485%85.974.0+11.9
2 Franca2622485%88.076.0+12.0
3 Minas2721678%87.173.9+13.2
4 Vasco2922776%77.072.1+4.9
5 Bauru29191066%80.578.7+1.8
6 Paulistano27171063%74.271.5+2.7
7 Unifacisa30181260%83.479.3+4.1
8 Sao Jose28151354%80.177.5+2.6
9 Corinthians Paulista28151354%80.478.6+1.8
10 Cearense29151452%78.777.4+1.3
11 Sao Paulo27131448%78.880.5-1.7
12 Pinheiros28131546%75.677.2-1.6
13 Pato30121840%76.779.9-3.2
14 Uniao Corinthians28101836%75.383.1-7.8
15 Cerrado2882029%75.676.9-1.2
16 Caxias do Sul2982128%72.179.8-7.8
17 Botafogo3072323%77.786.5-8.8
18 Mogi2962321%73.180.6-7.5
19 Brasilia2742315%71.385.9-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Brasilia2324183110106
Botafogo2721212712108
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