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Brasilia vs Botafogo Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 17 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 94-71
24-14 22-18 24-22 24-17
Position#6
Record18-10
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#18
Record8-19
FormLLWWL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game80.5
BrazilNBB· Arena BRB Nilson Nelson
Other2024-25
Meetings · Brasilia v Botafogo
02 Nov 2026
BRAS76
BOTA77
06 Mar 2026
BRAS79
BOTA73
17 Mar 2025
BRAS94
BOTA71
10 Mar 2024
BRAS106
BOTA108
16 Oct 2019
BRAS78
BOTA63
14 Nov 2018
BRAS82
BOTA64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brasilia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Botafogo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrasiliaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrasilia
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
L
71-89
71
89
-18
53avg 70
A13/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
74-70
74
70
+4
64avg 70
H22/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#5
W
85-75
85
75
+10
83avg 70
H25/01
Super 8
Minas
#2
L
58-61
58
61
-3
47avg 70
A28/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#11
L
67-80
67
80
-13
61avg 70
A05/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
84-62
84
62
+22
73avg 70
A07/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
81avg 70
H12/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
95-71
95
71
+24
98avg 70
H14/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
72-70
72
70
+2
67avg 70
H26/02
NBB
Pato
#14
L
80-98
80
98
-18
44avg 70
A14/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-28
25-17
14-27
15-17
9-15
18-14
21-13
26-28
24-18
21-21
20-16
20-20
10-17
18-18
15-7
15-19
20-20
20-11
11-26
16-23
26-21
14-9
29-15
15-17
21-20
20-14
12-21
30-22
25-16
24-22
27-20
19-13
19-21
21-22
18-14
14-13
15-25
24-22
19-28
22-23
152.2Avg total
76.9Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.180.3162.4+1.864%
Season at home (13)82.878.6161.5+4.285%
Season away (15)81.481.7163.1-0.347%
Last 10 (10)76.975.3152.2+1.660%
Last 5 (5)82.875.6158.4+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.882.2161.0-3.525%
vs Similar (18)82.281.2163.4+0.961%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)80.374.0154.3+6.386%
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBotafogo
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
W
97-85
97
85
+12
96avg 65
H27/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
63-75
63
75
-12
56avg 65
A09/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
79-84
79
84
-5
70avg 65
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
71-83
71
83
-12
64avg 65
H16/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 65
H20/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
67-78
67
78
-11
59avg 65
A06/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
77-90
77
90
-13
69avg 65
A08/02
NBB
Pato
#14
W
91-76
91
76
+15
86avg 65
H16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
71-68
71
68
+3
61avg 65
H03/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
66-80
66
80
-14
54avg 65
A13/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
22-15
22-25
28-29
10-20
18-24
14-12
21-19
23-24
16-18
20-22
20-20
17-30
18-15
15-15
21-23
20-17
17-18
19-21
18-27
11-24
21-19
19-12
16-23
27-24
20-18
10-32
20-16
26-29
24-27
19-13
22-7
18-27
17-14
15-16
21-11
20-18
13-23
19-19
14-20
155.8Avg total
75.6Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)73.180.5153.6-7.430%
Season at home (14)73.780.4154.1-6.636%
Season away (13)72.580.6153.1-8.223%
Last 10 (10)75.680.2155.8-4.630%
Last 5 (5)74.478.4152.8-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)73.382.3155.6-9.025%
vs Similar (6)75.072.8147.8+2.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +0.6+0.6
BrasiliaBotafogo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrasiliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A13/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H22/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#5
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H25/01
Super 8
Minas
#2
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A28/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A05/02
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A07/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H12/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H14/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H26/02
NBB
Pato
#14
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A14/03
NBB
76.2Avg total
39.1Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.439.681.0+1.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.040.083.0+3.057%-
Last 30 away (16)39.939.379.2+0.631%-
Last 10 (10)39.137.176.2+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.480.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.239.576.8-2.225%-
vs Similar (18)41.140.781.8+0.339%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)44.037.081.0+7.057%-
This opponent (Botafogo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BotafogoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogi
#16
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H27/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A09/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A11/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H16/01
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A06/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A08/02
NBB
Pato
#14
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H03/03
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A13/03
NBB
80.3Avg total
38.3Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.741.377.0-5.627%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.541.678.1-5.131%-
Last 30 away (14)34.740.975.6-6.221%-
Last 10 (10)38.342.080.3-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.444.684.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)35.343.378.7-8.017%-
vs Similar (6)37.033.270.2+3.867%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brasilia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brasiliatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brasilia: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.516.4
52.1%
50.9%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.3
30.3%
33.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.415.2
78.4%
72.7%15.2
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Botafogotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Botafogo: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.7
51.4%
50.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.06.9
32.9%
33.0%20.7
🏀 Free throws19.512.5
64.1%
72.7%12.5
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brasilia
LWWWWLLWWL
Botafogo
LWWLLLLLLW
#6
League position
#18
+1.9
Net rating
-6.5
103.6
Offensive rating
98.9
101.6
Defensive rating
105.4
48.8%
Effective FG%
50.7%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
14.6%
Turnover %
19.9%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.3%
3-point %
32.9%
62.6%
Assist %
60.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.6 · 98.9Defence101.6 · 105.4Shooting48.8% · 50.7%3-point %30.3% · 32.9%Ball care14.6% · 19.9%Off. rebounds21.9% · 26.8%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Brasilia   ■ Botafogo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Brasilia wins
4
Botafogo wins
DateGameScore
05/12/24Botafogo v Brasilia67-89
10/03/24Brasilia v Botafogo106-108 OT
14/11/23Botafogo v Brasilia89-78
07/02/20Botafogo v Brasilia84-78
16/10/19Brasilia v Botafogo78-63
09/03/19Botafogo v Brasilia79-65
14/11/18Brasilia v Botafogo82-64
Brasilialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/03/25APato80-98
26/02/25HPinheiros72-70
14/02/25HUniao Corinthians95-71
12/02/25HCaxias do Sul83-77
07/02/25ACearense84-62
05/02/25AUnifacisa67-80
28/01/25AMinas58-61
25/01/25HUniao Corinthians85-75
22/01/25HCorinthians Paulista74-70
13/01/25AMogi71-89
Botafogolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/25AVasco66-80
03/03/25HSao Jose71-68
16/02/25HPato91-76
08/02/25AUniao Corinthians77-90
06/02/25ACaxias do Sul67-78
20/01/25HCearense74-83
16/01/25HUnifacisa71-83
11/01/25ACorinthians Paulista79-84
09/01/25APinheiros63-75
27/12/24HMogi97-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brasilia
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL64%
HomeWWWWW85%
AwayLLLWL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %64%85%47%
Points / game82.182.881.4
Allowed / game80.378.681.7
Point differential+1.8+4.2-0.3
Avg total162.4161.5163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%15%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)88% (8)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Botafogo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL30%
HomeWLLWW36%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %30%36%23%
Points / game73.173.772.5
Allowed / game80.580.480.6
Point differential-7.4-6.6-8.2
Avg total153.6154.1153.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2521484%82.271.6+10.6
2 Flamengo2620677%84.373.9+10.4
3 Brasilia28181064%82.180.3+1.8
4 Franca2516964%83.478.3+5.0
5 Uniao Corinthians26151158%79.178.8+0.3
6 Vasco28161257%77.175.7+1.5
7 Bauru28161257%78.278.5-0.2
8 Pinheiros28141450%75.975.3+0.6
9 Unifacisa28141450%75.575.3+0.2
10 Sao Jose28141450%78.178.2-0.2
11 Corinthians Paulista29141548%80.679.1+1.4
12 Paulistano27131448%78.976.2+2.6
13 Sao Paulo29111838%75.979.4-3.6
14 Caxias do Sul27101737%74.779.0-4.3
15 Pato28101836%82.384.8-2.5
16 Mogi2992031%74.081.4-7.4
17 Botafogo2781930%73.180.5-7.4
18 Cearense2882029%71.878.1-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brasilia2422242494
Botafogo1418221771
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