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Breogan vs Gran Canaria Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Oct 2022
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 53-71
10-18 8-21 20-16 15-16
Position#10
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#7
Record2-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.7
Allowed / game75.7
SpainACBRound 4
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Breogan v Gran Canaria
08 Nov 2025
BRE81
GKA92
25 May 2025
BRE74
GKA82
20 Apr 2024
BRE70
GKA77
16 Oct 2022
BRE53
GKA71
06 Nov 2021
BRE76
GKA66
12 May 2019
BRE77
GKA92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gran Canaria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
65-90
65
90
-25
52avg 75
A17/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
82-85
82
85
-3
76avg 75
H23/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
86-84
86
84
+2
81avg 75
A01/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
72-74
72
74
-2
57avg 75
H07/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
65-88
65
88
-23
58avg 75
A10/05
ACB
Unicaja
#12
W
93-84
93
84
+9
93avg 75
H14/05
ACB
FMP Beograd
#6
L
64-76
64
76
-12
51avg 75
A21/09
Champions League
Murcia
#9
W
84-70
84
70
+14
78avg 75
A29/09
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 75
H02/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
66-85
66
85
-19
58avg 75
A08/10
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
16-27
16-24
20-13
14-15
22-20
20-22
26-28
21-20
19-24
22-24
24-16
26-15
22-15
18-22
6-22
21-21
9-21
17-24
18-22
29-12
26-20
22-24
16-28
17-20
17-12
13-23
17-21
22-17
17-17
18-17
27-19
22-17
8-16
16-21
32-16
27-20
21-22
5-21
13-22
156.1Avg total
75.5Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.075.0151.0+1.067%
Season at home (1)78.070.0148.0+8.0100%
Season away (2)75.077.5152.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)75.580.6156.1-5.140%
Last 5 (5)77.077.0154.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)67.783.0150.7-15.30%
vs Similar (21)85.087.0172.0-2.052%
vs Weaker (4)86.583.8170.2+2.850%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Breogan
#10
L
84-86
84
86
-2
77avg 74
H01/05
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
89-83
89
83
+6
78avg 74
H08/05
ACB
Real Betis
#13
L
86-93
86
93
-7
73avg 74
A10/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
83-91
83
91
-8
72avg 74
H14/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
82-93
82
93
-11
67avg 74
A27/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
86-88
86
88
-2
76avg 74
H29/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
W
88-85
88
85
+3
83avg 74
H30/09
ACB
Unicaja
#4
L
63-70
63
70
-7
57avg 74
A02/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
88-72
88
72
+16
80avg 74
H08/10
ACB
Slask Wroclaw
#20
W
92-81
92
81
+11
82avg 74
H12/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
24-19
24-22
16-24
31-23
18-24
28-12
12-24
28-18
17-21
14-29
27-25
17-23
22-26
18-21
26-21
17-24
22-24
25-19
18-26
18-15
28-26
20-22
20-25
19-21
29-19
22-25
18-20
18-11
18-17
10-27
17-15
22-17
16-14
29-21
21-20
20-24
20-17
24-23
28-17
168.3Avg total
84.1Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.775.7155.3+4.067%
Season at home (2)88.078.5166.5+9.5100%
Season away (1)63.070.0133.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)84.184.2168.3-0.140%
Last 5 (5)83.479.2162.6+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)81.785.2166.9-3.633%
vs Similar (9)82.779.8162.4+2.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.177.5159.6+4.658%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -5.5-5.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: -1.4-1.4
BreoganGran Canaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Madrid
#1
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A17/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H23/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A01/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H07/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A10/05
ACB
Unicaja
#12
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H14/05
ACB
FMP Beograd
#6
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A21/09
Champions League
Murcia
#9
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A29/09
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#18
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H02/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A08/10
ACB
76.6Avg total
38.9Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.640.179.7-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.839.481.2+2.462%-
Last 30 away (17)37.940.678.5-2.835%-
Last 10 (10)38.937.776.6+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.234.675.8+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)41.741.783.3+0.067%-
vs Similar (21)40.140.580.7-0.443%-
vs Weaker (4)38.538.577.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#10
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H01/05
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H08/05
ACB
Real Betis
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A10/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H14/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A27/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H29/05
ACB
Barcelona
#1
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H30/09
ACB
Unicaja
#4
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A02/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#13
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H08/10
ACB
Slask Wroclaw
#20
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H12/10
Eurocup
82.8Avg total
42.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.380.5-0.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.739.080.7+2.769%-
Last 30 away (14)38.441.980.2-3.543%-
Last 10 (10)42.440.482.8+2.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.636.277.8+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.244.083.2-4.844%-
vs Similar (9)39.440.479.9-1.044%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.337.578.8+3.875%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.2
50.6%
52.1%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.66.7
29.6%
34.5%20.1
🏀 Free throws19.113.8
72.3%
73.9%13.8
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 83.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.420.7
55.3%
52.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.6
34.0%
34.5%25.8
🏀 Free throws20.816.3
78.4%
73.9%16.3
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LWWLWLLWLL
Gran Canaria
WWLWLLLLWL
#10
League position
#7
-7.5
Net rating
+0.9
102.0
Offensive rating
110.9
109.5
Defensive rating
110.0
48.4%
Effective FG%
53.6%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
20.1%
Turnover %
17.1%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
27.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.6%
3-point %
34.0%
55.8%
Assist %
50.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 110.9Defence109.5 · 110.0Shooting48.4% · 53.6%3-point %29.6% · 34.0%Ball care20.1% · 17.1%Off. rebounds33.9% · 27.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Breogan   ■ Gran Canaria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Breogan wins
2
Gran Canaria wins
DateGameScore
01/05/22Gran Canaria v Breogan84-86
06/11/21Breogan v Gran Canaria76-66
12/05/19Breogan v Gran Canaria77-92
07/10/18Gran Canaria v Breogan96-72
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/22AJoventut Badalona66-85
02/10/22HFuenlabrada78-70
29/09/22AMurcia84-70
21/09/22AFMP Beograd64-76
14/05/22HUnicaja93-84
10/05/22AFuenlabrada65-88
07/05/22HBarcelona72-74
01/05/22AGran Canaria86-84
23/04/22HBasket Zaragoza82-85
17/04/22AReal Madrid65-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/22HSlask Wroclaw92-81
08/10/22HBasket Zaragoza88-72
02/10/22AUnicaja63-70
30/09/22HBarcelona88-85
29/05/22HBarcelona86-88
27/05/22ABarcelona82-93
14/05/22HReal Madrid83-91
10/05/22AReal Betis86-93
08/05/22HValencia89-83
01/05/22HBreogan84-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game76.078.075.0
Allowed / game75.070.077.5
Point differential+1.0+8.0-2.5
Avg total151.0148.0152.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gran Canaria
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game79.788.063.0
Allowed / game75.778.570.0
Point differential+4.0+9.5-7.0
Avg total155.3166.5133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife440100%84.070.8+13.2
2 Real Madrid330100%87.779.3+8.3
3 Barcelona43175%89.874.0+15.8
4 Granada43175%88.883.5+5.2
5 Bilbao43175%80.277.5+2.8
6 Gran Canaria32167%79.775.7+4.0
7 Breogan32167%76.075.0+1.0
8 Valencia32167%83.082.0+1.0
9 Obradoiro CAB42250%77.878.8-1.0
10 Joventut Badalona31233%86.082.7+3.3
11 Murcia31233%77.779.0-1.3
12 Baskonia31233%85.387.7-2.3
13 Unicaja31233%76.780.7-4.0
14 Real Betis41325%78.083.5-5.5
15 Fuenlabrada41325%72.580.5-8.0
16 Manresa41325%79.590.2-10.8
17 Basket Zaragoza3030%69.781.7-12.0
18 Basquet Girona3030%72.786.3-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan108201553
Gran Canaria1821161671
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