PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Breogan vs Gran Canaria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 70-77 (OT)
13-16 20-12 17-19 8-11 12-19
Position#16
Record8-21
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#7
Record18-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game81.6
SpainACBRound 30· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Breogan v Gran Canaria
08 Nov 2025
BRE81
GKA92
25 May 2025
BRE74
GKA82
20 Apr 2024
BRE70
GKA77
16 Oct 2022
BRE53
GKA71
06 Nov 2021
BRE76
GKA66
12 May 2019
BRE77
GKA92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gran Canaria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
L
68-83
68
83
-15
58avg 64
A27/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
61-63
61
63
-2
48avg 64
A03/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
64avg 64
H11/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
70-78
70
78
-8
59avg 64
A02/03
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
65-76
65
76
-11
61avg 64
H09/03
ACB
Barcelona
#3
W
88-85
88
85
+3
82avg 64
A17/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
72-83
72
83
-11
60avg 64
A23/03
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
68-80
68
80
-12
59avg 64
H30/03
ACB
Palencia
#18
W
73-65
73
65
+8
46avg 64
H06/04
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
74-76
74
76
-2
73avg 64
A14/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-15
16-25
23-22
17-21
17-11
11-20
12-16
21-16
24-15
18-24
15-15
16-26
14-16
16-24
19-20
21-18
13-17
20-17
13-22
19-20
26-23
20-24
21-25
21-13
14-25
13-16
23-21
22-21
9-16
23-21
16-19
20-24
16-16
17-19
15-12
25-18
27-13
12-20
19-18
16-25
148.1Avg total
71.2Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)73.879.3153.1-5.428%
Season at home (14)76.678.5155.1-1.936%
Season away (15)71.380.0151.3-8.720%
Last 10 (10)71.276.9148.1-5.720%
Last 5 (5)75.077.8152.8-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)70.682.7153.2-12.111%
vs Similar (19)79.080.1159.1-1.142%
vs Weaker (2)69.071.0140.0-2.050%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Palencia
#18
L
58-82
58
82
-24
44avg 78
A10/02
ACB
Valencia
#3
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
no box
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Baskonia
#8
W
98-80
98
80
+18
92avg 78
H03/03
ACB
Besiktas
#10
L
78-80
78
80
-2
77avg 78
H06/03
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
111-85
111
85
+26
113avg 78
H09/03
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
71-78
71
78
-7
54avg 78
A16/03
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
92-93
92
93
-1
79avg 78
A24/03
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
79-71
79
71
+8
67avg 78
H31/03
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
71-81
71
81
-10
54avg 78
A06/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
97-92
97
92
+5
91avg 78
H14/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
12-25
11-21
15-16
18-17
17-15
19-16
23-29
26-22
22-17
20-18
30-23
22-14
14-22
21-18
21-26
21-12
26-15
30-27
34-31
16-20
16-21
20-22
19-15
17-29
29-20
24-19
22-25
18-26
20-11
13-19
28-15
21-19
13-17
13-24
24-21
24-28
15-19
28-17
30-28
166.7Avg total
83.6Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)84.581.6166.1+2.962%
Season at home (15)89.979.1169.0+10.987%
Season away (14)78.784.4163.1-5.636%
Last 10 (10)83.683.1166.7+0.540%
Last 5 (5)82.083.0165.0-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)82.784.7167.3-2.033%
vs Similar (9)88.482.4170.9+6.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.981.3168.2+5.653%
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
BreoganGran Canaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A27/01
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A03/02
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H11/02
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A02/03
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H09/03
ACB
Barcelona
#3
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A17/03
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A23/03
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H30/03
ACB
Palencia
#18
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H06/04
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A14/04
ACB
71.5Avg total
33.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.240.276.5-4.027%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.938.476.2-0.536%-
Last 30 away (16)34.841.976.7-7.119%-
Last 10 (10)33.837.771.5-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)35.438.674.0-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.241.278.4-4.033%-
vs Similar (19)36.340.076.3-3.726%-
vs Weaker (2)31.538.069.5-6.50%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Palencia
#18
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A10/02
ACB
Valencia
#3
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Baskonia
#8
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H03/03
ACB
Besiktas
#10
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H06/03
Eurocup
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H09/03
ACB
Manresa
#9
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A16/03
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A24/03
ACB
Valencia
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H31/03
ACB
Bilbao
#13
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A06/04
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H14/04
ACB
77.6Avg total
38.7Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.640.783.3+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.039.784.7+5.369%-
Last 30 away (14)39.841.981.7-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)38.738.977.6-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.079.8-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.043.385.3-1.333%-
vs Similar (9)41.242.383.6-1.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)43.839.983.8+3.965%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 70.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.815.1
47.5%
53.0%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.5
29.8%
34.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.614.7
71.4%
75.6%14.7
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.319.6
54.0%
53.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.2
32.6%
34.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws21.215.4
72.6%
75.6%15.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LWLLWLLLLL
Gran Canaria
WLWLLWLWLL
#16
League position
#7
-7.9
Net rating
+0.0
98.0
Offensive rating
111.2
105.9
Defensive rating
111.2
46.2%
Effective FG%
51.8%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
19.5%
Turnover %
15.9%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.8%
3-point %
32.6%
66.9%
Assist %
57.6%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence98.0 · 111.2Defence105.9 · 111.2Shooting46.2% · 51.8%3-point %29.8% · 32.6%Ball care19.5% · 15.9%Off. rebounds31.3% · 31.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Breogan   ■ Gran Canaria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Breogan wins
5
Gran Canaria wins
DateGameScore
30/12/23Gran Canaria v Breogan86-60
15/04/23Gran Canaria v Breogan77-66
16/10/22Breogan v Gran Canaria53-71
01/05/22Gran Canaria v Breogan84-86
06/11/21Breogan v Gran Canaria76-66
12/05/19Breogan v Gran Canaria77-92
07/10/18Gran Canaria v Breogan96-72
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24ABaskonia74-76
06/04/24HPalencia73-65
30/03/24HBilbao68-80
23/03/24AObradoiro CAB72-83
17/03/24ABarcelona88-85
09/03/24HUnicaja65-76
02/03/24AJoventut Badalona70-78
11/02/24HReal Madrid73-80
03/02/24ABasket Zaragoza61-63
27/01/24AManresa68-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/24HMoraBanc Andorra97-92
06/04/24ABilbao71-81
31/03/24HValencia79-71
24/03/24ATenerife92-93
16/03/24AManresa71-78
09/03/24HBasket Zaragoza111-85
06/03/24HBesiktas78-80
03/03/24HBaskonia98-80
15/02/24HValencia81-89 OT
10/02/24APalencia58-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL28%
HomeWLLLW36%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %28%36%20%
Points / game73.876.671.3
Allowed / game79.378.580.0
Point differential-5.4-1.9-8.7
Avg total153.1155.1151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)25% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Gran Canaria
ACB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW62%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %62%87%36%
Points / game84.589.978.7
Allowed / game81.679.184.4
Point differential+2.9+10.9-5.6
Avg total166.1169.0163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%47%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja2924583%88.176.5+11.6
2 Real Madrid2924583%87.978.9+9.0
3 Barcelona2920969%87.580.2+7.3
4 Tenerife29191066%84.880.1+4.7
5 Murcia29191066%84.279.7+4.6
6 Gran Canaria29181162%84.581.6+2.9
7 Valencia29181162%83.181.0+2.1
8 Manresa29171259%84.183.7+0.4
9 Baskonia29161355%87.287.4-0.1
10 Joventut Badalona29141548%81.385.7-4.3
11 Bilbao29131645%79.681.4-1.9
12 Basket Zaragoza29111838%82.685.8-3.2
13 MoraBanc Andorra29101934%82.784.2-1.5
14 Basquet Girona29101934%80.185.9-5.8
15 Breogan2982128%73.879.3-5.4
16 Granada2982128%80.787.0-6.4
17 Obradoiro CAB2972224%80.685.6-5.0
18 Palencia2952417%78.186.9-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Breogan13201781270
Gran Canaria161219111977
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.