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Breogan vs Gran Canaria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-92
11-23 26-26 27-28 17-15
Position#11
Record2-3
FormLLWLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game91.6
vs
Position#15
Record2-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game82.4
SpainACBRound 6· Pazo dos Deportes
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Breogan v Gran Canaria
08 Nov 2025
BRE81
GKA92
25 May 2025
BRE74
GKA82
20 Apr 2024
BRE70
GKA77
16 Oct 2022
BRE53
GKA71
06 Nov 2021
BRE76
GKA66
12 May 2019
BRE77
GKA92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Gran Canaria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
W
104-93
104
93
+11
90avg 72
A03/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
69-79
69
79
-10
56avg 72
H11/05
ACB
Granada
#17
L
82-91
82
91
-9
67avg 72
A17/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
74-82
74
82
-8
59avg 72
H25/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
61-108
61
108
-47
40avg 72
A30/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
L
68-87
68
87
-19
45avg 72
A04/10
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
90-113
90
113
-23
75avg 72
H12/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 72
A18/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
85-100
85
100
-15
71avg 72
A25/10
ACB
Granada
#18
W
95-74
95
74
+21
82avg 72
H01/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-15
29-20
26-26
19-32
13-24
14-10
27-25
15-20
16-23
24-26
18-22
24-20
18-27
18-13
17-32
21-10
13-25
18-22
12-29
18-32
15-23
15-22
16-19
22-23
27-19
20-35
27-30
16-29
16-19
27-24
23-24
22-17
18-28
23-16
26-28
18-28
38-14
13-22
20-17
24-21
172.7Avg total
81.6Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)85.291.6176.8-6.440%
Season at home (2)92.593.5186.0-1.050%
Season away (3)80.390.3170.7-10.033%
Last 10 (10)81.691.1172.7-9.530%
Last 5 (5)85.291.6176.8-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)81.389.3170.6-8.038%
vs Similar ◀ (6)85.788.0173.7-2.350%
vs Weaker (3)83.781.7165.3+2.067%
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCanaria
Date
Competition
Valencia
#2
L
94-102 OT
94
102
-8
84avg 75
H04/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
71-81
71
81
-10
66avg 75
A05/10
ACB
Benfica
#40
W
98-61
98
61
+37
96avg 75
A07/10
Champions League
Unicaja
#9
L
72-81
72
81
-9
62avg 75
H11/10
ACB
Le Mans
#14
W
73-68
73
68
+5
66avg 75
H15/10
Champions League
Manresa
#10
W
87-80
87
80
+7
80avg 75
A18/10
ACB
Spartak Subotica
#28
W
93-83
93
83
+10
86avg 75
A21/10
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#12
L
81-85
81
85
-4
71avg 75
A26/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
102-85
102
85
+17
92avg 75
H01/11
ACB
Spartak Subotica
#28
W
77-62
77
62
+15
70avg 75
H05/11
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
22-27
26-24
18-23
18-22
15-22
23-27
15-10
32-16
33-8
22-19
11-18
22-16
19-11
15-34
16-20
19-18
27-21
13-19
14-10
31-19
22-28
20-18
14-15
23-17
23-22
26-23
21-21
23-23
20-24
16-17
22-21
30-22
25-20
24-18
23-25
28-18
14-15
12-16
23-13
163.6Avg total
84.8Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.682.4165.0+0.240%
Season at home (2)87.083.0170.0+4.050%
Season away (3)79.782.0161.7-2.333%
Last 10 (10)84.878.8163.6+6.060%
Last 5 (5)88.079.0167.0+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.486.0164.4-7.625%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.782.5167.2+2.364%
vs Weaker (7)91.077.0168.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
BreoganGran Canaria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
W
59-35
59
35
+24
A03/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
27-34
27
34
-7
H11/05
ACB
Granada
#17
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A17/05
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H25/05
ACB
Valencia
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A30/05
ACB
Forca Lleida
#14
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A04/10
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
47-54
47
54
-7
H12/10
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#17
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A18/10
ACB
Barcelona
#5
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A25/10
ACB
Granada
#18
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H01/11
ACB
83.2Avg total
40.5Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.581.9-1.127%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.339.077.3-0.729%-
Last 30 away (16)42.243.685.9-1.425%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.783.2-2.220%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.486.8-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)39.341.680.9-2.219%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.741.284.8+2.550%-
vs Weaker (3)41.341.382.7+0.033%-
This opponent (Gran Canaria) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Gran CanariaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#2
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H04/06
ACB
Real Madrid
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A05/10
ACB
Benfica
#40
W
65-24
65
24
+41
A07/10
Champions League
Unicaja
#9
W
41-27
41
27
+14
H11/10
ACB
Le Mans
#14
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H15/10
Champions League
Manresa
#10
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A18/10
ACB
Spartak Subotica
#28
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A21/10
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#12
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A26/10
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#16
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H01/11
ACB
Spartak Subotica
#28
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H05/11
Champions League
85.5Avg total
47.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.884.6+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.539.582.9+4.085%-
Last 30 away (17)44.141.885.8+2.347%-
Last 10 (10)47.038.585.5+8.580%-
Last 5 (5)47.841.689.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.742.484.1-0.842%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)43.541.384.8+2.364%-
vs Weaker (7)47.937.185.0+10.7100%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.516.1
45.4%
50.0%32.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.1
36.0%
42.2%33.3
🏀 Free throws21.315.4
72.3%
74.7%15.4
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Gran Canariatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gran Canaria: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.0
55.4%
50.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.9
34.4%
42.2%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.716.1
70.9%
74.7%16.1
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
WLWLLLLLLW
Gran Canaria
WWLWWWLWLL
#11
League position
#15
-12.2
Net rating
+8.1
103.7
Offensive rating
113.2
115.9
Defensive rating
105.1
49.4%
Effective FG%
53.6%
56.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.4%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
36.0%
3-point %
34.4%
58.1%
Assist %
65.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 113.2Defence115.9 · 105.1Shooting49.4% · 53.6%3-point %36.0% · 34.4%Ball care16.8% · 14.4%Off. rebounds27.3% · 27.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Breogan   ■ Gran Canaria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Breogan wins
7
Gran Canaria wins
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/25HGranada95-74
25/10/25ABarcelona85-100
18/10/25ABasket Zaragoza88-84
12/10/25HValencia90-113
04/10/25AForca Lleida68-87
30/05/25AValencia61-108
25/05/25HGran Canaria74-82
17/05/25AGranada82-91
11/05/25HReal Madrid69-79
03/05/25AManresa104-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/25HSpartak Subotica77-62
01/11/25HMoraBanc Andorra102-85
26/10/25ABasquet Girona81-85
21/10/25ASpartak Subotica93-83
18/10/25AManresa87-80
15/10/25HLe Mans73-68
11/10/25HUnicaja72-81
07/10/25ABenfica98-61
05/10/25AReal Madrid71-81
04/06/25HValencia94-102 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game85.292.580.3
Allowed / game91.693.590.3
Point differential-6.4-1.0-10.0
Avg total176.8186.0170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Gran Canaria
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW40%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%50%33%
Points / game82.687.079.7
Allowed / game82.483.082.0
Point differential+0.2+4.0-2.3
Avg total165.0170.0161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valencia550100%101.484.2+17.2
2 Murcia65183%87.076.3+10.7
3 Tenerife54180%94.081.0+13.0
4 Joventut Badalona54180%89.880.0+9.8
5 Real Madrid54180%90.682.8+7.8
6 Unicaja53260%83.677.8+5.8
7 Forca Lleida53260%84.685.0-0.4
8 Baskonia53260%89.891.0-1.2
9 Basket Zaragoza52340%92.489.8+2.6
10 Barcelona52340%85.685.4+0.2
11 Gran Canaria52340%82.682.4+0.2
12 Bilbao52340%78.084.4-6.4
13 Breogan52340%85.291.6-6.4
14 Manresa62433%79.284.5-5.3
15 San Pablo Burgos51420%86.693.2-6.6
16 Basquet Girona51420%83.896.2-12.4
17 MoraBanc Andorra51420%79.897.4-17.6
18 Granada5050%77.489.4-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Breogan1126271781
Gran Canaria2326281592
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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