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Murcia vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Sep 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 70-84
17-22 17-17 17-18 19-27
Position#9
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Breogan 🏆
Spain
Position#10
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
SpainACBRound 1
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Murcia v Breogan
25 Apr 2027
MUR v BRE
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
MUR83
BRE96
16 Nov 2024
MUR79
BRE63
12 May 2024
MUR68
BRE61
29 Sep 2022
MUR70
BRE84
23 Mar 2022
MUR91
BRE72
03 Nov 2018
MUR76
BRE64
01 Oct 2010
MUR83
BRE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
L
87-89
87
89
-2
68avg 75
H29/03
ACB
Real Betis
#13
W
93-84
93
84
+9
84avg 75
A02/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
86-75
86
75
+11
no box
H10/04
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
83-93
83
93
-10
65avg 75
A13/04
ACB
Manresa
#6
L
93-103
93
103
-10
76avg 75
A17/04
ACB
Bilbao
#11
L
77-78
77
78
-1
60avg 75
A23/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
98-80
98
80
+18
90avg 75
H01/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
71-83
71
83
-12
60avg 75
H08/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
49avg 75
A11/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
72-77
72
77
-5
61avg 75
H14/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-16
19-26
14-22
27-25
19-27
24-19
28-18
22-20
25-22
17-14
22-26
22-13
22-23
25-26
12-15
24-29
24-36
25-27
15-18
29-22
15-21
21-22
26-14
15-21
18-22
33-17
21-20
26-21
17-23
20-23
26-17
8-20
21-19
16-22
12-27
20-22
17-23
16-12
16-24
23-18
168.1Avg total
82.9Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)82.985.2168.1-2.330%
Last 5 (5)77.481.6159.0-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.290.5169.8-11.20%
vs Similar ◀ (14)82.883.1165.9-0.450%
vs Weaker (11)89.383.7173.0+5.545%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
105-96
105
96
+9
99avg 76
H03/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
78-96
78
96
-18
70avg 76
A09/04
ACB
Manresa
#6
W
98-94
98
94
+4
102avg 76
H14/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
65-90
65
90
-25
52avg 76
A17/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
82-85
82
85
-3
76avg 76
H23/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
86-84
86
84
+2
81avg 76
A01/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
L
72-74
72
74
-2
57avg 76
H07/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
65-88
65
88
-23
58avg 76
A10/05
ACB
Unicaja
#12
W
93-84
93
84
+9
93avg 76
H14/05
ACB
FMP Beograd
#6
L
64-76
64
76
-12
51avg 76
A21/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
18-23
23-25
34-27
17-19
17-21
19-33
25-23
27-32
26-17
21-19
24-26
13-26
16-27
16-24
20-13
14-15
22-20
20-22
26-28
21-20
19-24
22-24
24-16
26-15
22-15
18-22
6-22
21-21
9-21
17-24
18-22
29-12
26-20
22-24
16-28
17-20
17-12
13-23
17-21
167.5Avg total
80.8Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.886.7167.5-5.940%
Last 5 (5)76.081.2157.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.582.0150.5-13.50%
vs Similar ◀ (22)85.086.9172.0-1.955%
vs Weaker (4)85.886.0171.8-0.225%
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
MurciaBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Barcelona
#2
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H29/03
ACB
Real Betis
#13
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A02/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H10/04
ACB
Baskonia
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A13/04
ACB
Manresa
#6
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A17/04
ACB
Bilbao
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A23/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H01/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H08/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A11/05
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H14/05
ACB
86.1Avg total
42.1Scored
44.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.882.9+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.838.178.9+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)43.343.586.9-0.233%-
Last 10 (10)42.144.086.1-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)38.840.879.6-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)41.845.887.5-4.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.541.180.6-1.643%-
vs Weaker (11)44.539.483.9+5.255%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Pablo Burgos
#18
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H03/04
ACB
Tenerife
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A09/04
ACB
Manresa
#6
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H14/04
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A17/04
ACB
Basket Zaragoza
#16
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H23/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A01/05
ACB
Barcelona
#2
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H07/05
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A10/05
ACB
Unicaja
#12
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H14/05
ACB
FMP Beograd
#6
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A21/09
Champions League
80.8Avg total
40.7Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.078.8-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.039.381.3+2.764%-
Last 30 away (16)36.140.676.7-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)40.740.180.8+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)41.436.077.4+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)38.541.580.0-3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)40.040.480.3-0.441%-
vs Weaker (4)36.238.875.0-2.550%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.5
48.1%
52.1%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.5
30.9%
34.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.514.4
70.2%
73.9%14.4
They take 71.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.221.7
52.7%
52.1%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.2
33.2%
34.5%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.514.8
72.2%
73.9%14.8
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
LLLWLLLWWL
Breogan
LWLLWLLWLW
#9
League position
#10
-3.0
Net rating
-8.1
107.2
Offensive rating
109.4
110.2
Defensive rating
117.5
47.4%
Effective FG%
51.7%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
14.8%
Turnover %
18.1%
34.4%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.9%
3-point %
33.2%
54.8%
Assist %
57.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 109.4Defence110.2 · 117.5Shooting47.4% · 51.7%3-point %30.9% · 33.2%Ball care14.8% · 18.1%Off. rebounds34.4% · 33.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Murcia   ■ Breogan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Murcia wins
3
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
23/03/22Murcia v Breogan91-72
31/10/21Breogan v Murcia94-89
10/02/19Breogan v Murcia77-73
03/11/18Murcia v Breogan76-64
09/01/11Breogan v Murcia73-84
01/10/10Murcia v Breogan83-87
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/22HBasket Zaragoza72-77
11/05/22AReal Madrid69-90
08/05/22HJoventut Badalona71-83
01/05/22HObradoiro CAB98-80
23/04/22ABilbao77-78
17/04/22AManresa93-103
13/04/22ABaskonia83-93
10/04/22HGran Canaria86-75
02/04/22AReal Betis93-84
29/03/22HBarcelona87-89
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/09/22AFMP Beograd64-76
14/05/22HUnicaja93-84
10/05/22AFuenlabrada65-88
07/05/22HBarcelona72-74
01/05/22AGran Canaria86-84
23/04/22HBasket Zaragoza82-85
17/04/22AReal Madrid65-90
14/04/22HManresa98-94
09/04/22ATenerife78-96
03/04/22HSan Pablo Burgos105-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Breogan
ACB 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid110100%94.088.0+6.0
2 Obradoiro CAB110100%76.073.0+3.0
3 Granada110100%83.081.0+2.0
4 Fuenlabrada1010%81.083.0-2.0
5 Basket Zaragoza1010%73.076.0-3.0
6 Basquet Girona1010%88.094.0-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1717171970
Breogan2217182784
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