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Brindisi vs Brescia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Oct 2019
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 88-78
20-18 29-21 21-23 18-16
Position#5
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game66.0
Brindisi 🏆
Italy
vs
Brescia
Italy
Position#3
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game73.5
ItalyLega ARound 3
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Brindisi v Brescia
07 Jan 2024
BRI88
BRE79
23 Oct 2022
BRI82
BRE81
06 Mar 2022
BRI83
BRE88
22 Nov 2020
BRI74
BRE71
05 Oct 2019
BRI88
BRE78
18 Nov 2018
BRI72
BRE65
29 Oct 2017
BRI69
BRE78
13 Nov 2016
BRI83
BRE91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brindisi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brescia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H07/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
77-61
77
61
+16
A14/04
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A20/04
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H28/04
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
87-83
87
83
+4
A05/05
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H12/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
73-89
73
89
-16
A18/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
97-106
97
106
-9
A20/05
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H26/09
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
87-63
87
63
+24
A29/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
20-13
13-21
22-7
17-18
21-12
18-21
21-10
25-16
26-27
18-26
17-24
18-16
19-21
26-16
22-24
19-17
20-14
26-27
22-25
20-19
21-19
19-22
16-21
19-25
19-17
21-25
14-22
26-25
21-24
23-25
27-32
20-19
11-17
20-23
13-10
27-14
16-13
26-22
18-14
159.0Avg total
80.3Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.566.0141.5+9.550%
Season at home (1)64.069.0133.0-5.00%
Season away (1)87.063.0150.0+24.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.378.7159.0+1.650%
Last 5 (5)79.481.6161.0-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.277.5153.8-1.250%
vs Similar ◀ (18)82.683.2165.8-0.750%
vs Weaker (7)81.675.4157.0+6.157%
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#13
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A24/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
87-79
87
79
+8
H31/03
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A07/04
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
H14/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
H20/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H24/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A28/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A12/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H25/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A29/09
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-28
21-17
30-20
20-24
16-27
22-13
24-21
25-18
20-16
17-26
20-21
19-19
25-30
14-26
21-16
26-17
13-17
25-16
22-23
16-20
23-15
19-12
7-31
28-17
17-25
21-16
34-23
15-31
17-24
23-15
13-30
17-17
27-18
22-30
19-19
22-15
21-10
10-21
23-17
19-17
165.7Avg total
82.9Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.573.5155.0+8.0100%
Season at home (1)90.082.0172.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)73.065.0138.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.982.8165.7+0.160%
Last 5 (5)79.480.6160.0-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.487.2165.5-8.831%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.976.7156.6+3.262%
vs Weaker (4)84.880.0164.8+4.875%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.2+1.2
BrindisiBrescia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H07/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A14/04
Lega A
Cremona
#3
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A20/04
Lega A
Trieste
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H28/04
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A05/05
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H12/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A18/05
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A20/05
Lega A
Cantu
#11
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H26/09
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A29/09
Lega A
77.1Avg total
40.1Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.481.0+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.837.776.5+1.250%-
Last 30 away (18)43.440.684.0+2.950%-
Last 10 (10)40.137.077.1+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.478.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.238.275.5-1.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)41.941.082.9+0.950%-
vs Weaker (7)42.435.978.3+6.657%-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Torino
#13
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A24/03
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H31/03
Lega A
Cantu
#8
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A07/04
Lega A
Cremona
#3
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H14/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H20/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H24/04
Lega A
Sassari
#4
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A28/04
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A12/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#12
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H25/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#4
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A29/09
Lega A
79.5Avg total
39.3Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.881.1-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.840.881.6+0.056%-
Last 30 away (14)37.642.980.5-5.429%-
Last 10 (10)39.340.279.5-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.037.277.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)37.045.782.7-8.731%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.037.478.4+3.662%-
vs Weaker (4)41.243.584.8-2.225%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.222.1
52.4%
52.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.6
33.8%
35.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws17.012.1
71.2%
73.6%12.1
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.5
52.1%
52.0%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.110.1
38.7%
35.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.213.1
76.2%
73.6%13.1
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brindisi
WLLLLWWLWW
Brescia
WWLLWWLLWW
#5
League position
#3
+1.3
Net rating
-1.3
104.1
Offensive rating
106.4
102.7
Defensive rating
107.7
51.8%
Effective FG%
54.6%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
14.6%
Turnover %
18.6%
20.8%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.8%
3-point %
38.7%
57.6%
Assist %
64.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 106.4Defence102.7 · 107.7Shooting51.8% · 54.6%3-point %33.8% · 38.7%Ball care14.6% · 18.6%Off. rebounds20.8% · 25.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Brindisi   ■ Brescia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Brindisi wins
4
Brescia wins
DateGameScore
17/03/19Brescia v Brindisi97-80 OT
18/11/18Brindisi v Brescia72-65
05/03/18Brescia v Brindisi74-60
29/10/17Brindisi v Brescia69-78
11/03/17Brescia v Brindisi81-91
13/11/16Brindisi v Brescia83-91
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/19AVirtus Roma87-63
26/09/19HCantu64-69
20/05/19ASassari97-106
18/05/19ASassari73-89
12/05/19HTrento76-81
05/05/19AAvellino87-83
28/04/19HTrieste85-77
20/04/19ACremona86-93
14/04/19AVirtus Bologna77-61
07/04/19HVenezia71-65
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/19AOlimpia Milano73-65
25/09/19HReggiana90-82
12/05/19AVenezia70-86
28/04/19ASassari87-95
24/04/19HVirtus Bologna77-75
20/04/19HOlimpia Milano92-86 OT
14/04/19HCremona86-89
07/04/19ACantu76-82
31/03/19HPistoia87-79
24/03/19ATorino91-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brindisi
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game75.564.087.0
Allowed / game66.069.063.0
Point differential+9.5-5.0+24.0
Avg total141.5133.0150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brescia
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.590.073.0
Allowed / game73.582.065.0
Point differential+8.0+8.0+8.0
Avg total155.0172.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sassari330100%83.068.0+15.0
2 Virtus Bologna220100%81.072.5+8.5
3 Brescia220100%81.573.5+8.0
4 Fortitudo Bologna220100%84.577.0+7.5
5 Cantu110100%69.064.0+5.0
6 Cremona110100%89.087.0+2.0
7 Trento32167%81.775.7+6.0
8 Brindisi21150%75.566.0+9.5
9 Olimpia Milano21150%70.063.0+7.0
10 Varese21150%72.068.0+4.0
11 Venezia21150%80.081.0-1.0
12 Reggiana2020%79.087.0-8.0
13 Pistoia2020%76.588.0-11.5
14 Treviso2020%70.082.0-12.0
15 Pesaro2020%75.589.5-14.0
16 Virtus Roma2020%65.080.5-15.5
17 Trieste2020%67.585.0-17.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brindisi2029211888
Brescia1821231678
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