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Brescia vs Brindisi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 May 2024
Tip-off: 16:15
Final 94-75
22-20 25-19 22-21 25-15
Position#3
Record20-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game78.6
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Brindisi
Italy
Position#15
Record10-19
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game81.4
ItalyLega ARound 30· PalaLeonessa
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Brescia v Brindisi
05 May 2024
BRE94
BRI75
30 Apr 2023
BRE75
BRI69
16 Jan 2022
BRE88
BRI67
28 Mar 2021
BRE68
BRI74
26 Jan 2020
BRE82
BRI86
17 Mar 2019
BRE97
BRI80
05 Mar 2018
BRE74
BRI60
11 Mar 2017
BRE81
BRI91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brindisi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#1
L
74-80
74
80
-6
65avg 78
H15/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#16
L
83-93
83
93
-10
78avg 78
A03/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
89-78
89
78
+11
80avg 78
H10/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
101-106 OT
101
106
-5
no box
A17/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
73-87
73
87
-14
60avg 78
H25/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
95-92
95
92
+3
90avg 78
A30/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
W
72-65
72
65
+7
66avg 78
H06/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
90-84
90
84
+6
85avg 78
H14/04
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
77-84
77
84
-7
72avg 78
A20/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 78
A28/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
19-15
16-27
28-19
21-29
24-25
23-25
15-14
22-22
25-26
19-18
23-12
20-26
28-27
28-19
13-17
22-20
17-24
22-29
12-14
21-22
23-26
28-19
23-25
13-14
20-22
17-14
22-15
22-19
22-22
21-26
25-17
21-22
20-23
19-22
17-17
21-28
19-13
21-23
16-19
168.3Avg total
83.1Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)87.078.6165.6+8.569%
Season at home (14)88.075.1163.1+12.986%
Season away (15)86.181.8167.9+4.353%
Last 10 (10)83.185.2168.3-2.140%
Last 5 (5)82.281.6163.8+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)54.889.2144.0-34.50%
vs Similar (4)74.580.5155.0-6.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.679.2168.8+10.471%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
55-69
55
69
-14
40avg 66
A11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
79-76
79
76
+3
73avg 66
H03/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
73-81
73
81
-8
66avg 66
A10/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
W
89-82
89
82
+7
82avg 66
H17/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
W
84-76
84
76
+8
77avg 66
A24/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
70-76
70
76
-6
52avg 66
H30/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
93-75
93
75
+18
85avg 66
H07/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
66-74
66
74
-8
57avg 66
A14/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
96-90
96
90
+6
85avg 66
A21/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
84-80
84
80
+4
77avg 66
H28/04
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-13
11-23
17-19
13-14
21-14
17-15
20-20
21-27
16-15
22-20
18-28
17-18
22-20
25-28
19-22
23-12
24-21
19-28
21-14
20-13
16-17
14-18
19-20
21-21
23-21
19-21
26-10
25-23
16-21
12-23
20-12
18-18
27-25
24-24
15-26
30-15
19-22
26-16
22-19
17-23
156.8Avg total
78.9Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.981.4157.3-5.634%
Season at home (15)78.981.7160.7-2.847%
Season away (14)72.681.1153.6-8.521%
Last 10 (10)78.977.9156.8+1.060%
Last 5 (5)81.879.0160.8+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.482.3155.7-8.927%
vs Similar (15)80.781.1161.8-0.347%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.1+2.1
BresciaBrindisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Napoli
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H15/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#16
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A03/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H10/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A17/03
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H25/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A30/03
Lega A
Tortona
#9
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H06/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H14/04
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A20/04
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A28/04
Lega A
85.5Avg total
41.1Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.940.682.5+1.440%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.737.482.1+7.354%-
Last 30 away (17)39.843.082.8-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)41.144.485.5-3.310%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.282.6-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)26.047.873.8-21.80%-
vs Similar (4)39.041.580.5-2.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.139.385.4+6.852%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H03/03
Lega A
Varese
#12
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A10/03
Lega A
Trento
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H17/03
Lega A
Scafati
#14
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A24/03
Lega A
Sassari
#8
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H30/03
Lega A
Treviso
#13
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H07/04
Lega A
Reggiana
#5
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A14/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A21/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H28/04
Lega A
79.2Avg total
38.7Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.641.679.2-4.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.838.678.4+1.253%-
Last 30 away (15)35.444.680.0-9.227%-
Last 10 (10)38.740.579.2-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.680.8-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)34.941.876.7-6.933%-
vs Similar (15)40.341.481.7-1.147%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.919.9
51.2%
53.1%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.4
34.3%
35.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.915.8
75.6%
76.3%15.8
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.218.5
48.4%
53.1%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.7
34.4%
35.7%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.715.0
76.1%
76.3%15.0
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LLWWWLLWLL
Brindisi
WWLWLWWLWL
#3
League position
#15
+1.0
Net rating
+1.7
110.6
Offensive rating
107.9
109.7
Defensive rating
106.2
51.3%
Effective FG%
49.7%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.8%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.3%
3-point %
34.4%
61.8%
Assist %
50.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.6 · 107.9Defence109.7 · 106.2Shooting51.3% · 49.7%3-point %34.3% · 34.4%Ball care16.4% · 15.8%Off. rebounds31.1% · 29.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Brescia   ■ Brindisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Brescia wins
6
Brindisi wins
DateGameScore
07/01/24Brindisi v Brescia88-79
30/04/23Brescia v Brindisi75-69
23/10/22Brindisi v Brescia82-81
06/03/22Brindisi v Brescia83-88
16/01/22Brescia v Brindisi88-67
28/03/21Brescia v Brindisi68-74
22/11/20Brindisi v Brescia74-71
26/01/20Brescia v Brindisi82-86
05/10/19Brindisi v Brescia88-78
17/03/19Brescia v Brindisi97-80 OT
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24AOlimpia Milano77-83
20/04/24ACremona77-84
14/04/24HVenezia90-84
06/04/24HTortona72-65
30/03/24AVarese95-92
25/03/24HVirtus Bologna73-87
17/03/24ASassari101-106 OT
10/03/24HScafati89-78
03/03/24APesaro83-93
15/02/24HBasket Napoli74-80
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24HVenezia84-80
21/04/24APistoia96-90
14/04/24AReggiana66-74
07/04/24HTreviso93-75
30/03/24HSassari70-76
24/03/24AScafati84-76
17/03/24HTrento89-82
10/03/24AVarese73-81
03/03/24HCremona79-76
11/02/24AOlimpia Milano55-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL69%
HomeWWLWW86%
AwayLLWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %69%86%53%
Points / game87.088.086.1
Allowed / game78.675.181.8
Point differential+8.5+12.9+4.3
Avg total165.6163.1167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Brindisi
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW34%
HomeWWLWW47%
AwayLLWLW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %34%47%21%
Points / game75.978.972.6
Allowed / game81.481.781.1
Point differential-5.6-2.8-8.5
Avg total157.3160.7153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+3%7%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna2921872%88.377.4+10.9
2 Olimpia Milano2921872%80.774.6+6.1
3 Brescia2920969%87.078.6+8.5
4 Venezia29181162%82.778.5+4.1
5 Reggiana29161355%80.779.7+1.0
6 Trento29151452%84.084.4-0.4
7 Pistoia29151452%81.283.4-2.2
8 Tortona29141548%80.679.0+1.6
9 Basket Napoli29131645%85.786.9-1.2
10 Sassari29131645%79.383.4-4.1
11 Cremona29121741%80.579.9+0.6
12 Scafati29121741%82.487.0-4.7
13 Varese29111838%87.090.5-3.5
14 Treviso29111838%80.985.2-4.3
15 Brindisi29101934%75.981.4-5.6
16 Pesaro29101934%80.687.4-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2225222594
Brindisi2019211575
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