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Brescia vs Trieste Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 95-59
26-20 27-14 21-17 21-8
Position#8
Record7-13
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game83.5
Brescia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record9-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game82.0
ItalyLega ARound 21
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Brescia v Trieste
25 May 2026
BRE90
TRI75
18 May 2026
BRE90
TRI82
16 May 2026
BRE90
TRI92
09 Nov 2025
BRE98
TRI75
19 May 2025
BRE92
TRI103
17 May 2025
BRE89
TRI77
09 Feb 2025
BRE93
TRI90
12 Mar 2023
BRE95
TRI59
12 Feb 2022
BRE87
TRI76
18 Oct 2020
BRE75
TRI63
09 Feb 2020
BRE76
TRI74
03 Feb 2019
BRE77
TRI85
13 May 2015
BRE69
TRI55
05 May 2015
BRE79
TRI77
03 May 2015
BRE86
TRI78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brescia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Trieste winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BresciaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrescia
Date
Competition
Varese
#4
L
72-80
72
80
-8
62avg 75
A28/01
Lega A
JL Bourg
#12
W
74-66
74
66
+8
71avg 75
A31/01
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
78-84
78
84
-6
72avg 75
A05/02
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
103-84
103
84
+19
101avg 75
H08/02
Eurocup
Sassari
#5
L
80-93
80
93
-13
71avg 75
H12/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
75-72
75
72
+3
no box
A15/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#3
W
74-57
74
57
+17
no box
H18/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
84-76
84
76
+8
no box
A19/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#7
L
76-83
76
83
-7
64avg 75
A05/03
Lega A
Venezia
#10
L
64-90
64
90
-26
49avg 75
A08/03
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
22-29
17-27
17-9
20-20
20-19
18-14
16-13
17-20
23-19
22-23
16-22
22-19
20-19
22-22
39-24
17-25
19-21
22-20
22-27
20-19
25-10
11-26
19-17
14-16
22-6
15-14
23-21
17-16
23-14
21-21
23-25
18-19
24-17
18-21
16-26
21-25
13-22
14-28
16-15
156.5Avg total
78.0Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)82.883.5166.3-0.835%
Season at home (10)83.982.0165.9+1.950%
Season away (10)81.785.1166.8-3.420%
Last 10 (10)78.078.5156.5-0.550%
Last 5 (5)74.675.6150.2-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.891.2171.0-11.317%
vs Similar (15)78.380.2158.5-1.940%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)86.179.5165.6+6.662%
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTrieste
Date
Competition
Varese
#4
L
99-104 OT
99
104
-5
no box
A18/12
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
74-68
74
68
+6
no box
H26/12
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
81-88
81
88
-7
74avg 70
A02/01
Lega A
Scafati
#11
W
64-59
64
59
+5
59avg 70
H08/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
88-69
88
69
+19
85avg 70
A14/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
81-72
81
72
+9
69avg 70
A22/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
85-68
85
68
+17
no box
H29/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
59-65
59
65
-6
47avg 70
H05/02
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
69-80
69
80
-11
62avg 70
A12/02
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
97-86
97
86
+11
90avg 70
H05/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
22-21
21-25
29-16
20-17
24-22
13-17
17-12
25-23
17-24
24-27
15-14
15-15
9-17
15-12
25-15
25-19
16-15
20-17
27-18
20-18
22-18
19-18
20-18
18-19
24-15
23-20
20-14
15-12
20-21
16-18
8-14
16-25
25-25
11-18
17-12
20-13
37-27
20-22
20-24
155.6Avg total
79.7Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.082.0160.9-3.045%
Season at home (11)74.779.3154.0-4.545%
Season away (9)84.285.2169.4-1.044%
Last 10 (10)79.775.9155.6+3.860%
Last 5 (5)78.274.2152.4+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)76.683.1159.7-6.631%
vs Similar (14)85.883.8169.6+2.057%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +4.1+4.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +4.1+4.1
BresciaTrieste
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BresciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A28/01
Lega A
JL Bourg
#12
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A31/01
Eurocup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A05/02
Lega A
Cluj-Napoca
#17
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H08/02
Eurocup
Sassari
#5
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H12/02
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#5
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A15/02
Italian Cup
Pesaro
#3
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H18/02
Italian Cup
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A19/02
Italian Cup
Trento
#7
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A05/03
Lega A
Venezia
#10
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A08/03
Eurocup
76.3Avg total
39.3Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.780.8-0.663%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.239.078.2+0.269%-
Last 30 away (17)40.841.982.7-1.259%-
Last 10 (10)39.337.076.3+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)39.432.872.2+6.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.745.384.0-6.750%-
vs Similar (15)39.440.780.1-1.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.938.680.5+3.275%-
This opponent (Trieste) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TriesteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#4
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A18/12
Lega A
Trento
#7
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H26/12
Lega A
Verona
#16
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A02/01
Lega A
Scafati
#11
L
24-32
24
32
-8
H08/01
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A14/01
Lega A
Venezia
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A22/01
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H29/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/02
Lega A
Tortona
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A12/02
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H05/03
Lega A
79.8Avg total
40.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.580.7-0.457%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.740.779.5-2.047%-
Last 30 away (15)41.540.381.9+1.267%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.279.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.438.682.0+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)37.840.978.8-3.144%-
vs Similar (14)42.840.182.9+2.771%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bresciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brescia: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.716.2
46.7%
51.3%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.3
33.5%
36.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws23.019.2
83.5%
76.1%19.2
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Triestetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Trieste: 76.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.919.1
54.7%
51.3%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.4
34.6%
36.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws17.712.9
72.9%
76.1%12.9
They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Brescia
LLWWWLWLWL
Trieste
WLLWWWWLWL
#8
League position
#15
-16.6
Net rating
+5.4
105.9
Offensive rating
111.9
122.5
Defensive rating
106.4
48.2%
Effective FG%
53.5%
59.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
15.7%
Turnover %
15.2%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.5%
3-point %
34.6%
60.0%
Assist %
45.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 111.9Defence122.5 · 106.4Shooting48.2% · 53.5%3-point %33.5% · 34.6%Ball care15.7% · 15.2%Off. rebounds25.1% · 30.6%Free throws0.39 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Brescia   ■ Trieste
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Brescia wins
4
Trieste wins
DateGameScore
26/11/22Trieste v Brescia90-91 OT
12/02/22Brescia v Trieste87-76
10/10/21Trieste v Brescia80-72
07/02/21Trieste v Brescia78-81
18/10/20Brescia v Trieste75-63
09/02/20Brescia v Trieste76-74
19/10/19Trieste v Brescia76-74
03/02/19Brescia v Trieste77-85
21/10/18Trieste v Brescia90-86
13/05/15Brescia v Trieste69-55
Brescialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/23AVenezia64-90
05/03/23ATrento76-83
19/02/23AVirtus Bologna84-76
18/02/23HPesaro74-57
15/02/23AOlimpia Milano75-72
12/02/23HSassari80-93
08/02/23HCluj-Napoca103-84
05/02/23AVirtus Bologna78-84
31/01/23AJL Bourg74-66
28/01/23AVarese72-80
Triestelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/23HTreviso97-86
12/02/23ATortona69-80
05/02/23HOlimpia Milano59-65
29/01/23HBasket Napoli85-68
22/01/23AVenezia81-72
14/01/23ATreviso88-69
08/01/23HScafati64-59
02/01/23AVerona81-88
26/12/22HTrento74-68
18/12/22AVarese99-104 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Brescia
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL35%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%50%20%
Points / game82.883.981.7
Allowed / game83.582.085.1
Point differential-0.8+1.9-3.4
Avg total166.3165.9166.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)40% (5)33% (6)
Overtime %15%10%20%
Trieste
Lega A 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW45%
HomeWWWLW45%
AwayLLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %45%45%44%
Points / game79.074.784.2
Allowed / game82.079.385.2
Point differential-3.0-4.5-1.0
Avg total160.9154.0169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %15%9%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2117481%83.072.9+10.2
2 Virtus Bologna2016480%84.377.5+6.8
3 Tortona2014670%82.777.3+5.3
4 Varese2112957%92.590.9+1.6
5 Sassari2011955%85.781.0+4.7
6 Brindisi21111052%81.882.6-0.8
7 Pesaro21111052%85.986.6-0.8
8 Trento21111052%75.077.0-2.0
9 Venezia2091145%82.580.0+2.5
10 Trieste2091145%79.082.0-3.0
11 Treviso2191243%80.284.7-4.5
12 Brescia2071335%82.883.5-0.8
13 Scafati2071335%76.878.2-1.4
14 Basket Napoli2071335%77.884.4-6.5
15 Verona2071335%78.286.5-8.3
16 Reggiana2051525%75.078.1-3.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Brescia2627212195
Trieste201417859
← all games of the day
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